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00:00Let's talk about the crunch here and I want to start here with Brock Purdy at home against Arizona here
00:05today. Let's go the over on the 237 and a half. To me, this is one that I just feel
00:09very comfortable with. Purdy at home has been so good. You've got healthy Kittle right now. You've also had CMC
00:15who has not had to play too much and I think you're going to get a lot more of him
00:18today. And then eventually they'll back off of him when they have a lead. That's the new plan. And I
00:22think it's probably a smart plan if you're going to have CMC healthy by the time you get into winter,
00:27anytime you get into playoff crunch.
00:29That's when you want to be able to unleash the beast. And it's a much better plan for a running
00:33back who's over the age of 30. So we're going to start with 237 and a half on the over
00:36there. I'm going to start with an under at the running back position though. 81 and a half for Jonathan
00:40Taylor. And you might say, well, he's Jonathan Taylor. Why would we do that? Well, against the Texans last year,
00:45one of the best things they did was actually limit Jonathan Taylor. And even though those were some highly contested
00:49games between the two of them, 111 yards in two combined games last year against the Texans for Jonathan Taylor.
00:56So the Texans know what to do.
00:59Stop Jonathan Taylor, make Daniel Jones beat you. That's a good recipe for coming out with a victory and the
01:04Houston Texans need a victory in the worst way. So I'm going to go for the under here on that
01:08one. So I'm saying Jonathan Taylor can't have a good day. I just don't know if he's going to have
01:12a great one against the Texans from then we go to Garrett Wilson.
01:16Again, I've been picking on so much the Detroit Lions secondary, but not as much as opposing quarterbacks. I've been
01:23picking on Kevin. Oh my God. Absolutely brutal. These first two games, even Gino Smith is stream worthy. Potentially this
01:30week. You want to play him in a super flex league. I can't argue against it. This is your hall
01:35pass. Everybody to play him over Bo Nix this week or some other quarterback that you're not feel good about.
01:40I got to throw it up against the wall here. 80 Mitchell. I'm less happy with if there's one guy
01:45who can't afford to have an injury to his hands that don't work anyway. It's 80 Mitchell. That's another one.
01:50Like I get it. I understand it. Is it stream worthy? Yes.
01:53But I'm going to look for Garrett Wilson over 62 and a half and the last one in that same
01:57game. I'm on Ross St. Brown death taxes. The three things you can count on over 75 and a half
02:03receiving yards is average is somewhere around 70 and against the Jets team. Again, when you get golf in the
02:08dome at home, it's the course field of the NFL. Kev, there's going to be points. That's just what it
02:13is. And I'm going to be looking here for I'm on raw to be a big part of it.

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