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00:00All right, we're back.
00:02You guys ready?
00:03Let's go!
00:15Icy.
00:18Set.
00:27Ready.
00:28This is the Pro Football Football Show, powered by Chevy Silverado.
00:34Welcome to the Pro Football Football Show presented by the Chevy Silverado.
00:38Head to Chevy.com to learn more and build your own Chevy Silverado.
00:41Week 13 of the NFL.
00:43We did do a Thanksgiving special before we started recording this one,
00:46so the vibes are already a little heated.
00:48Fred has promised that if the Chicago Bears win on Friday night,
00:52which when this airs I'm assuming we'll already know that,
00:54you are going to get on one knee and apologize to Dan.
00:57Propose.
00:58I'm going to say no.
00:59I'm going to spit in your face.
01:00Hey, basically I'm going to apologize to Big Cat
01:03and I'm going to apologize to the band's fan base
01:06because evidently I was wrong.
01:08But we don't know that yet.
01:10Yeah, we don't know that yet.
01:11We are recording this on Monday,
01:12so a lot of different things can happen,
01:13but we hope you guys had a great Thanksgiving.
01:15Guys, before we go to the rest of the games,
01:17I've got to say everybody went five and six last week.
01:19Is that right?
01:20Yeah.
01:21All of you guys went five, six, and one?
01:22Yeah.
01:23That's actually like the probability of that seems crazy.
01:25Tough week.
01:26The Seahawks giving up a touchdown with like 40 seconds left sucked.
01:30That one sucked.
01:31It was most of the point sprees.
01:32It wasn't the winners.
01:33We picked the right winners.
01:34It was the point spree that did us in.
01:36Well, Jerry didn't pick the right winner, but yeah.
01:39What did I pick?
01:40I mean the Survivor League, you made me pick the Bears and I picked the Bears.
01:43Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
01:44That was wrong, buddy.
01:45Yeah, I'm out.
01:46Out again.
01:47I got no problem being out.
01:48Coach, how are you doing?
01:49Is Jerry okay?
01:50Yeah.
01:51Is Jerry all right?
01:52No, he's not.
01:53I'm not good, John.
01:54I'm not looking forward to Thanksgiving.
01:55He's not looking forward to Thanksgiving.
01:57Bye, humbug.
01:58Yeah, seriously.
01:59I'm in a bad spot.
02:00He's in a bad spot.
02:01You want me to?
02:02Are you going to be in a bad spot until the end of the season?
02:04Oh, the season's done.
02:05Well, I know that, but like how long is this bad spot going to be?
02:08Until I get to see Will Howard.
02:10Okay.
02:11Okay, so it's going to be a while.
02:12Ugh.
02:14It's going to be a while, okay, Fred?
02:16Let's jump into the storyline games of the week presented by the Chevy Silverado.
02:19So the Sunday games this week, we'll start with the Texans at the Colts.
02:22Dan, the Colts minus four and a half.
02:24They lose in overtime to the Chiefs last week.
02:27The Texans beat the Bills on Thursday night football.
02:29So just a couple of weird things that happened, but what do you look at for this matchup?
02:33Listen, the Texans looked incredible against the Bills.
02:35That defense is so, so good.
02:37They absolutely hammered Josh Allen.
02:40But here's why I'm going with the Colts.
02:42The Colts have had a little bit of a weird, you know, let's call it three weeks, month.
02:47They play a game in Pittsburgh on really bad turf.
02:50Then they got to go across the pond, play wherever they played in the international game.
02:54Then they got to go play again outside in Kansas City.
02:57This offense was explosive inside.
03:00They're getting back inside at home.
03:03I feel like this is a bounce back spot for the Colts.
03:06Maybe a little too high on the Texans after that Thursday night game, which they were incredible.
03:10So I'm not taking anything away.
03:12But I think this is where you can buy the Colts maybe a little discount because they haven't looked great the last few weeks.
03:18Coach, what do you think?
03:19You know, I can't get over that Houston performance either, Dan.
03:22That was an ass kicking man.
03:24I mean, they got these two pass rushers are incredible and they have to shut down corners.
03:29Lasseter is just as good as Stingley.
03:33He's a great tackler.
03:34You know, the Texans are also an excellent indoor Astro turf team.
03:40And when you watch these two pass rushers come off the ball indoors on this fast track, I can't tell you, I feel this song in my ears when I'm watching the Colts right now.
03:51It's called slip sliding away.
03:53Yeah.
03:54I just kind of feel like it's slipping and sliding away from them.
03:58Jacksonville is crawling in here.
04:00The Houston Texans to me, if CJ Stroud comes back and is ready to roll, that could be a lift for this offense.
04:08I'm going to take the Houston Texans because if they get a lead on you, it's over, man.
04:13It's over.
04:14They unleash the beast, man.
04:15These guys can kill you.
04:16Okay, Fred.
04:17Where do you land on this one?
04:19All right.
04:20Check this out.
04:21Remember this name, Davis, the neck meals, right?
04:25Davis meals, the neck.
04:27All right.
04:28The one thing about the neck, he's came in here and he settled everything down.
04:32Coach is 100% absolutely right.
04:35This defense is a nightmare.
04:37Coach told me last year, nightmares.
04:39I have nightmares about this Houston Texan defense.
04:42They can get after the passer.
04:43They can stop the runner.
04:44They're extremely one of the best, if not the best, cornerback in the league.
04:48I'm going with the upset.
04:50I told y'all.
04:51I smell a stench, a pretender on these Colts.
04:54I'm going with the Houston Texans.
04:57I think CJ Stroud is back though.
04:59Well, that's an upgrade.
05:01Okay.
05:02Okay.
05:03So either way.
05:04I'm going with this team.
05:05Yeah.
05:06Yeah.
