00:00have a coach of the year winner it also seems like the market has made their mind up I'm taking
00:04a look at calcium right now 85 percent chance the coach of the year winner is Mike Vrabel you know
00:09who's in second of course it's Mike McDonald head coach of the Seattle Seahawks and these two teams
00:14will meet in the Super Bowl McDonald trading at 14 percent but I understand this I love the job
00:20Vrabel's done but should he be trading Joe at 85 percent when McDonald's only 14 percent also
00:25can't we just wait till the end of the year and say who wins the Super Bowl is actually the coach
00:30of the year wouldn't that make more sense here Joe you would think but the storyline of Vrabel and
00:36taking the Patriots from nothing to contender right after everyone thought once Belichick left it was
00:44going to be doom and gloom but Mike McDonald led a Seattle team that missed the playoffs last year
00:49to the number one seed in the NFC and in a rational market Donnie the coach of the number one seed
00:56shouldn't be trading at a 71 cent discount like McDonald is but the turnaround story in a major
01:03media market like Boston is getting a massive premium this is a market Donnie where you want
01:10to avoid the underdog because again the voters have likely already made up their minds offensive player
01:17of the year in the NFL looks like it's going to come down to two wide receivers that's Jackson
01:22Smith and Jigba a sensational season for Seattle trading at 86 percent here talking about Puka Nakua
01:28he's trading at 10 percent right now looks like JSN running away with it here as he runs into the Super
01:34Bowl Joe yeah and he absolutely should be right Donnie and this is another one of those situations where
01:42yeah the market is pretty much telling you like this is as close to a bond yield on the board here we're
01:49talking about a market price that is just telling you they know the winner and why would you want to
01:56ignore that and allocate capital someplace else it's the easy money it's the easy play that's how you have to
02:04look at it we'll see how that turns out because I was telling people just about a week ago ah 10 percent
02:09Mike McCarthy no chance here which is basically what Puka Nakua is trading at right now if you do say
02:14you know what I'm going against that trend give me Puka Nakua because Puka had a lot more catches than
02:20JSN yards about similar along with touchdowns if you invest $100 at 11 percent chance that comes back
02:26at $910 as a property or for you if you take Puka Nakua the man in third place no shame in his game
02:33it was Christian McCaffrey at 6 percent as a trading chance with JSN 86 percent and heading toward a Super Bowl
02:40here riding it out Joe yeah and well deserved but again it's not a market that you want to try
02:49and go down the board and look for value the value is the easy situation here which is JSN
02:56who will also have one more week to prove his worth
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