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The Morning Shift continues to talk about goals and what the upcoming season stats should look like for some Atlanta Falcons offensive players. Mike, Ali, and Beau talk about what they want to see from Falcons wide receivers Olamide Zaccheaus and Zachariah Branch this season, and explain why they think fewer catches from Olamide Zaccheaus is OK if it means Zachariah Branch is getting more.
Transcript
00:00And it is goal-setting day for the Falcons.
00:03We've been talking about the offense all morning long.
00:05Left off at Olamide Zaccheaus.
00:08Last season, he had 39 catches for 313 yards
00:12and scored two touchdowns in 16 games.
00:15What would you like to see him accomplish this year?
00:17Would I be wrong in saying that I feel like that's a really good
00:21stat line for him this season?
00:23If you have 40 catches and over 300 yards?
00:30I don't know.
00:32It's hard for me to answer.
00:33Hard for me to answer this without saying if everybody's healthy.
00:37Because that's the only way.
00:40With all due respect to Olamide, who I'm a big fan of,
00:44if he has 40 catches this year,
00:48something went wrong somewhere.
00:52Really?
00:56Well, let's just say Drake's going to catch 100.
00:59Agree or disagree?
01:00Let's just say 100.
01:01Yeah, for sure.
01:02Johan Dotson, or however, I don't know if I pronounced his name right.
01:06Hard J.
01:07Johan.
01:08Johan Dotson.
01:09Thank you, Allie.
01:11Let's say 50 catches.
01:13That's where he should be.
01:15At least 50 catches.
01:16Agree or disagree?
01:18I would love to see him north of there.
01:20I don't know how many Mooney had two years ago when he was close to 1,000.
01:23He had more than that, I think.
01:25Yeah, I would love to see him north of there.
01:26I think Mooney had like 60-something that year.
01:30I'd go with that.
01:31I'd go with 60 then.
01:32If I could design it perfectly, yeah.
01:3464.
01:35So you'd go with 60.
01:36Sure.
01:38Kyle Pitts.
01:41I would say 75 is the number I would set for him.
01:47He had 88, I think.
01:50No, he had 88 last year.
01:52And he had 68 in 2021 when he went for 1,000.
01:56So I would say 70 to 75.
01:59Now I better start doing some math.
02:01I was in my head.
02:02I'm going, okay, then you still carve out room for Zachariah,
02:06and you still carve out room for Bajon.
02:09And Austin Hooper's going to get 20.
02:13So hold on.
02:14I got 100, and you said 60.
02:16And then 70.
02:19We'll say 70 for Kyle Pitts, right?
02:21Okay.
02:22And how many for Bajon?
02:23I say 50 for Bajon.
02:24Yeah.
02:26And Olamide.
02:29Let's get back to Olamide.
02:31How many for Austin Hooper?
02:3420.
02:35I think you're right on.
02:38That's 300 completions right there.
02:41Okay.
02:41You can work with that.
02:42Now, in Tua's best year.
02:45Did you have Branch in there?
02:47I haven't put Branch.
02:48Okay.
02:48Now, this is the problem.
02:49I haven't put Olamide either.
02:50So what is Branch?
02:52What is the real?
02:52Personally, me, I want to see Branch with, if he has the projection from Yahoo.
02:58And I know I'm skipping.
02:58I'm sorry.
02:59I don't mean to skip above.
03:01I hope I didn't mess anything up.
03:02But, like, the projection for Zachariah from Yahoo was 21 catches.
03:07I'd be highly disappointed with only 21 catches.
03:11I want him to have 30-plus.
03:12Because I want to see him be a much more integral part of the offense than that.
03:16Yeah, he's got to average more than one and a half a game.
03:19Right.
03:19There's no way that I can stomach that.
03:21So let's say, let's say.
03:22That's just a gadget player.
03:2340?
03:26So then you're going to get, but then if you go with Olamide at 40, now you're talking
03:29about, like, Matthew Stafford numbers last year from the quarterback spot.
03:32And that's not.