05:07But you're taking them either way.
05:08Yeah.
05:09I'm taking them regardless of who quarterbacks for the Houston Texans.
05:12Okay.
05:13All right.
05:14Let's go to the next game.
05:15The Rams at the Panthers.
05:16The Rams minus 10.
05:17Coach, I will start with you.
05:19The Rams beat your Bucs.
05:20I'm sorry.
05:2134 to 7.
05:22How are you feeling about them?
05:23Oh.
05:24I know.
05:25When did you turn it off?
05:26When did you turn it off?
05:27When did you turn it off?
05:28When did you turn it off?
05:29Of course.
05:30I don't feel any sincerity in that.
05:31That's not sympathetic.
05:32That was a sarcastic habit.
05:33No, it wasn't.
05:34I would two kid yourself.
05:35When did you turn the game off?
05:36I would never.
05:3710 minutes in?
05:38When did you turn the game off?
05:39I would never be mean to you.
05:40When did you turn it off?
05:41Listen.
05:42The Rams, you guys forget the Bucs for a minute.
05:44The Rams are killing people, man.
05:46Yeah.
05:47Lowest paid defense in football.
05:49I don't think people realize their defense, to me, is the biggest surprise with the Rams.
05:56Their corners are covering.
05:58This Mississippi State kid is better than Fred Smoot.
06:01Emmanuel Forbes is better than Smoot.
06:03Yeah.
06:04Kobe Durant.
06:05I mean, they're doing a hell of a job with this pass rush.
06:08Kobe Turner, Byron Young, Jared Burst is a beast.
06:12And Matthew Stafford, 30 touchdowns and two picks.
06:16Sean McVay.
06:17I love L.A.
06:19And I think they're going to go to work on Carolina, who's missing their starting inside
06:23linebackers.
06:24They got a tough game at San Francisco.
06:27It's a short week for Carolina.
06:29I believe the Rams are going to win and cover.
06:32Dan?
06:3310 points is too much.
06:34The Rams are the best team in the NFL.
06:36I agree with you there.
06:37They are.
06:38There's no one who you would trust more right now than the L.A. Rams.
06:4310 points is a lot, though.
06:45And I expect, we're taping this before Monday Night Football.
06:47I feel like the 49ers are probably going to win, so it might even be higher than that.
06:51But I'll take the 10.
06:52I'll take the 10 points.
06:53Rams are going to win, but 10 points is a lot.
06:55Fred?
06:56Do not be scared of the tension.
06:58Don't be scared of the 10 points that's right there.
07:00Don't look at the 10 points.
07:01Look at McVay versus their head coach.
07:04Look at Matthew Stafford, the ageless one, versus Bryce Young.
07:08Look at this offense versus that defense.
07:11It equals 10 points to me.
07:13Right now, the Super Bowl favorite, if somebody had to pick and tell everybody the truth,
07:17is the Los Angeles Rams.
07:19It's something about this quarterback.
07:23It's like wine.
07:24He's just getting better with time.
07:26Put him in the cellar, leave him there, and let him win Super Bowls.
07:29I'm going with the Rams.
07:30I have no reason to pick the Panthers in this one.
07:34Okay, it's time for Jerry coordinator.
07:36Yeah.
07:37So we're never going to try defense again.
07:38We're just strictly offensive coordinator, right?
07:40Well, yeah, exactly.
07:41This week especially, I know Gruden said he loved the bunch set.
07:44So I'm going back to the drawing board with the bunch set.
07:47This is a play action, John.
07:49Play action.
07:50It's a variation of Y-cross, okay?
07:53So there's a lot going on here.
07:55First things first, we need good protection.
07:57If we don't have good protection, this play is probably dead.
08:00We need time.
08:01If you have a great offensive line, you could run this play, okay?
08:04So we're going to play action to the running back, okay?
08:07And there's a lot going on.
08:08The Z is just doing a really, really shallow drag across the line to the linebackers.
08:14Hopefully, this linebacker comes down.
08:18You'll have the Y-cross deep if he does.
08:21And let's say the safety stays with him here.
08:23You'll have the flanker, John, on a deep.
08:27He's going to run a post, but it's a curl right here.
08:30So he's got a soft spot in the zone here.
08:32And guess what?
08:33If everybody's covered, and this guy right here, the X, right?
08:36This is just a go route, okay?
08:38We want to take this cornerback completely out to play.
08:42This halfback right here, okay?
08:44If we get one-on-one with the linebacker here, okay?
08:47If we get one-on-one, this is just a halfback wheel.
08:50I'll take my shot all day with this halfback.
08:52A lot going on here, but I'll tell you what.
08:55This is why cross play, it could beat you a million ways if you got the protection.
08:59Jerry, sit your keystone on that tailgate.
09:02Nah, that ain't going to work.
09:04You sounded confident.
09:05I liked it.
09:06John, I mean, this is a great play.
09:08I like the play.
09:09I like three-level plays.
09:10I like a clear out, like you say.
09:12I would peak the clear out, Jerry, just in case one of these corners falls down.
09:16Then I'd throw the deep cross to the shallow cross and get on with it.
09:19The only thing I get a little bit confused with, with Jersey Jerry, Fred,
09:25is I don't see, like, four tight ends on the field at once, like Pittsburgh.
09:31And I don't see any bubble screens.
09:33You know, so I'm confused.
09:34First plays don't work.
09:35That's why I don't draw.
09:37That's a hell of a play, Jerry.
09:39I mean, you got to have protection.
09:41You said it best.
09:42You're going to have to have Trent Williams and Tristan Wirfs on the same team.
09:47You might want to just check to a bubble screen if you see a blitz.
09:50You guys are pretty good at that.
09:52Okay.
09:53Yeah.
