00:00Zach Taylor in week one sucks he can't beat anybody yes he's got Tampa at home as a three
00:09and a half point favorite we got a pissed off Baker Mayfield who finally got his deal done
00:16but he's up in Cincinnati he didn't like him when he was playing with the Browns he's now
00:21playing with the Bucs he knows the building he knows the team you like Tampa catching the points
00:26there are we gonna back Zach Taylor in week one no I'm backing the Bucs I'm not backing Zach Taylor
00:31I think we have a long enough history of the Bengals getting off to a slow start and we saw
00:36them kind of play slow in the preseason like they weren't firing on all cylinders I think you have
00:41a chance now it's the x factors of that game for the Bucs because everybody's going to point to
00:46Emeka Ibuka in that game they're going to point to the ground game and stuff the Bengals defense is
00:51massively improved where the Bengals still I think struggle in this game and these are the x factors
00:56for the Bucs to win this game I'm taking the over receiving yardage for Kenneth Gainwell already
01:00bet the over receptions for him because Cincinnati as many improvements as they made this offseason
01:05their linebackers are still one of the worst grouping in the entire damn NFL Kenneth Gainwell can eat
01:11them up their top five in almost every metric you look at versus running backs last year so I think
01:17it's Kenny Gainwell and I think it's a big Chris Godwin game and this is not just like me leaning
01:21on
01:22Emeka Ibuka and the toe injury this is DJ Turner baby he is a top flight shadow corner Emeka Ibuka
01:30played 63.5% on the perimeter last year I think that number kind of ekes up closer to 70
01:35% this year
01:36I think this is a big game for all the other ancillary pieces for the Bucs in this one
01:40to gain well through the air I think Kate Otten can get into the end zone I think Chris Godwin
01:44is going to have a big game to really just roast that secondary Jalen Davis was not good last year
01:50he was top uh top of the league or at least top 12 I want to say off the top
01:54of my head
01:54and allowing a step or separation or more from the slot Ravens Colts Ravens are laying three on the road
02:01one of the few road favorites in the NFL this week are you comfortable laying points on the road
02:08uh the way that I'm attacking that game I'm kind of staying away from the spread because I think that
02:13game is going to be ugly as hell I am massively betting the under in that game I think the
02:20the
02:20point total in that game is is telling me one thing we are just running back Colts hype and the
02:26ability of Daniel Jones to come out and look like like a boss in week one yeah Lamar Jackson does
02:32he come
02:32out firing on all cylinders in a brand new offense that is going to ask very different things out of
02:37him
02:37for as much as for the offseason as everybody talks about Jalen Hurts and throwing over the middle and
02:43playing on time and all those kind of things y'all realize Lamar Jackson's being asked the same damn
02:47thing out of Declan Doyle y'all realize that he's gonna have to play on time he's gonna have to
02:53play
02:53from the pocket if this is really going to be a Ben Johnson-esque type of offense Lamar Jackson is
03:00going
03:00to be asked to do things differently than what he's done before so I'm staying away from the spread in
03:06that
03:06game I am betting the under on the point total I think Mark Andrews scores a touchdown because the
03:11Colts were bad versus tight ends last year they're gonna be bad but and this is not really a Colts
03:16thing
03:16this is a Lou Anarumo thing for everybody at home if you want a nice little trip down the rabbit
03:20hole of
03:21Google go look at what the Cincinnati Bengals did for like almost five to ten years previously against
03:28tight ends top 12 every single year in receiving yardage market share given up to the position
03:33last year the Colts same thing Lou says hi Mark Andrews gets into the end zone with this one but
03:37I
03:38am betting the under
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