Big Ten Championship Preview & Heisman Trophy Implications

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00:00Two zeros, Joe.

00:01Somebody's going to have a one at the end of this game,

00:02but both will be moving on.

00:04But understand this as well.

00:05Julian saying Fernando Mendoza.

00:08Props in this game, 229.5 for Sam.

00:10206 for Fernando Mendoza.

00:13If we look at their touchdown, props here to throw.

00:15Over 1.5, minus 148 for Sam.

00:17For Mendoza, over 1.5 at a plus 130 price, Joe.

00:20I'm going to ask you about those in a moment.

00:22But this feels like it could be an unbelievable eliminator

00:25for who's going to win the Heisman Trophy.

00:28And if you look at the odds to win it,

00:30Mendoza plus 155, saying plus 200.

00:33Squeezed in there, Diego Pavia.

00:35Tell me about this game, Joe,

00:37and what it means to these quarterbacks

00:38and the expectations for you

00:39on how they can deliver in this game.

00:41Yeah, so you see the total 46.5, right?

00:44So we're expecting, I mean,

00:45the book's expecting a lower type of game.

00:48So again, if Mendoza throws for 200 yards,

00:51one touchdown, no interceptions, and they win,

00:53is that good enough to get them to Heisman?

00:55I don't know.

00:56He's got 32 touchdowns, five interceptions on the year,

00:59completing well over 70% of his passes.

01:01On the flip side, you have Sayan, 30 and five.

01:04Again, not as much of a household name as Mendoza.

01:08But again, he lights up Indiana,

01:10and all of a sudden, he throws for 330 yards

01:13and four touchdowns.

01:14He's going to explode onto the scene.

01:16So, you know, it's an interesting matchup.

01:19I'll just say this.

01:20When you look at this game,

01:22it's going to be, can Mendoza attack that secondary over the top?

01:25Because when you look at what Ohio State has done,

01:28they're only giving up 128 passing yards per game, Donnie.

01:31They are very good in the back end,

01:33holding opposing quarterbacks to a completion percentage under 60%.

01:37Yeah.

01:37They've only allowed five passing touchdowns all year.

01:40Amazing.

01:41So, again, I think Cooper,

01:42I think those wide receivers are going to have to be active.

01:45I don't think they take the approach of run the football first.

01:48I think they have to take the approach,

01:50play action on first and second down,

01:52open up the defense a little bit,

01:54then you could run a little bit later in this matchup.

01:57We know that Ohio State has a great front seven,

01:59holding opposing offenses to 75 rushing yards per game,

02:02two and a half yards per rush, going to be very difficult.

02:05But I will say, when you look at the body of work for Ohio State,

02:08this is the most explosive offense.

02:11They have played 56% conversion rate on third downs for Indiana.

02:16They're averaging basically 480 total yards per game,

02:20229 on the ground, 254 through the air.

02:23And when they run it, they are effective.

02:25The problem is going to be they are going to stock the box.

02:29And Ohio State's going to say, we're going to play big boy football.

02:31You have a Heisman Trophy winner or a potential guy,

02:35try and beat us over the top against our secondary.

02:38Easier said than done.

02:39But I still think Indiana could do it.

02:41I think Cignetti learned from last year.

02:44He has better weapons and a better quarterback than last year with Rourke.

02:48I think they win this ball game.

02:50Yeah, Rourke was out there at the end of the year like on a torn ACL,

02:52still trying to play some football here.

02:54Let's play scenario style in this game, Joe.

02:56I'm going to give you the final score at 23 to 20.

02:59Doesn't matter who wins the game,

03:00because I'm going to explain it this way.

03:01I feel for Nino Mendoza right now as the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy.

03:0623-20 score.

03:07It doesn't even, again, unless he threw three interceptions.

03:10They win, talking about Indiana, Joe.

03:12He's the Heisman.

03:13Reverse it.

03:1423-20 Ohio State.

03:16I don't think Cain's the Heisman.

03:18It's the Pavia.

03:18It'll go to Pavia.

03:19There you go.

03:20I agree, because he's right now plus 170, right?

03:23Entering the weekend, he was entering plus 170.

03:26He's not going to play.

03:27But, again, he has the hype.

03:29You think about Diego Pavia, right?

03:31You know, the hype for Vanderbilt in Nashville.

03:35He's got the stars hanging out with him.

03:38He's a household name.

03:40You know Diego Pavia.

03:42So, again, it's going to come down to if this game blows into the 50s

03:46and both of these quarterbacks light it up, then, yes, they could steal the show

03:50because they're going to have basically maybe close to 40 touchdown passes

03:54in college football, which is phenomenal with an undefeated record.

03:57We'll see exactly how this plays out.

03:59I will just say this.

04:00If Indiana, Donnie, can run the football, again,

04:04I don't think that's the approach tonight.

04:05I think they take the play-action pass first and throw it to run it later.

04:10But if they can run the football, they have six games this year

04:13where they rushed for over 300, undefeated, the margin of victory,

04:18and one of them is included with an FCS opponent, 47.3 points per game.

04:25I mean, that's almost 50.

04:27That's unheard of.

04:29You're covering numbers whether you be a dog or a favorite in that type of situation.

04:34And I talk about the front seven for Ohio State.

04:37You know, they are one of the best in the nation, 81 yards per game allowed,

04:412.7 yards per rush.

04:43This is going to be the matchup.

04:45I hope that Cignetti is more aggressive with the passing attack

04:49because if they just play it straight up, that's a game that Ohio State wins.

04:53Answer me this too, Joe, because all year long we've been impressed with Ohio State,

04:56particularly defense.

04:57But sometimes you look at their roster of games and say it's a little bit underwhelming.

05:01Loved what they did against Michigan last week,

05:02but that's a Michigan offense that tends to struggle.

05:05Indiana doesn't struggle.

05:06Ohio State is built for it.

05:08You give me 22 degrees and windy conditions, we'll shut you out.

05:10This is in a dome against an offense that they haven't seen all year.

05:14Is this going to change your mindset?

05:16Because, again, both of these teams, you know, win or lose,

05:17they're going to the college football playoff.

05:19If Indiana wins this, are they your favorite to win the national championship at that point?

05:22Yeah, because, again, you pick apart.

05:26It's how they win.

05:26They pick apart this defense tonight through the air, which, again, I'm not suggesting that.

05:32I think they win the game, but it's on Mendoza.

05:35He's got to live up to the hype.

05:37If he picks apart through the air something that Arch Manning couldn't do, they win.

05:42Woo.

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05:44P Saturday.

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05:5880asında.

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06:06That's right.

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