09:54I mean, I have everything covered.
09:55If we got a blitz from this linebacker right here,
09:58we got the Z coming across the middle.
10:00Why don't we?
10:01Perfect.
10:02I like the play.
10:03I like the play.
10:04I think it's an aggressive play, Thanksgiving-type play.
10:06Yeah.
10:07Called on first and ten in a sudden change.
10:09I'm with you, Jerry.
10:10Get prepared today, John.
10:11And, Coach, you made this man smile.
10:14This man's been down bad.
10:15Like, he's smiling again.
10:17Oh, he needs a hug, Casey.
10:18Look at him.
10:19He needs a slap in the face and a hug.
10:21I'll give him a big hug after the show.
10:22You know, on Thanksgiving, that play would only work if we was in the backyard playing in a turkey bowl.
10:27That's the only time they play with us.
10:29How many times you play on Thanksgiving, Fred?
10:31I played my whole time in college against Ole Miss, Mississippi State rival on Thanksgiving.
10:36I played the Cowboys, Cowboys Redskins on Thanksgiving every year, Jerry.
10:42And how many times you win?
10:43None.
10:44No, I won in college.
10:46I'm going to play.
10:47I won in college.
10:48I won in the league.
10:50Well, don't worry, Fred, because we're about to turn that smile right upside down because we have to talk about Jerry's Pittsburgh Steelers.
10:58The game of the week presented by the Chevy Silverado.
11:00We've got the Bills at the Steelers.
11:02The Bills minus three and a half, Jerry.
11:03I'm going to start with you.
11:04I know you've said when we did the Thanksgiving episode with this one, the season's over.
11:08You're down bad.
11:09Yes, yes.
11:10So nothing.
11:11Listen, I got a question for John, okay?
11:12I need to ask this question.
11:14Is it just too stale in Pittsburgh?
11:16Is this it?
11:17I mean, it seems like they kind of went all in this year, John.
11:20It's not working out.
11:22Everything is stale in Pittsburgh.
11:23It's the same exact season over and over again.
11:26Where do they go from here?
11:27Geez, it's so negative, Jerry.
11:29I mean, it's the modern NFL.
11:31It's anybody's game.
11:33It's going to be a bunch of guys that are mentally tough, that can handle the peaks in the valleys.
11:39You got to get Aaron Rodgers back out on the grass.
11:42And every once in a while, you got to let them drop back the pass and throw the ball down the field.
11:48But most importantly, you need to go to Pittsburgh and have a meeting with the defense.
11:53And explain to the defense, hello, it's crunch time.
11:58It's your time.
11:59We got to get this defense getting turnovers, making some impact plays.
12:04They just got to play complimentary one game together.
12:08Hell's bells.
12:10Well, coach, do you think that you think they could could beat the bills?
12:14I think they can beat the bills.
12:16I don't think the bills.
12:18I don't think anybody I've seen is unbeatable.
12:20I don't think Fred does either.
12:22That's why we're sitting here five and six every week.
12:25We can't pick a game.
12:27Somebody wake up and make some plays.
12:30I think Pittsburgh, I don't know if they even have a home field advantage.
12:34That's what pisses me off.
12:36I saw Green Bay go to Pittsburgh and they had to use a silent count because Green Bay took over the stadium.
12:42Buffalo might do the same thing.
12:44But I know this.
12:45Buffalo is beatable and they got beat up.
12:48Their offensive line is decorated as they are.
12:51They gave up eight sacks to the Houston Texans.
12:54Now, hello, Herbig, Watt.
12:57We got all these pass rushers.
12:59Let's freaking go.
13:00I'm going with the Steelers.
13:02And the reason I'm going with the Steelers is I can't stand seeing my friend, Jersey Jerry,
13:08curled up on the end of his chair with the back boat over like he's whining or something.
13:13God dang it, Jerry, let's go.
13:15I mean, any mood booster there?
13:17Listen, it's tough to get up because the Bears have three linebackers out.
13:22And the offense doesn't use the middle of the field.
13:25There was zero plays draw to the middle of the field.
13:28I mean, they had one pass complete over 10 yards.
13:31I just think these receivers are not good.
13:33They get no separation.
13:34They can't get open.
13:35I got no choice but to go with the Bills this week.
13:37Okay, Dan.
13:38Buffalo doesn't have any receivers either.
13:40I mean, they sat down, Keon Coleman.
13:43They're playing guys.
13:44They just brought back Gabe Davis from the practice squad.
13:47I mean, Shakir, he runs quick screens.
13:50I mean, Dalton Kincaid has been hurt.
13:52If you can stop Cook, you can stop the Bills.
13:55I think this is a huge game for both teams.
13:59And I'm really worried about the loser of this game not making the playoffs.
14:03Yeah, I'd agree.
14:04It's a very big leverage game.
14:06I'm going to take the Bills.
14:07I think the Bills are going to bounce back.
14:08They can't be.
14:09That was a really bad game for them on Thursday night against the Texans.
14:13The Texans just took it to them.
14:15The Steelers' defense is not the Texans' defense.
14:18You mentioned James Cook.
14:20They got to run him more.
14:21They got to let him just keep.
14:23He's such an electric back.
14:25They go away from it too much.
14:27They put too much on Josh Allen to be Superman, which he can sometimes,
14:30but then you have games like Thursday night where he didn't play great.
14:33So I think they're going to run the ball.
14:34I like the Bills.
14:35Fred?
14:36Boo-hoo, Jerry.
14:39If you do all that crime, what the baby going to do?
14:42At the end of the day, it's simple.
14:45You go with the best quarterback on the field, and that's Superman, Mr. Josh Allen.
14:51One thing I always tell people about superheroes, you can't keep them down alone.
14:54They won't win every fight, but they're going to win most of the fights.
