00:00If you have a bad second year or an average to mediocre second year, that's a wrap.
00:06You're not going to be a franchise quarterback.
00:08There is zero evidence you have supplied of any example outside of the possibility of Bryce Young
00:14or a second-year young prospect quarterback had a bad to mediocre second year
00:20and turned into anything worth a damn.
00:24But if you have a big second year, while it shoots up your odds of being a franchise quarterback,
00:29there's always the possibility you're Carson Wentz.
00:31There's always the possibility that you fall off.
00:34I'd say the odds are pretty good.
00:35Based on the guys you gave, it's probably a 70% chance you're the franchise quarterback.
00:40So I think they're high.
00:41But if Jackson Dart, and this is the conclusion I think we can all sign off on going into this
00:46second year,
00:47that if Jackson Dart doesn't have a breakthrough second season,
00:50then we don't need to waste our time debating if he's a franchise quarterback or not.
00:54I agree.
00:55We're going to know.
00:55And I think we'll put you over the edge.
00:57I used 3,000 as a barometer, just the 4,000-yardage mark.
01:02Mahomes, Deshaun Watson, who I think fell apart for other reasons.
01:05He was a franchise quarterback.
01:06He was.
01:06I agree.
01:07That's why I would include him, because he was for a while.
01:09Burrow, Justin Herbert, Trevor Lawrence.
01:12They're all the guys.
01:13They're all guys, right?
01:14They're all the guys.
01:15And Drake May was the other one.
01:17Caleb Williams fell short by 60 yards.
01:18So the point being, if we walk away and Jackson Dart is thrown for 4,000 yards this year,
01:23that is the elite of elite company.
01:24I think there's a, if he has a big year, we are pretty certain he's the franchise quarterback.
01:30If he has a crappy year, we can't sit here in January and say, well, maybe he's the guy.
01:34Maybe, maybe.
01:34No, he won't be.
01:35I mean, the data just proves it.
01:36The facts.
01:37The facts.
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