00:00Now, we do have props out for many of the players, if not all of them.
00:04When it comes to the passing market for the quarterbacks,
00:07Drake May sitting at 225, Sam Darnold sitting at 227, nearly identical on that.
00:12To me, this would be looking at a spot where if I think New England
00:16is not going to be covering this game, I want to be looking at Drake May over.
00:20That's just an initial lean, and that's simply because he's going to be needing
00:23to throw the ball.
00:25It may not be efficient.
00:26It may not be pretty.
00:27But if they are in obvious passing situations, he could easily get to 230,
00:32240 yards, even in a losing effort.
00:35So, close numbers for both the quarterbacks, 225, 227.
00:38Any initial thoughts on those?
00:40Yeah, I'm with you on Drake May, and I'll take it a step further.
00:43I think they need to have Drake May at that number.
00:47I think if they don't have Drake May anywhere near that total,
00:51I think they potentially get blown out, and it's an under in this matchup.
00:55It could look something like 27 to 13 in that aspect, just because, again,
01:00if they're going to look to go into this game, run the football between the tackles,
01:05Ramondre Stevenson, and not utilize Travion Henderson on the edge,
01:10they're going to get blown out.
01:12They're going to be put, to your point, in long third-down situations.
01:15That means a pass rush for Demarcus Lawrence getting on Drake May,
01:20and we know how turnover-prone he's been when he's been pressured.
01:23So, the mindset for this offensive staff, for Josh McDaniels,
01:27has to be more aggressive in the passing attack on first and second downs
01:32to open up the run.
01:34So, I think Drake May, it's imperative he gets over that number, Tom.
01:40That's a great point, and it's a great way to put it.
01:43You know, I think the easiest way to put it is if Drake May finishes with 189 yards,
01:49then the Pats lose this game going away.
01:51Like, Seattle is out in front.
01:52They're controlling everything from top to bottom.
01:54They shut down the run.
01:55They shut down the pass.
01:56And then, therefore, the Pats just don't stand a chance.
01:59The Pats need Drake May to have at least 230 yards if they're going to have a shot in this game,
02:03because that ultimately, as we just discussed before,
02:06would open up opportunities for Stevenson and Henderson in the backfield
02:09where they can at least have some type of effectiveness in the run game.
02:12When it comes to the quarterback passing touchdowns,
02:14they're both sitting at 1.5, but we're seeing plus money on Drake May for over 1.5.
02:19That's at plus 120, and it's minus 114 for over 1.5 for Sam Darnold.
02:23Any thoughts there?
02:24I would take a shot on May.
02:27Again, they have to score points,
02:28and if I'm going in back in New England to be aggressive,
02:31that could be Drake May in the passing attack.
02:34Again, I'm playing the over, so it wouldn't shock me if, you know,
02:37I don't know if we get as high as L.A., Seattle,
02:40but I think we can get into the low 50s in this matchup.
02:43Absolutely.
02:44There's plenty more to discuss.
02:46My mind immediately goes to the touchdown scores market for the Super Bowl
02:51and the way that I would like to play it,
02:53as we see only two players at minus money odds.
02:55It would be Ken Walker, minus 190, JSN, Jackson Smith, and Jigba at minus 110,
03:00but I'd be looking to Hunter Henry or Steph Diggs,
03:04either of them, to catch a touchdown pass.
03:06Hunter Henry is at plus 220.
03:07Steph Diggs is at plus 250.
03:09I would like to think if Drake May does throw at least one touchdown pass,
03:13one of those would come through.
03:15Any thoughts on those?
03:16Or a lot of plus money across the board,
03:18because Ramondre Stevenson is that next player at plus 155.
03:22Everyone else is plus money except for Walker and JSN.
03:25Yeah, I mean, again, JSN has been a dominant red zone option for that offense,
03:32but Travion Henderson in the receiver, five to one, Tom,
03:35it would be Travion Henderson and Hunter Henry,
03:38and Hunter Henry could be an option in the red zone.
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