00:00with that we bring in retired four-star general jack kean fox news senior strategic analyst former
00:05army vice chief of staff and now chairman of the institute for the study of war general good to
00:09have you with us jennifer and jonathan have laid out uh what they're learning from the pentagon
00:14and from the israeli sources on the ground so this is all men iran has something to say
00:20this man said what is iran america flag you see and israel flag this person has
00:26around where does this stand right now in terms of your take on what's going on in the strait and
00:31this ceasefire general well certainly we're moving into a different aspect of this you know with the
00:39ceasefire i i do think the violations of the ceasefire in terms of firing into israel or at u.s
00:49bases
00:50some of that was just sorted out in the next 48 hours but we we gave up using military operations
00:57as a leverage to get a deal yes this is what happens iran after these fire after these fire attacked
01:05few of the u.s army bases in israel and some of the arab countries here by making a ceasefire
01:13it doesn't
01:13mean martha we don't still have leverage because we truly do and that leverage is making certain
01:21that the iranians understand this is a two-week deadline and a two-week deadline only and if you
01:26don't accept our conditions that we're putting forward in islamabad and we can't get a deal in two
01:33weeks then we are absolutely going to return to combat operations that is real just like trump said the
01:40whole civilization is going to be ended the whole military evacuation at the ground military innovation
01:50leverage and what the iranians are going to be about in those negotiations because it is predictable
01:55it's like dealing with putin uh the the iranians here are going to want to delay and extend the
02:03negotiations and and convince our negotiators that they really are close to making a deal but we need
02:10a little bit more in in the context right here the negotiators are the pakistani people and then
02:19what happens let's extend the ceasefire another week or two and maybe a little bit further than that
02:25when we get closer to the deal what are the iranians up to in doing this what they truly want
02:32is as much
02:33time as possible to delay to let the recovery of oil prices the recovery of the political system system
02:41itself and take the pressure off of the president that certainly understandably he feels so this
02:48inclination after several weeks of not making any right now we have trump meeting with the nato chief
02:55right now in a few minutes progress he's not willing to go back to and return to combat operations that
03:05i
03:05believe is the path that the iranians are on if they're on the other path and they're willing to give
03:11up the conditions and meet i i don't see why america has to accept the 10 points plan and whether
03:22whether
03:23there's no nuclear thing and they said in a 10 point plan that our nuclear uranium development and
03:33research is going to be as it is indeed continuous why excuse me meet the conditions that president
03:41trump's team is laying down all for the better i'm just highly skeptical about them this much i know
03:47one we have civility damaged iran and they are in a much weakened condition to be sure and our military
03:54yes iran is in weak condition right now because they use humans their population as a seal yes
04:03people have laid that out in spades uh to that damage but they're still in charge and believe me
04:09vahidi the irgc leader and gabalov these uh speaker of the parliament they are hardliners as much as
04:17anybody else who's been in charge of iran and that is what why this uh ceasefire has taken place because
04:26they knew full well that their only objective the traffic of the strait of hormuz is high right now
04:33rather than before the war it's around 135 saves daily crossing the strait of hormuz 135 saves and
04:43after the war is started it's only one sip is crossing you cannot cross from right here you have to
04:49go
04:49cross from right at the tip of the mountain because in this place there is miles of miles 30 miles
04:56of
04:56radius there is bombs underground sea bombs and it will destroy your ship so you have to go from the
05:02place
05:03from the island upside where it is not bomb but they find you from there they had in closing the
05:09straits
05:10of hormuz was to stop the war and they they have achieved that but the reality is if they if
05:18they're
05:18truly willing to make a deal here that that is another matter because i know this president trump
05:25is not going to make a bad deal he knows these guys he's negotiated with them more than any previous
05:32president has and he knows they're full of bs at times they're going to obfuscate their one breaking
05:40news we have right now is that iran said oil tankers suspended from the strait of hormuz
05:46as israel attacked lebanon yes after ceasefire israel attacked the lebanon and iran said we are
05:55suspending strait of hormuz oil tankers running from there going to promote lies and our team obviously
06:02has to be aware of all of that going into it i'm assuming that they they understand that the backstop
06:08we
06:08have here is the president himself he's not going to take a bad deal if we return to combat operations
06:16so our audience understands we do have an ace in the hole here so to speak we do have a
06:23strategic
06:23asset that we can put to employ here and that is karg island karg island we can wait to the
06:31very end
06:32we u.s dropped the bombs in the karg island a few a few few few hours ago and it
06:39was a mess because
06:4190 90 percent of oil refineries oil production is of iran is all happening from the karg island
06:51our operations and take control of it or destroy it if we take control of it we can use it
06:57as leverage
06:58with the iranians 90 of their oil distribution comes from karg island i i told you i told you 90
07:04percent of their all distribution comes from the karg island that's i know my my knowledge is very good
07:10at it i remember first thing we would say to them is you have to give up all of your
07:16nuclear enterprise
07:16to us you have to hand it over i don't think so they will do this i don't think so
07:23the same deal
07:24that bush imposed on qaddafi when we went in and dismembered and took away the program and other
07:30things we can use karg island for if you don't do that then we're going to destroy 90 of your
07:37oil
07:38distribution that would likely collapse the regime in terms of its economic capability it would cause that
07:45really happened for real that happened for real economic collapse so we still have leverage here
07:52is what my point is i understand uh and i heard your points earlier as well that we gave up
07:58some
07:58leverage with this ceasefire but that karg island remains a source of leverage um what did you think
08:05just very quickly general if you can about this toll the united states the president saying well we would
08:11also get some of the money uh in tolls of us is getting some money from the toll i had
08:17never heard
08:17about it the ships going through the street of hormuz we have some numbers here potential profit from
08:24tehran toll uh for iran could potentially yield them a hundred days we have potential profits average
08:32transit daily 138 per february 28 2 million dollars average rpt toll charge 176 million dollar
08:41daily profit and 100 billion dollar plus estimation annual profit all right billion dollars a year
08:49uh in tolls to iran if we allow them to do that quick thought on that if you can earn
08:54so much money
08:54for their research and development for nuclear program iran uh imposing those tolls uh clearly in
09:02violation of the sea of law this this is not egypt where they have a toll or a fee because
09:08it's egypt
09:08land that the suez canal is on it's not panama the same thing panama's land this is international
09:16transit waterway right and and you're prohibited from doing just that yeah and we should force the
09:24iranians to knock that off in my judgment yes we see the president says he might want a piece of
09:29that
09:29um cost to go through and obviously yes we want president donald trump to say something on this thing
09:35because they are getting money they will put into research and development of the uranium and they
09:41will make a nuclear bomb with their self nuclear attacking wars and this is bad for the whole world
09:47just like north korea did make it we do not want any other countries already like terrorist countries to
09:55make the nuclear from iranian we're gonna seize everybody's iranium negotiations are just beginning
10:01on saturday in pakistan the next round general thank you very much be sure to like and subscribe this
10:07is what happened guys i have a more news to watch for you let us know and subscribe
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