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00:00bill steelers lacy i'm curious what do you think about this one i feel like you and i have had fun
00:06breaking down these pittsburgh games this season zig and then zag and then zig on the zag it's a
00:11field goal number today against buffalo i mentioned key injuries double tackles down for buffalo no
00:19deon dawkins who has been incredible for buffalo for a long time and the pittsburgh defense that
00:25has been leaky this year has an elite pass rush against backup tackles maybe this looks a little
00:32different i got a field goal number what are you thinking pittsburgh buffalo i think it's buffalo i
00:38can't i can't bet i can't be you see i don't know i didn't play i think i think i think it's buffalo
00:43in a big way i just don't again i think look i know the offense has issues but they still have
00:50josh allen i know there's tj watt there i know that front seven but this is an aging defense
00:56and i've said it from the start of the year till now i just believe that pittsburgh is a seven win
01:03football team and i think they're going to showcase that again i think they over exceeded early and i
01:10know rogers got a little ding that didn't matter they weren't winning the games that they won with
01:15them and you tell me i mean that game last week against chicago that defense gave up 31 to caleb
01:23what do you think they're going to give up to josh allen this is the josh allen chill on the ground
01:29through the air i just don't it's look i i think buffalo was good for at least 30 in this game
01:36and oh wow and i think it's a rocket ship all buffalo in this match oh boy why rogers is gonna
01:44play okay rogers is gonna play that doesn't do anything for me because he's injured and so so
01:51the arthur smith and tomlin yeah are gonna go into this game run it we're gonna run it yeah right
01:58okay all right they're gonna run the ball non-stop exactly and and and that's eventually when you have
02:07a bad defense right but they know what the game plan is already they're not threatened over the top
02:14they're gonna stuff the box look i i just think yeah pittsburgh might score 17 20 but buffalo's
02:21getting 35 to 40 in this game yeah i don't have that same conviction or thought process right now
02:30i think that this is going to be not just one team who looks to run it non-stop in pittsburgh but i
02:36think similarly for buffalo if you're the bills dropping back josh allen 40 times in a game where
02:44you're down two tackles against you know watt highsmith hayward that isn't how i would look to
02:51attack here i understand but you have a you have a quarterback on the other side that has a wrist
02:56injury yeah okay well you want to play their style of game or do you feel you have the best player on
03:04the field and the best way to establish and put pressure on pittsburgh is to get them out of their
03:10game plan right and so if i'm buffalo i'm pushing tempo i don't care that i have two tackles it's not
03:16like we're in high school you know the tackles that are going to step in for deon dawkins and the
03:23the other side are going to be adequate and you still have josh allen who's mobile i i just think
03:28the game plan for me if i'm buffalo is josh allen cooks we win by double digits josh allen is
03:36conservative and we don't open up the playbook we play right into pittsburgh's hands lower scoring game
03:42we're going to be in a dogfight so i think the thing for buffalo though joe and why i i haven't
03:49played the under is we've seen them have big performances just via the ground right you know
03:56the james cook game in carolina where he ran for 200 and i think they would be thrilled if this could
04:02look something like that we've seen james cook be super explosive this season i think if you look
04:07through some of the rush attempts props within this game because i was looking through cook options i was
04:12looking through josh options they clearly are expecting a more ground heavy approach now you know if
04:18you're right and you know we talk about pittsburgh zag so if this is one of them joe then maybe you
04:23know you've clipped a good one here i was all in all looking maybe for each team for a rushing
04:30touchdown you know i know sometimes we can see those markets i wasn't really able to define one
04:34because you would expect buffalo to be able to get one that is how you score touchdowns against the
04:40bills is on the ground and i i think this is one of the like rogers has a pass attempts prop of
04:47around 31 and a half is rogers throwing the ball 30 times like if they get that behind i almost wonder
04:55if he gets pulled in the game i'm not yeah i'm not looking the pittsburgh side and that's possible
05:00but again i think okay and you look at the last three games at home kev 35 25 against green bay flew
05:08through the total 27 20 uh that was basically uh against the colts that was an over uh 27 20 no i actually
05:16didn't think that snuck but it's still average 47 points right and then and then 34 12 against
05:22the bengals that's 46 the last three games they've been in the mid 40s and this is a do or die game
05:28for buffalo
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