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  • 2 days ago
Anwaar-ul-Haq Kakar, Former Caretaker Prime Minister of Pakistan and currently Senator of Pakistan discussed the current state of Iran negotiations. He noted a shift in dynamics, with both sides refraining from violence and expressing openness in the media. He believed that the realization of the need for peace and stability, rather than tangible guarantees, is driving both sides towards a successful deal. He highlighted the importance of trust in such situations, despite its elusiveness in past conflicts. He also noted the shared regional and global economic interests in the negotiations.
Transcript
00:00Well, for more on this, I spoke with the Pakistani senator, Anwar al-Hakkar, who has also served as a
00:05caretaker, prime minister of his country.
00:08The timeline, I'm pretty sure if someone is familiar with the Iranian side, if they've worked with them,
00:15they're very cautious about the punctuation of the language, about the full stops and the commas and what sort of
00:23implications it would have,
00:24because they presume they are the more vulnerable side and the other side can violate and can easily defy any
00:33agreement.
00:34So that sense of insecurity appears to be more on that side.
00:39They're quite focused on the language and its implication to keep their legal and ethical position quite explicit.
00:48And this is probably one of the reasons that they're taking more time.
00:52We have been here before, though, haven't we? It has felt like we've been here before.
00:57What is different this time that, as you say, we should be expecting a deal will be signed, even if
01:03it's just a matter of timing at the moment?
01:04What has changed to make it look more successful this time?
01:11Well, I think so.
01:13The difference is that even before that relatively lull period of almost two months, both sides reverted to the violence
01:26for a while.
01:27The American side and the Iranian side, after the hitting of that departure.
01:31And both haven't again gone back to that stalemate position or a status quo position that they're not reverting to
01:43the violence.
01:44And now, after that, going back again, the talk about the great deal or the big deal is appearing in
01:55open trust and in the media from both sides.
01:57That's why I feel I'm more hopeful and it is different this time that a small violent experiment of a
02:07day or a few hours or whatever it was has given a strong signal to both sides that they cannot
02:15afford a protracted war, a perpetual war.
02:19So, eventually, there have to come some sort of terms and agreement, peaceful one.
02:25So, that realisation seems to be quite deep-rooted this time, which would make the difference.
02:31And, Senator, what guarantees do you think then will both sides need to move forward to completion of a deal?
02:38And are they achievable?
02:40And will they be still tricky to overcome at the last minute?
02:47Well, to be honest with you, if you keep the last hundred years or even go beyond that, the guarantees
02:56between the warring factions have never been tangible.
02:59It's the trust between the fighting parties.
03:02It's such an ironical situation that you fight your foe, you kill one another, and then you have to rely
03:10and trust each other not to kill one another.
03:12And trust probably is the biggest guarantor in such situations.
03:20There are international mechanisms.
03:23There are international, probably, frameworks where the states and the governments do rely on that.
03:32But, eventually, look at the Treaty of Versailles.
03:37It was signed during the First World War and the Second World War, what happened, all the guarantees were just
03:45washed away.
03:47And the warring factions or the governments or the nations, again, were putting guns at each other's head.
03:56So, having said this, I think so, both the parties have realized, the Americans, the Iranians, and the rest of
04:04the region,
04:05that violence and war probably is not an option for the region, for the regional stability, for the economic prosperity,
04:16not just of the region, but beyond.
04:18So, I think so.
04:18So, I think so.
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