03:32That would be, if you gave both of those guys 40, I think you're looking at my math
03:36is right off the fly without using a calculator.
03:38While I'm talking, it's around 380.
03:41His best year in Tua was, he completed 388.
03:44That was in 23.
03:46He completed 388 passes.
03:48And I'd tell you that Matthew Stafford last year being the MVP was in that ballpark.
03:52I think it was almost 400 completions that he would have had.
03:56So my point is, my only point is, I would, I could take less from Olamide to get more
04:02from the Zachariah branch.
04:04Was where I was going with that.
04:06Because I think 40 catches for, Olamide was here for four years in Atlanta with his first
04:13stint.
04:13He had 94 catches in those first four years.
04:17All right, let me, let me, let me phrase it to you this way then, because this is one
04:20of the more frustrating plays from last year that I used to hate every time we ran.
04:24How many times did Kyle Pitts catch the ball at the line of scrimmage?
04:27Well, I don't know that number, but I can tell you it was double digit probably.
04:31Okay.
04:31So if Kyle Pitts, every time he caught the ball at the line of scrimmage, be it a speed screen,
04:36be it whatever you were trying to get done, which would just, I mean, make my eyes bleed.
04:41Um, because he's not that guy, he's not the accelerator.
04:44That and you had guys like Ray Ray McLeod and other bodies similar trying to block for
04:48him.
04:49My point being is that if you gave every single one of those catches at the line of scrimmage
04:53to Zachariah branch and Olamide Zaccheaus, and I'm talking about Kyle Pitts and Bajon and
04:58possibly even Darnell, because he had a couple of them too.
05:00You try to run the screens with him.
05:02Then I, then, then I would love to know what that number is because I would love to give
05:05every single one of those to Olamide and Zachariah branch and move on from there and just build
05:10off of that in terms of what the structure of the percentages of, you know, disbursement
05:15would be.
05:15Yeah.
05:16Um, I would, I would just lean towards more Zachariah, but maybe I'm wrong.
05:21Maybe I'm over, maybe I'm over estimating what Zachariah branch could be, but I just think
05:26with his, with, with the, with the things he brings, you know, uh, he, he needs to have
05:33more catches and me more of a focal point than if you had, if you were betting on it,
05:39not, not designing it the right way.
05:40If you were betting on it right now, though, who has more Zachariah branch or Olamide Zaccheaus?
05:44I would go with Olamide only for the fact of, I know what he can do in this league.
05:50And that's not a knock on Zachariah branch.
05:52It's just the fact that proven commodity.
05:54Yeah. And let's be real about this. Do I believe Zachariah branch can run more of
06:02the route tree than we saw him? Do I believe that Gunner Stockton, it probably held him
06:08back as far as doing one of those things. I do. I, I, and that's not a knock on Gunner
06:14because Gunner is a good college quarterback, but this is the NFL. It's a little bit
06:19different. The offenses are different. The players are different, but
06:23I've seen Olamide do it. I mean, the guy had 39 catches last season. He had 94 his entire
06:31first four years in Atlanta. So he's obviously progressed as a player through his career.
06:37Well, and I think that, that raises more questions too, because now I'm sitting there
06:40thinking about it and Olamide is more established in the league as far as those numbers go than
06:43anything John Dotson's done. Right. I mean, John Dotson hasn't had over 20 catches since 2023.
06:50Yeah, but let's also not fair. He spent the last two seasons in Philly where he was like
06:55the fourth option because not even, maybe the fifth option you had, listen, AJ, Devonta,
07:02Saquon, who's, who's, who's got a lot of catch targets. I mean, I know Dylan probably knows
07:06him off the top of his head and then Dallas Goddard. I mean, he's the fifth option there.
07:13So, but here you're talking about, you're making him possibly the number two, but you're right.
07:19He's had a better few years than Dotson. There's no doubt about that.
07:22With the math you guys were doing, you had Kyle Pitts at 70 catches and last year he was at
07:2788.
07:28So that's what you're talking about. You want to take away.
