00:00By the way, looking at the Buffalo Bills' exact win total in the season,
00:02it gets a little bit easier.
00:03You know it's hard for exact win totals?
00:05Yeah, week number one, you don't know what you're going to get
00:06through the rest of the season.
00:08Two games left.
00:09They play, we're talking about Buffalo at home,
00:11the Philadelphia Eagles and the New York Jets.
00:14Now, they have 11 currently wins now.
00:16If you see 11 exact wins for them, it's a 68% chance,
00:20up 35% than what we just saw a few short weeks ago.
00:2412 wins at 65%.
00:26Here's the key that we don't know yet.
00:28What is that Week 18 game against the Jets actually going to look like
00:32and if Buffalo needs that game?
00:33If they don't, they're resting.
00:34And also, at the same time, the Jets aren't trying to win any football games.
00:37The Eagles game also is interesting because the stakes aren't extremely high.
00:41The Eagles are in the playoffs.
00:42Buffalo is in the playoffs.
00:44A couple guys banged up, like A.J. Brown, no wisdom teeth,
00:46hasn't practiced all week here.
00:48You take a look at Josh Young, got injured last week,
00:49a little bit hobbled for this one.
00:51This is an exact, I would actually say, Joe,
00:54I think Buffalo beats the Eagles this weekend just because of the home field advantage.
00:57I'll go with exactly 12 wins at 65%.
01:01How about that?
01:03Is there more than 12, Donnie?
01:05Is there 12 plus or is there 13?
01:08Is that an option?
01:09We have to have 13 wins is 76% chance.
01:13Wow.
01:13So you're not getting a discount.
01:15Yeah.
01:15Wow.
01:16Yeah.
01:16So they think they beat the Eagles.
01:18Then the prevailing thought is beat the Eagles.
01:20And you're right.
01:22I mean, it's going to come down to next week against the Jets.
01:24And I happen to think the backups of Buffalo will still beat the starters for the Jets.
01:29So I think, I think that's not a bad look.
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