Ashton Daniels vs. Ty Simpson: Quarterback Prop Lines

SportsGrid

Watch Ashton Daniels vs. Ty Simpson: Quarterback Prop Lines - SportsGrid on Dailymotion

Transcript

00:00But Joe, explain to the people what they are getting from Ashton Daniels today at quarterback for Auburn and what difference can he make?

00:06Well, to me, Ashton Daniels is just a mature quarterback.

00:10Is he elite? No.

00:11But he's a mobile guy.

00:13He's mobile enough to utilize the RPO game.

00:16And again, he's a smart quarterback.

00:18Jackson Arnold was still a deer in the headlights in big matchups, holds the football way too long, leads to sacks, leads to turnovers.

00:27You get a different quarterback with Ashton Daniels that could maybe get the football to Singleton and Coleman.

00:33They're two big play wide receivers.

00:35Came out in relief in the road win over Arkansas.

00:39He's a better quarterback and more mature and smart, I believe, than Jackson Arnold.

00:45Now, we were just talking about about 150 or so passing prop here for Underwood, the Michigan-Ohio State game, Joe.

00:50Similar here for Ashton Daniels.

00:52158 and a half is his passing prop.

00:54His touchdown prop to throw one.

00:55It's juicy at minus 225.

00:58Ty Simpson, Joe, 272 and a half, and also one and a half touchdown passes at minus 136.

01:03I would go over with Daniels.

01:05And the only reason why I say that is because I think they're going to be able to run the football.

01:09And if they utilize the rushing attack, again, Alabama giving up 121 yards per game, 3.8 yards per carry.

01:17But we saw teams like Florida State pound it for over 200.

01:20When you run the football effectively, that allows the play-action passing attack to take over.

01:26Now, Alabama only giving up a buck 48 through the air.

01:29But I think they can run on them.

01:30That leads to Daniels.

01:32When you look at Ty Simpson, he's averaging 292.

01:36But that front seven of Auburn could get after it.

01:38And that's why I think they contain Alabama's offense.

01:41So I would go over Daniels under maybe Simpson tonight.

01:44Let's go to the rushing props here.

01:45How about this one, Jeremiah Cobb, Auburn, Joe, 66 and a half rushing yards listed prop here.

01:50Daniel Hill for Alabama, 39 and a half.

01:52Nothing listed for Jan Miller here.

01:53Yeah, he's been banged up.

01:54Again, this is an offense that is struggling to run the football.

01:58Again, if you're going to take anything, maybe you take Ty Simpson rushing yards today.

02:02I'm not sold on the Alabama rushing attack in any capacity.

02:06I told you earlier it's one of the worst rushing attacks in Alabama history over the last 15 years,

02:12dating back to when Nick Saban was there.

02:14That leads to long third downs.

02:17It's do or die with the passing attack.

02:19And again, I can't back any Alabama rushing total outside of maybe the quarterback that potentially hits paid dirt.

02:26Jeremiah Cobb, I think he could get it 100 plus today, Donnie.

02:31Put it this way.

02:31If you're back in Auburn and you want the rushing attack to keep Ty Simpson on the sidelines

02:36and obviously wear down that defense, Cobb, I think he could hit paid dirt.

02:40They don't like going to him in the red zone, which is amazing because he does all the dirty work between the 30s.

02:47But in the Iron Bowl today, I think he hits paid dirt.

02:50Take a look at the receiving props today, Joe, from an Auburn perspective.

02:53We'll get to Alabama in just a moment.

02:54Cam Coleman, 52 and a half.

02:56Eric Singleton, Jr., 36 and a half.

02:58Any looks from either one of those guys or are you just centered on the running game?

03:01Well, Coleman, I would look here at not yards but any time touchdown.

03:04He's a bigger body.

03:05He's like a George Pickens type if you watch him.

03:07He can catch the football at its highest point.

03:09But getting the discounted number on Singleton, 32 and a half, I like over that.

03:15How about the Bama side of things?

03:16Jeremy Bernard, I know you liked him all season long.

03:1865 and a half is the list of total.

03:19Ryan Williams, underwhelming this year, Joe, but still 53 and a half.

03:23And then Isaiah Horton, the Miami transfer, 28 and a half here.

03:26I think Horton could be big for them.

03:28Again, Horton has stepped up in big matches.

03:31You watch the game against Missouri.

03:33Horton had some big catches.

03:34Bernard is the guy in red zone opportunities that Ty Simpson loves going to.

03:39Williams, to me, too hot and cold.

03:42I like Bernard.

03:43He's been more consistent.

03:44I will say starting tight end for Bama, out.

03:47That could be a cause of concern.

03:48We'll see how they utilize the passing attack today.

03:51Touchdown props, Joe.

03:52Somebody's going to score touchdowns in this game.

03:54The only question is who.

03:55If you did like Isaiah Horton, Joe, he's at a plus 320 price to find pay dirt as a wide receiver.

04:00The favorites, though, no surprise.

04:01It's Jeremiah Cobb, minus 135, and Daniel Hill, plus 105, two running backs for each institution here.

04:07The big-time wide receivers are the big names, I should say, for Alabama.

04:10Jeremy Bernard, plus 115, and Ryan Williams at a plus 150 price.

04:14Jan Miller actually has a price point, Joe, of plus 155 in this game.

04:18What are we looking at from a touchdown perspective, Alabama and Auburn?

04:20Well, like I said, I like Cobb.

04:22I like Cam Coleman on the Auburn side.

04:26I would lean to Bernard in the red zone for Alabama.

04:30But I think Ashton Daniels on the ground today.

04:32Again, you got the more mature quarterback.

04:35He's experienced, big game.

04:37He's mobile enough to make plays outside the pocket.

04:41Game on the line.

04:42Tuck it and run.

04:43I think that's always an option.

04:45But for me, it's definitely Cam Coleman in the passing attack.

04:48Now, let's get to our fun game, Joe.

04:49The total yards market here.

04:52And I think you're going to like some of this stuff here.

04:54Let me ask you, Auburn's total yards today, what you think it is?

04:59300.

05:00330 and a half.

05:01Okay, what's the rushing total for Auburn today?

05:04Let's go to the rushing total.

05:04I would say the rushing total.

05:06Go ahead.

05:06What do you think?

05:08155.

05:09152 and a half.

05:10I love it.

05:11They're averaging 170.

05:12What's the correlation?

05:12They don't rush for 150 and win in this game.

05:14Well, I think the correlation is, again, if Bama jumps out early,

05:18you're going to have to pass, right?

05:19So, Bama jumps out early, you're going to have to pass.

05:22Now, they're averaging 179 on the ground for Auburn.

05:26To me, I think, again, it all comes down to how you believe this game's going to play out.

05:30I'm back in Auburn.

05:32I think they're going to be able to run the football down their throats.

Category

Transcript

Be the first to comment

Recommended