14:57And when I look at this team, I see just a better team.
15:00I'm not saying any of these teams are great, but I see a better Buffalo team there.
15:05And with the quarterback attack, even if Aaron Rodgers was playing this game,
15:08I wouldn't bet a red cent on Pittsburgh.
15:11I'm going with the Buffalo Bills.
15:13Better team.
15:14And they just got the better flow right now.
15:16All right, let's go to the playbook picks presented by DraftKings.
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15:36Dan, a rare playbook pick because the Chicago Bears are playing on Friday,
15:40some different episodes.
15:41So you have the Vikings at the Seahawks.
15:43The Vikings at the Seahawks.
15:44The Vikings at the Seahawks.
15:45J.J. McCarthy has a concussion.
15:46He might be out.
15:47He has played really, really bad football.
15:50If he's playing bad, what's his backup?
15:54I don't know.
15:55Brosmer.
15:56I just think this is a really tough spot for a Vikings team that it feels like their season
16:00is officially over with how it went down in Green Bay on Sunday.
16:06I'm going to take the Seahawks.
16:07Seahawks also kind of let the Titans stick around a little too much,
16:11where I think you get some coaching from that being like,
16:14hey, we're good, but we're not that good.
16:16We have to still play four quarters.
16:18Jackson Smith and Jigba is the best wide receiver this year in the NFL.
16:21I like the Seahawks to win and cover.
16:23Coach, what do you think?
16:25Yeah, I like the Seahawks a lot.
16:27I think this is the Sam Darnold game.
16:29I think Sam wants to get a piece of his old team.
16:32You know, anytime you're outcast or you're cast away by your former team,
16:38you want to come back and beat their ass.
16:39I don't care what he says in the media.
16:41And I'm sure the Seahawks players, like you said, Dan,
16:45not real happy about losing to the Rams,
16:48not real happy about that performance against the Titans.
16:51I think they're going to rally around their quarterback.
16:54I think they are going to put one on Minnesota.
16:57I think the Vikings are a mess.
16:59Fred?
17:00Yeah, I got to go with the fellas here, man.
17:03You don't ever back an angry dog into a corner, especially a hungry dog.
17:08This Seattle Seahawks team, like y'all said, Coach,
17:10that's the best coaching tape when we win,
17:12but don't perform to your expectations, right?
17:15Yep.
17:16Well, and that's what you got with this team right here.
17:19You got a team that hasn't been clicking on all cylinders,
17:21and now I look for them to establish the run game against the Minnesota Vikings.
17:25I look for Jackson, Smoot, and Jigma to get jiggy with him
17:28and get down the field and make some plays.
17:30And I cannot wait to see this defense get back on track
17:33because they got the pass rushes.
17:35They got the cornerbacks.
17:36They got everything you need.
17:38I'm a former Viking.
17:39I will not watch this game.
17:41It's going to be a Travis Sham mockery.
17:43It's a Seattle by 15.
17:46How do you get jiggy, man?
17:47How do you do that?
17:48I like that.
17:49Oh, my God, that was good.
17:54Okay, Coach, your playbook picked the Cardinals at the Bucs.
17:58Man, you know, my Tampa Bay Buccaneers,
18:01they're coming off a couple tough games.
18:03You know, coming out of that bye week, they lose to New England.
18:06They go to Buffalo.
18:07They go to L.A. Rams.
18:09This is a must win for Tampa Bay.
18:12I'm very proud to say I'll be at this game smooth.
18:15Simeon Rice is coming back.
18:16He's going to the Ring of Honor.
18:18It's going to be an emotional game.
18:20I think Todd Bowles has had some time on the airplane last night to really think about what lineup to use on defense.
18:28I think Hasan Reddick will be back soon.
18:30I'm hoping Bucky Irvin is back.
18:32We saw a little bit of God when he came back.
18:35I'm really concerned about Mayfield if he's not ready to play.
18:39But I still think Teddy Bridgewater is a quality backup.
18:42I think they can rally around them.
18:44Arizona is reeling.
18:46I'm looking for Tampa to win this game and get on with this season.
18:50We have a very favorable schedule if you check it out.
18:54We could win out if we can get our quarterback up right.
18:57Fred, what do you think?
18:59Arizona is the booger on your finger that just won't get off.
19:03They just, they're nasty.
19:05All right?
19:06They're nasty.
19:07But Coach just brought something up.
19:08You got Baker out.
19:09You got Bucky Irvin out.
19:10You got receivers hurt.
19:12You got defensive players hurt in Tampa.
19:14This is one of the hardest games of the week for me to pick
19:16because I don't know who's playing and who's not playing in the game,
19:19but I know I'm picking against Arizona.
19:21The only team I won't pick against Arizona is the Tennessee Titans.
19:24Other than that, I'm not picking Arizona.
19:26I'm going with the Tampa Bay Bucs.
19:28I just think they're the better team.
19:29They got the better players.
19:30They got the better coach.
19:31Dan?
19:32Yeah, I'm going to take the Bucs as well.
19:34Gruden's right.
19:35I mean, this was, they had a three-game stretch here
19:38where they played some really, really good teams, tough competition.
19:41And now they have to get going.
19:44And they have games they should be favored in.
19:46They should win the NFC South,
19:48but it starts this week against a Cardinals team
19:50that has not shown that they can win football games.
19:52So I'll take the Bucs as well.
19:54Okay, Fred, your playbook pick, the Broncos at the Commanders.
19:58Now, I know I'm the only Washington believer in the house,
20:03but we all know, Coach, every year, no matter how good your team is,
20:07you're going to have that game where you just pee down your league.
20:10You know it.
20:11You know it.
20:12You know it.
20:13We're going to all have that game where you just don't show up
20:15and you don't be the team that you have been all year.
