Exploring Betting Strategies for the National Title Game

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00:00you don't think it's going to be a big route the last couple games indiana has just been on a tear

00:06is there any value can can you go find any alternative lines just up if you think indiana

00:12might pull away and and lay 14 or lay 21 in that oh for sure you can definitely go alternate spreads

00:19find yourself some plus money it's an eight and a half point spread you think they win by two

00:23touchdowns which to cover eight and a half points would not be out of the ballpark of

00:27you know any kind of idea minus 13 and a half i don't know what the plus money price is on fan

00:32but you're going to have at least two bills to one would be my guess i also think there are a way

00:37bobby's just to simply break down the football game it's one of my favorite things to do

00:40from the sports wagering perspective we're just talking about who wins a football game

00:45by how many points and how many points you're scored and if you paint a path to victory for

00:49what either side what you feel is the likeliest outcome you can find a coordinating bet that you

00:54want to place we were talking about the point total earlier for the game overall sharps on the

00:59under schlegs thinks there might be some points to the over if that's the case and indiana wins

01:03comfortably you got to look at the hoosiers team total over 27 and a half now it's got some juice at

01:08minus 130 but to get the four touchdowns for this indiana team seems almost like a walk in the park

01:14and perhaps what is the most likely outcome in this spot we have seen indiana as well be dominant

01:20from the very jump the only team in the history of the 12 team college football playoff of the

01:25eight that have earned an opening round by to even be ahead at the break in their first game following

01:30that open weekend they led alabama by 17 at the rose bowl they jumped all over oregon 35 to 7 the lead

01:37at the half in the peach bowl as well if you want a shorter price than lane eight and a half for the

01:42game overall the hoosiers minus five and a half in the first half to continue their strong and

01:47impressive starts would be a way of looking at so one of the things i saw where you could bet after

01:53um after miami won on thursday the friday you could actually take a futures line and take a look at that

02:00with oregon or with indiana i think indiana from what i remember was around five and a half minus five

02:05and a half yeah it opened at seven and a half now it's up to eight and a half do you see much more

02:12movement with that here prior to kick do you think it'll go up at the game go down day of game

02:18where do you kind of envision that moving because it's been it's a lot of movement there for just two

02:22days yeah no i don't think it moves much more bobby perhaps to nine and a half but indiana's not

02:28going to think i do not believe indiana touches double digits you're pretty it's only plus 138 minus

02:3413 and a half that's terrible that's terrible you're talking about now winning a game by 14 points

02:41as opposed to nine a five point margin that would necessitate a touchdown that's crazy but i also

02:47think if you just read between the lines and you've been around this thing for a while that goes to

02:52show you the odds makers do not want to give you the carrot they do not want to dangle that big plus

02:56money price because of what indiana has done and how large those margins have been i don't think this

03:03line moves much more bobby because as i said 84 of the public handle on indiana as the favorite

03:1097 of the sharp handle as i see it out in sin city on indiana as the favorite there's not going to be

03:17at least in my estimation a super super large bet that would come in and change this either which way

03:24unless miami started to take some money as we get closer to monday which could happen i don't think it

03:28gets larger than eight and a half if anything maybe it trends back down to eight seven and a half i think

03:34this will be the final spread eight and a half points in favor of the hoosiers to win their first

03:38ever national championship