00:00Looking at the latest line movement for the first game today.
00:02It's the Los Angeles Rams and the Carolina Panthers.
00:05We're seeing some 10s in the marketplace along with 10.5, so maybe a downturn.
00:09Let's start here, Joe.
00:10Do we see a 9.5 before we get the game time?
00:12I think we do.
00:13I think we get a 9.5 somewhere.
00:15Do you?
00:15Not from your local either, from a legitimate book.
00:18All right.
00:19I don't see it.
00:20I think we stay at 10.
00:22I can't believe that many people are buying into Carolina.
00:26Like, look, it's a huge spread.
00:29And we've seen these huge spreads in these type of situations in first-round playoff games step up and cover.
00:35But the perception still is it's Matt Stafford and McVay, and this was a team that many picked or many thought in the middle part of the season was the best team, not only in the NFC, but maybe the NFL, right?
00:48And now they're laying 10 points to a team that backed into the playoffs.
00:54I can't see us getting 9.5.
00:56I mean, it would be a great opportunity if you want to potentially, you know, try a middle with, you know, if you've got 10.5s and it lands on 10.
01:04It's a high number.
01:05It is a tight number, but it's a number that, you know, you can middle.
01:09I mean, a 10-point number, 30 to 20, you're there.
01:12Because here's the fun part about that, too, is like, you know, as well as I do, like, you're handicapping based on what can probably happen in the fourth quarter.
01:18This score is 27 to 10.
01:20Rams don't care anymore.
01:22Empty touchdown.
01:23Oh, look, you're inside of that number.
01:24Like, we've seen that multiple times.
01:26Now, Joe, take a look at this.
01:27The over-under tickets that I'm looking at, 75% of the public is on the over in this game.
01:32Yet, 46.5 at the opening number has now turned into 45.5.
01:37If we can, we don't have a crystal ball in the weather.
01:40But if you get a day that's a little bit rainy, they're going to score points.
01:44We just don't know how bad this weather conditions could possibly be with the rain at this forecast, which has me holding off.
01:49Don't love this game, but as we had the morning crunch, there's a lot of angles, I think, on the props that make some sense.
01:53But I am struggling on both the side and the total in this game, and the weather has a little bit of concerns to do that.
01:59Depends on the book that you go to.
02:00Like, I'm looking at this report from 46 minutes ago on a bet at MGM.
02:05Popular bets.
02:07Rams, Panthers, under 45 is the number one one.
02:09Wow.
02:10And that's on MGM.
02:11So it really goes, you know, depending upon the book-to-book.
02:14That's why I say this information now where they're flooding you with stuff, you have to take it with a grain of salt and just basically go off what I believe is going to happen.
02:23And again, I believe that the Rams will go into this game wet track, you know, dry track, looking to push tempo because they have the better, more complete quarterback in this matchup.
02:35I don't think they look to go in with Kyron just running the football.
02:39I think they want to jump up 14-3, 14-zip and see if Bryce Young and that passing attack can duplicate what they did basically a month and a half ago, which was put up 206 yards through the air and three passing touchdowns.
02:53I mean, that's why you're seeing the 10 and a half is because the books don't believe that Bryce Young and this offense are as consistent as where they were in the middle part of the year.
03:04And we'll see.
03:05Again, you know what you're getting out of L.A.
03:07They're going to feed Devontae, they're going to feed Puka, and Stafford's potentially going to throw it 35 times in this matchup.
03:14But I do think if they are aggressive, Carolina, L.A.'s defense has been exposed down the stretch where they can potentially put up points.
03:24That's why my best bet, I'm leaning to the 10 and a half points on the side, but I like the over 45 and a half, Donnie.
03:30Game turned in that game number one that they played on November the 30th, they had a pick six.
03:34I think Horn got it on the outside on a jump throughout, and that certainly set it in motion.
03:37And also, you have the Rams with a legitimate chance to win that game late, but a fumble on Matthew Stafford getting sacked, and that game turned it over to Carolina.
03:43They end up picking up that victory, and also a huge fourth and two, fourth and one play.
03:47They went to Ted McMillan for a big play touchdown there.
03:50A lot of big plays, we'll see if that happens today, but make sure you keep your mind and your eyes on those weather conditions that could change your betting here.
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