20:18I'm going to go out on a limb right now,
20:20and I know this going against everybody feeling.
20:23I'm going to say the Washington Commanders,
20:25cover, not only cover with the six and a half points,
20:28but we outright win the game.
20:31You ask me how?
20:32I don't know.
20:33It's just going to happen.
20:34The football guys are going to shine on me, and I cannot wait.
20:38Dan?
20:40You're wrong.
20:41The Broncos are just better.
20:43I mean, they are.
20:44Their defense is better.
20:45They're both off a bye week.
20:47The Broncos have played with their food a little bit in some of these games.
20:50I think you're going to get a concerted effort to not do that.
20:53The Commanders are bad, Fred.
20:55They are.
20:56It's a season from hell.
20:57But we're getting hefty.
20:58We're getting hefty right now.
20:59Okay.
21:00I'm going to get some guys back.
21:01And let me.
21:02Is Terry McLaurin playing?
21:03They say that for a reason.
21:04Is Terry McLaurin playing?
21:05It could be a great chance that he could play.
21:07Okay.
21:08Is Jaden Daniels playing?
21:09Could be a good chance he could play.
21:11No.
21:12There's no way Jaden Daniels is playing.
21:13Hey.
21:14He dislocated his nun throwing up.
21:16Yeah.
21:17He could play.
21:18He's going to play?
21:19I don't know that.
21:20All right.
21:21I mean, if Jaden Daniels plays, I guess I'll take the Commanders,
21:24but he's not going to play.
21:25So I'll take the Broncos.
21:26Coach, what do you think?
21:29I like the Broncos.
21:30I don't care if these guys play or not.
21:32When they do play, they don't play very good.
21:34That's true.
21:35And if they do play, they're just going to get hurt again
21:37because Denver's going to knock the living shit out of these guys.
21:40I love Denver on defense, man.
21:42Getting Dre Greenlaw, Hufanga, bringing that mentality into this aggressive style.
21:48I don't know how Washington is going to block Denver.
21:52I think Bo Nix is going to have his way with your defense.
21:55As long as they just don't get depressed coming out of the locker room
22:00in that stadium they got to go to.
22:02And, Dan, you're taking the Broncos?
22:03I'm taking the Broncos as well.
22:04They can lose.
22:05Okay.
22:06Anybody can lose, Fred, at any given time.
22:08That's true.
22:09Any given Sunday.
22:10Any given Sunday.
22:11You've just lost eight times this year.
22:14Well, guess what?
22:15Big Cat, I picked the Dallas Cowboys to go beat the Philadelphia Eagles.
22:18Nobody.
22:19That is true.
22:20That is true.
22:21No, I did because I did too.
22:22And I bet my hard-earned money on it.
22:24Well, you're a smart man for listening to Schmooster Dummies.
22:28All right.
22:29Let's go to the Fox 1 rapid-fire picks of the week on Fox 1.
22:32You can stream your favorite live sports so you never miss a Did You See That moment.
22:36It's built for live.
22:37Edge of your seat plays.
22:38Jaw-dropping highlights and the kind of moments that you shout in your living room
22:41like you're at the stadium.
22:42Your seven-day free trial today offers our subject to change.
22:45Go to Fox 1 for complete terms and conditions.
22:47Dan, we will start with the 49ers at the Browns.
22:50The 49ers minus six and a half.
22:51Yeah, I'm going to take the Browns in this game.
22:53The Browns defense is one of the best in the league, if not best.
22:57Miles Garrett, 18 sacks.
22:58He's going to smash the sack record.
23:00He's had 14 sacks in the last five games.
23:03I think this defense keeps them in every single game.
23:05The 49ers coming off a short week because they're playing on Monday Night Football.
23:10I'll take the Browns plus the points.
23:12They're in these games.
23:13Whether they win it, I don't know, but they're in these games.
23:15Coach?
23:16You know, the last time San Francisco went out to Cleveland, I think they lost.
23:20It's a hard place to play when the weather turns.
23:24The thing I do like, though, is the 49ers have a lot to play for.
23:28And I think Brock Purdy's return has really energized the 49ers.
23:33They're a mess on defense.
23:34I mean, Jacoby Brissett went 47 for 57 against the 49ers.
23:40I think it's going to be a close game.
23:41I think it's going to be an ugly game.
23:43But the 49ers are going to win this.
23:45Coach, what did you see from Shador Sanders?
23:47He's obviously always a storyline.
23:48What did you see from him last week?
23:50Well, not enough.
23:51Not enough.
23:52I mean, they had the great bomb.
23:54It was an all-out blitz.
23:55It should have been a sack.
23:56But the Raiders screwed the blitz up.
23:59He did a good job escaping and making a nice throw.
24:02The bubble screen was the worst defensive play of the season I've seen by the Raiders.
24:07I just haven't seen enough of Shador yet.
24:10I give him credit.
24:11But the interception backed up with a 14-point lead.
24:14Could have been catastrophic.
24:15The Raiders, they just can't get out of their own way right now on offense.
24:19But I got a lot of respect for Shador.
24:22I know he has a long way to go.
24:24Hopefully, more practice time will enhance his performance.
24:28All right, Fred.
24:29Who are you taking in this game?
24:30I ain't going to take...
24:32I ain't going to toot my horn again, because I told y'all Shador was going to go win that game.
24:36I knew the Browns hadn't won in a long time, but I just had faith.
24:39And you're right, Big Cat.
24:40Miles Garrett is an unstoppable force.
24:43I don't think nothing that the 49ers can do.
24:46Like, I can't wait to see that battle of Goliaths.
24:49Trent Williams versus Miles Garrett.
24:52My God.
24:53That's King Kong versus Godzilla.
24:55I don't know who's going to win that one.