07:32If the, if the, if the difference is 18 catches at the line of scrimmage, absolutely. I don't need
07:35him catching the ball, trying to accelerate. It's not his game. It's not fair to him. This is
07:39not for the love. It's not a knock on Kyle Pitts. I'm helping Kyle Pitts. Kyle Pitts should have
07:44never been put in that position last year to try to have to catch a freaking speed screen and get
07:50behind Chris Lindstrom and get up the field. That's the dumbest thing I can, I can imagine doing.
07:54Not going to, I don't disagree with Mike. Take away. Um, no, I think Kyle Pitts had 88 catches last
08:03season because when Drake went down for those five games, he rolled into Drake's position,
08:09which was probably the smartest thing Zach did in his tenure here was, uh, roll Kyle into that,
08:17that, um, that big slot receiver, that power slot, if you want to, if you will. So
08:27forecasting all of this, you're, you're going with it that, that Drake London is going to give
08:31you 17 games because Drake London missed one game in three years before last year. And,
08:38and then, you know, boom, or excuse me, missed one game in two years. This is his fourth year.
08:45No, this is his fifth year. Yeah. Yeah. So one in four. And then last year he missed five.
08:51So, uh, if I get healthy Drake, I think it does take the targets away from Kyle, which is not
08:56a bad thing for Kyle because we've seen him in the past have less catches and actually more yards.
09:03It just blows my mind as we have this conversation, how quickly this conversation got off the rails to
09:13start the year last year. You know, with Darnell, the first day of training camp where Darnell gets
09:18injured, then you have the Ray Ray thing, the in and out, the I kill your thing, the in and
09:22out,
09:22you're relying on David seals. Suddenly Casey Washington never develops into what we were so
09:29excited about. Remember during training camp? Um, I'm a huge fan of Chris Blair that just kind of
09:35went away. Like it, it, it blows my mind. The study that needs to be done in the 20, 25
09:41wide receiver
09:42room is just crazy. Like it's like a grenade rolled in there. And all of a sudden we were left
09:45with
09:45nothing. Even with that said, like, because you're, it's so, it's so right. I mean, it was, that was,
09:53I know Penix had moments last year where he was just bad with decisions and, and, and accuracy, but also,
10:02you know, this is so much better of a receiving core on paper walking in because I, I trust, I,
10:10I,
10:10Alameda has been much more of a consistent player in his career, like it or not than Ray Ray McLeod
10:15ever was. I, I hear what you're saying, but take yourself back to this moment in time last year,
10:22one year ago. I don't think you could have said that. Well, I don't think you can know why, you
10:27know
10:27why? Because, because you're going off of two guys, excuse me, you're going off of three,
10:35your top three receivers all coming off 2023 Braves years, i.e. career years. Darnell had a career
10:45year. I understand he had a little less yardage, but his consistency and his usage, and that 24 season
10:53was, he had his best career, the best year of his career to me overall. Ray Ray McLeod, far and
10:59away,
10:59I think he had 300 more yards receiving in 24 than he had ever had in his career in a
11:05season.
11:06And then Drake London had more catches, more touchdowns, more yards than he'd ever had in
11:11his career the two years prior. So all your top three guys were coming off career years. No,
11:17hell no. I wouldn't have said it last year if I look at it, but I go back and look
11:19at it this way.
11:21You got a couple of these guys aren't even coming off career years. And I think you're set up more
11:25because I think you're deeper. I do. And that's the thing is like, I think we all felt confident
11:31last year, even in the early part of the season about like Kaderil Hodge. Yeah. And then all of a
11:36sudden he's not dressing up. Another guy. That's what I'm saying. Another guy coming off career
11:39year. That's what I'm saying. Like it's just, it's crazy how fast it went south. No, you've got a
11:45solid point. In the passing game. But you would agree though, this is deeper. If you look at it,
11:49the totality of their career, then four guys coming off career years. I don't know. It's a hard
11:55argument to make, man. Other than Drake. That's a hard argument to make. Because they were
11:59coming off career years. Yeah, I know. But how often did four guys come off career years? All
12:07four repeated, I guess is the question.
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