00:00And then some severe storms have been rumbling into the Ozark Plateau.
00:04Far northern Arkansas, southern Missouri, strong thunderstorms beginning to intensify in southeast Oklahoma.
00:10And that is going to take us up into the flood zone farther north.
00:13Overall, though, you can see we've had some reports of hail with some of these storms.
00:16Parsons, Kansas there early this morning.
00:20Cassville in the area.
00:21Oh, that's Gasville, Arkansas.
00:23Not too far from Cassville, but farther southeast.
00:26And you can see some of the stronger hail reports, larger hail.
00:29Now, this is about the size of a half dollar, 1.25 inches in Turners, Missouri.
00:33That's in Greene County in the area of Springfield.
00:37And Turner is not too far from Springfield.
00:39So that's the nature of some of these hail reports at this point.
00:44So we're tracking some of these thunderstorms rumbling through the area.
00:47And overall, there is a somewhat sizable area under a severe thunderstorm.
00:52Watch two watches on the map.
00:53One has been with us for a couple of hours now from Evansville, Indiana into northern Arkansas.
00:58That's running until 9 p.m. central time.
01:00And the more recent addition runs from Fort Smith in Fayetteville, Arkansas, Benton County as well, down through southeast Oklahoma
01:07and into areas around Sherman and Dallas and Fort Worth, Texas.
01:11That second one further southwest runs until 11 p.m. central time.
01:15So damaging winds and hail are our main concerns.
01:17And this is our AccuWeather forecast that's been out for a long time.
01:20And those watches that have been issued align very well with this.
01:23Large hail, isolated tornadoes, and damaging winds are our main concerns.
01:28So let's take a look at how this plays out here from the present time onward.
01:31The most frequent, heaviest rain will be into areas like the lower Ohio Valley and into parts of Arkansas for
01:38the evening and overnight.
01:39But moving forward tomorrow, residual thunderstorms.
01:42Some of these will bring a severe risk into the Ohio Valley.
01:44But the greater threat for severe is going to be into areas west of I-35.
01:49So, again, this is the trending upward severe risk for Thursday, even though there might be one or two warnings
01:54issued farther east.
01:55This is the main event.
01:56Storms may initially pop over far east parts of the Panhandle region of Texas and Oklahoma, sliding northeast up into
02:02Woodward and into areas around central Kansas, near Hayes and Salina.
02:06And then into Friday, we become a little more concerned Friday because that disturbance and the wind energy driving that
02:12moves into an area with greater population from Dallas all the way up to Kansas City and then east through
02:17St. Louis and then into the day Saturday.
02:19That rolls east and southeast as a wall of messy thunderstorms.
02:23Some of these will be severe, but there's going to be more rain, and that may kind of interfere with
02:28the thunderstorm development there, preventing as many tornadoes from forming but producing more of a flash flood threat.
02:34We could use some of the rain in these areas.
02:36So, we talked about this evening severe risk where we had the yellow blob that matched up with those severe
02:40thunderstorm.
02:41Watch this pretty well.
02:42Tomorrow, we jump into a moderate risk.
02:44We're going to kick it up a notch to the two out of four on the AccuWeather Threat Level Index
02:47with flash flooding, hail, and isolated tornadoes west of I-35.
02:51Damaging wind and hail are the biggest concerns there, though there is some risk of isolated tornadoes, too.
02:56Then Friday, this becomes a pretty expansive, higher population area east of and along I-35, even up into Kansas
03:04City, Springfield, Joplin, and areas like Tulsa as well.
03:08Hail, flash flooding, and isolated tornadoes.
03:10So, again, that's two out of four on our meter here.
03:13The moderate risk and Springfield, Missouri, Kansas City, Fayetteville, McAllister, Oklahoma, Dallas, some examples of places where we're concerned about
03:20the risk.
03:21And then this gets pushed a little farther south, and a larger clustering of thunderstorms on Saturday will bring a
03:27severe risk there as well.
03:28So, Anna, lots to talk about here.
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