24:57But it's going to be an all-out brawl.
24:59I am going with the Browns of Cleveland, because their defense moves needles.
25:04Their defense changes.
25:06I asked myself, is the 49er offense game changing?
25:10It's the Cleveland defense game changing.
25:13It's the Cleveland Browns defense.
25:15I'm going with Cleveland.
25:16All right, let's go to the Saints at the Dolphins, coach.
25:19The Dolphins minus six.
25:21I tried to tell you about the Dolphins a few weeks ago.
25:25They're out of terror.
25:26They're going to be back in this thing.
25:28They're going to win this game.
25:29The Saints really struggled yesterday against the Atlanta Falcons.
25:33They're going to win this game.
25:34The Dolphins, and then they're going to go to the Jets and win that game.
25:38And pretty soon, I'm going to be saying I told you so.
25:41You saw what happened, Fred, against your Washington Commanders.
25:46Yeah.
25:47Miami Dolphins have shown some heart, man.
25:49They don't quit.
25:50They're playing hard.
25:51There's a chance Darren Waller returns to the lineup, and that'll really help them in
25:56the middle of the field.
25:57I like Miami to win this game and cover.
25:59Fred?
26:00I got to agree with the old ball coach right there.
26:02I got to see Tua, and he moved the ball.
26:05He pushed the ball down the field.
26:07Jayden Waddell is a deep threat, and he can catch a five-yard pass and turn it to eight-yard
26:11touchdown.
26:12And let me tell you something about Devon A-Chain.
26:15A-Chain is a guy, if you don't get eight people at the line of scrimmage, he can burn
26:20you.
26:21All right?
26:22And New Orleans have not really shown me anything that they do well.
26:26They're not a very good running team, not a very good passing team, not good on special
26:31teams, not really good on defense.
26:32I'm going with the Miami Dolphins to make this one even.
26:35The coach keeps his job another week.
26:37Dan?
26:38Yeah, I mean, Fred just said that they suck at everything, so I'm going to take the
26:42Dolphins.
26:44He did.
26:45I mean, he's right.
26:46The Saints suck at everything.
26:47They suck at everything.
26:48Do they do one thing good?
26:51That's all.
26:52They can't kick.
26:53I'm so sick of watching that kicker come out and miss kicks.
26:56Do you like the new uniforms, Dan?
26:58Do you like the black on black with the black helmet?
27:01I like the old gold helmet.
27:02Agreed.
27:03Agreed.
27:04They got to go.
27:05And they also wore a combo a couple weeks ago that was disgusting on the road.
27:08Because when they go on the road, they should wear the all whites, and then when they're
27:10at home, they should wear the blacks with the gold helmet.
27:12Yeah.
27:13I like it.
27:14All right, Fred.
27:15The Falcons at the Jets.
27:17You picked the Falcons last week.
27:18The Falcons minus two and a half.
27:20Yeah.
27:21When I look at this team, I'm seeing, I don't know why people forget that Kirk Cousins used
27:26to be a star and quarterback in this league.
27:28All right.
27:29Their backup is not the average backup.
27:31The problem I have with the Atlanta Falcons, they just refuse to ride the back of B.
27:36John Robinson.
27:37You got some of the best mustard in the world.
27:40You won't even make a sandwich with it.
27:42What I'm saying is this.
27:43He is a legit unicorn, and I think he's special when it comes to the game of football.
27:48I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons again.
27:50This week, I just think they're better than the Jets, but the Jets will not just let this
27:54happen.
27:55They got some fight in them, but not enough fight.
27:57They're going to get beat up this game.
27:59Coach?
28:00Yeah, this game doesn't really move my meter.
28:03You know what I mean, Casey?
28:04Yes.
28:05It doesn't.
28:06You know, look at Dan Katz sitting right there.
28:08It looks like the weather just got bad in Chicago.
28:11He's like, ugh.
28:12I mean, this game sucks.
28:13This game sucks.
28:14It stinks.
28:15You should be able to say when games suck.
28:16It does stink.
28:17Very much.
28:18Yeah, I'm going to take the Falcons.
28:19I can't pick the Jets ever this year.
28:21Yeah, I'll take the Falcons too.
28:22Forget it.
28:23Gross.
28:24Yep.
28:25All right, Dan, the Jags at the Titans, also very gross.
28:27I think the Titans might be able to cover this game.
28:29Six and a half.
28:30Six and a half.
28:31They're playing a little bit better.
28:33Cam Ward had probably had his best game against Seahawks.
28:36Good Seahawks defense on Sunday.
28:38I'll take the six and a half.
28:39I'll bite.
28:40I'm going to take the Titans plus six and a half.
28:42They probably won't win this game, but the Jags do just enough to shoot themselves
28:46in the foot a bunch of times and keep teams in these games.
28:49They should have beaten the Cardinals by more.
28:52I'll take the Titans plus six and a half.
28:54Fred, I know you said you'll never take the Titans, but do you think they can cover the six and
28:57a half?
28:58They're going to think about it.
28:59I said I would never take the Titans to win a game, but I don't feel as strong saying,
29:05you know what, Jaguars makes me feel good to say they can beat them by six and a half,
29:11because Trevor Lawrence is the luxury car with a bad engine in it.
29:16It looks good on the outside.
29:17It's not working good in the inside.
29:19I don't know what's wrong with them, but I just refuse to pick the Titans.
29:23No watch TV.
29:24I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars.
29:26Coach?
29:28Where do you get these lines, Fred?
29:30Luxury car, bad engine.
29:32That's a good one, man.
29:33I love that.
29:34And then the Bobby Brown one with the new addition band.
29:37Those are great analogies.
29:39I appreciate that, Coach.
29:41You know what, Casey?
29:42This game doesn't really move my meter either.
29:44Okay.
29:45But I'm proud of the Jaguars.
29:46Being from Florida, I think Dan had a lot of question last week about can they follow
29:51up that butt kicking against the Chargers?
29:54They were impressive.
29:55I mean, they humiliated the LA Chargers two weeks ago.
29:59Then they fly across the country.
30:01They gut one out.
30:02They beat a team they should beat.
30:04And I think they're going to go to Tennessee and get this as well.
30:07Do you hear them coming down the track a little bit?
30:10They're closing in on the Indianapolis Colts.
30:13I'm impressed with this defense of the Jaguars.
30:16I think they're going to give Ward some problems.
30:19Some of the plays Ward made against the Seahawks were incredible.
30:23Running around, reversing the field.
30:25That kind of stuff doesn't fly and consistently fly in the NFL.
30:29Okay, Fred.
30:30The Raiders at the Chargers.
30:32The Chargers minus 10.
30:34Well, remember we talked about that dead tooth?
30:37The Raiders got the dead tooth removed from their mouth called Chip Kelly.
30:41That's the way how you get out your way and try to get some winning going on.
30:45Now, will I pick the Las Vegas Raiders?
30:49No.
30:50Never.
30:51They in the same category of the Tennessee Titans.
30:54I'm going the opposite direction.
30:56Kels, Casey.
30:57Never going to pick the Raiders.
30:59Dan?
31:00Yeah.
31:01I mean, the Raiders are the worst team in the NFL.
31:02I actually think they are worse than the Tennessee Titans.
31:04But my good friend Jersey Jerry has the Raiders as his mortal this week.
31:08So I'm going to take the Raiders plus 10.
31:10Something different with Chip Kelly gone.
31:13Max Crosby.
31:14Who's going to block him?
31:15Raiders can stay in this game.
31:17I mean, I'm just buying them at their absolute lowest because they can't get lower than what they are right now.
31:23So that's your mortal, Jer.
31:24Yeah, it is.
31:25It is on advisors, you know.
31:26Dan always used the term, you're never as bad as you look.
31:29And I think they're bad, but listen, they could be in this game.
31:32Sometimes you are ugly.
31:33Yeah, fair.
31:34I mean, that is fair.
31:35I mean, sometimes you are.
31:36But are they 10 points ugly, Jer?
31:38No, no.
31:39Okay, that's the key.
31:40Coach?
31:41You know, I feel like some of the statements you guys just made are really personal.
31:45Right at me, too.
31:46About the Raiders.
31:47Your team stinks.
31:48You know, you guys emphasize the words.
31:51Like, they stink.
31:53You guys have a real ability to make me feel bad.
31:57I'll tell you what, it hasn't been pretty.
31:59They fired the offensive coordinator.
32:01They already fired the special teams coordinator.
32:03Hell, that's a good reason to pick the Raiders this week because they look better than the Chargers did when they played last.
32:10Because the Chargers didn't play this past week, they were on a bye.
32:14When they went to Jacksonville and played the Jaguars, they lost 38-6.
32:19They couldn't get out of their own way.
32:21This is a big rivalry game.
32:23That spread is way too high.
32:25The Raiders, you might see a new quarterback, Fred.
32:29They might change quarterbacks with the new offensive coordinator.
32:32I would strongly recommend that.
32:34But the Raiders are going to win this game.
32:37They're going to find a way to get some mojo going.
32:40Now, that's crazy.
32:42He has to say it.
32:45That's crazy.
32:46Man.
32:47I believe it.
32:48The Raiders, did you watch the Chargers against the Jaguars?
32:51Yeah.
32:52You guys just don't want to admit it.
32:54You and Malisak, you guys just avoid the niggas.
32:56No, no, no, no.
32:57It was 38-6.
32:59I mean, Malisak won't even come on the show right now because he still has two black eyes and a bloody lip from the beating he took against Jacksonville.
33:06Okay, Coach.
33:07He doesn't believe it, Big Cat.
33:10He doesn't believe himself.
33:11He's got to, you know, when you're weak, you've got to act strong.
33:15That's what he's doing right now.
33:16Yeah.
33:18He might believe it in his heart.
33:19You never know, Fred.
33:20No, he doesn't believe the Raiders are going to win the game.
33:22Don't laugh to yourself.
33:23Win the game.
33:24All right, Coach.
33:25We'll finish with Monday Night Football, December 1st.
33:27Can't believe December's already here.
33:28The Giants at the Patriots.
33:29The Patriots minus seven and a half.
33:31Yeah, I wish Portnoy was here because I'm on board with them.
33:35I'm jumping on the table with the Patriots, man.
33:38I mean, I like the way they play.
33:40I love Josh McDaniels as the offensive coordinator.
33:43They had nine different receivers.
33:45You know, if it's Hunter Henry's week, it's Hunter Henry's week.
33:48If they need to get Henderson going at running back, he can lead the team.
33:52They got Stephon Diggs going.
33:54They have a lot of ways they can move the football.
33:57And Drake May's getting like Josh Allen.
33:59He can create with his legs.
34:01And the defense is much improved.
34:03And their kicker has made 15 out of his last 16.
34:08That was my big question.
34:09I'm taking the Patriots.
34:11They have not played a very hard schedule, Dan.
34:14I wish you'd read the teams that they have beaten since they beat Buffalo.
34:19And I don't know who made their schedule.
34:21But maybe Bob Kraft has friends in the league office.
34:24I don't know.
34:25But they got the best schedule in the NFL.
34:27Read those teams, can you?
34:29It's crazy.
34:30They played basically every bad team that you could find every single week.
34:33Can you read them?
34:34Because I think it's worth reading just to make sure we all are on the same page.
34:39If they had gone to Houston or L.A. or Seattle or Green Bay or, you know, one of these teams.
34:45But when you read these names, the Raiders did beat New England for all you Raider haters.
34:52They did go to Foxborough and kick their butt.
34:54Yeah, and Santa Claus used to dig his ears.
34:57The Bengals, the Jets, the Bucs, that's not good for you.
35:02The Falcons, the Browns, the Titans, the Saints.
35:05Yeah, I mean, you are, you know, but they've won 10 games.
35:09So you can't really say anything about it.
35:11Take it away from them.
35:12Yeah.
35:13They have two big games coming up.
35:14They have the Ravens and the Bills later in the season.
35:16We'll see what they are.
35:17But I'm taking the Giants in this game just because they fired their defensive coordinator.
35:24They still have guys on defense, especially the defensive line.
35:27Will Campbell's now out.
35:29So I think the seven and a half points, I think the Patriots are going to win the game.
35:33But seven and a half points, give me the Giants.
35:35Fred?
35:36I told you guys and ladies that Jameis Winston must be protected at all costs.
35:42He's a national treasure.
35:44I love to watch Jameis play.
35:46Listen, I'm not picking the New York Giants.
35:49Don't even think that.
35:50I'm going to pick the team who head coach is still hired.
35:52I'm going to pick the team who still got their starting quarterback.
35:55I'm going to pick the team that got May Day on it.
35:58Because let me tell you something about Drake May.
36:00Coach said it.
36:01It ain't nothing on a football field this kid cannot do.
36:04He also has weapons behind him.
36:06He has weapons on the right of him.
36:08And he got five weapons in front of him.
36:10I'm going with the New England Patriots.
36:12They are the better team with the better dream.
36:15By the way, I want it on the record that if Jackson Dart starts, I'm going to take the Patriots.
36:19I'm just going to bet Jameis.
36:21I'm going to take Jameis no matter what.
36:23So if Jameis plays, I'm taking the Jameis plus seven.
36:25Okay.
36:26Please let the record reflect that.
36:27I want that on the record.
36:28Okay.
36:29Jameis.
36:30He's the best.
36:31All right.
36:32Let's go to hot takes, Dan, for week 13.
36:34My hot take is simple.
36:36Next week when we do this show, Fred Smoot is going to get down on one knee.
36:40And he's going to say, I'm so, so sorry.
36:42I should have stopped talking all that junk about the Bears.
36:46Bears are going to shock the world.
36:47Why can't they just win this game against the Eagles?
36:49The Eagles aren't unbeatable.
36:50The only team that is truly, like, on a different level right now is the Los Angeles Rams.
36:55Everyone else is kind of in that same category.
36:58So, Fred, get ready.
37:00I'll get you a knee pad.
37:01I'm going to make you stay on that knee for a long-ass time.
37:05And, Fred, the beauty of this is that when this airs, we will already know if that's true or not.
37:10Yep.
37:11So, one way or the other.
37:12You know?
37:13I love it.
37:14It will be already known.
37:15Okay, Fred, what's your hot take?
37:16I'm not afraid.
37:17I'm not afraid.
37:18What's your hot take this week?
37:22My hot take, I have already said earlier in the show, nobody wants to believe me.
37:26My hot take is the king of the hill, the Denver Broncos, fall to the people that's right under them,
37:33the Washington Commanders.
37:34We're going to shock the world.
37:35It happens all the time.
37:36It happened last week with the Cowboys.
37:38It's going to happen in Washington this week.
37:40We are going to beat the unbeatable.
37:42That's what y'all say they are.
37:43The unbeatable Broncos in that defense that is impeccable.
37:47We're going to see some cracks and some weaknesses in it.
37:49Okay.
37:50Coach, your hot take.
37:51I almost got sick listening to that hot take.
37:56I like Johnny Cash.
37:59I don't know why I've been listening to Johnny Cash, but I love a team that is just coming
38:04and coming and gaining momentum, and you just feel them coming down the track.
38:08You know, and there's three teams that are going to win this week and keep gaining momentum,
38:13and it's going to be a powerful thing.
38:15I mean, think about this song, Fred.
38:17The train kept on running down the railroad track.
38:22The Texans, Ravens, and Bears are on the attack.
38:27Watch out for the Ravens, the Bears, and the Houston Texans because the train is coming.
38:34I can hear it, man.
38:35I love the progress of those teams.
38:38I thought that was beautiful, Coach.
38:39Jump up that train.
38:41The train's coming down the railroad track.
38:44I like it.
38:45I like it.
38:46You've got a nice voice.
38:47Nice voice.
38:48You like that?
38:49I do, yes.
38:50Let's go to the survivor pool pick.
38:51So, Jerry was eliminated because he and Dan picked the Bears and the Steelers.
38:57So, Dan, you cannot pick the Texans or the Bears.
38:59I'll take the Chargers.
39:00Chargers?
39:01I know Coach Gruden well enough now.
39:03He doesn't actually think the Raiders can win that game.
39:06Yeah, you don't think the Raiders can win that game.
39:09I do.
39:10Coach, you cannot take the Steelers or the Packers.
39:13I'm going to take the Seahawks this week.
39:16They are going to work on Minnesota.
39:18Okay.
39:19And then, Fred, you cannot take the Seahawks or the Ravens.
39:22I'm going to take the Miami Dolphins to beat the New Orleans Saints.
39:27Okay.
39:28All right.
39:29Anything else, guys?
39:30No.
39:31Happy Thanksgiving, boys.
39:32Happy holidays to you all.
39:34Happy Thanksgiving, you guys.
39:35Team lose with Grace.
39:39We'll see you guys next week.
39:40See ya.
39:41See ya.
39:42.
39:44.
39:45.
39:46.
39:49.
39:55.
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