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00:00You've been saying it every week.
00:01You've been picking against the Bears every week.
00:03I just want to know from you, Fred, if the Bears win, what are you going to say next week?
00:07I'm going to get on one knee and I'm going to apologize to you on our show on TV.
00:12I'm not afraid to do that.
00:15Hi, Fred Snow.
00:17He'll renounce my throne.
00:19Bad day.
00:21Bad day in sports.
00:23All right.
00:24Hi, Fred Snow.
00:27First of his name.
00:30The last Targaryen, the top of the sports, renounced my throne and I've been in need to the big catfish.
00:40Our job's not finished.
00:42What do I, knight you?
00:43I don't even know what I do.
00:44He was wrong.
00:45All right.
00:46We're back.
00:47You guys ready?
00:48Let's go!
00:49I see.
01:03Is that hot?
01:04This is the Pro Football Football Show, powered by Chevy Silverado.
01:18Welcome to the Pro Football Football Show presented by the Chevy Silverado.
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01:26Lots been going on before the show.
01:27You've already bent the knee.
01:28The bastard from the South that lives in the North.
01:31I did bend the knee.
01:33I am the last Targaryen and I understand.
01:36I lost.
01:37The Chicago Bears are deservedly the number one team in the NFC.
01:42The North remembers me.
01:43No, listen.
01:44There's a lot left.
01:45Fred, I think, tried to...
01:47I appreciate your apology.
01:49I apologize.
01:50You were wrong.
01:50I was wrong.
01:51You've doubted the Bears all year.
01:53They're 9-3 now.
01:54They dominated the Eagles.
01:55Right.
01:56But Fred was trying to get me to dress up, too, and I sniffed that out because I feel
01:59like that was a setup for then the Packers to beat the Bears and then everyone to be
02:03like, look at you.
02:04You're crowning yourself.
02:05Front runner.
02:06Nope.
02:06Ain't crowning myself.
02:08I'm not finished.
02:09I'm happy you apologized, though.
02:10No, no.
02:11I'm the bigger man.
02:12Yes.
02:12I understand.
02:13We said it.
02:13I'm a man of my word.
02:15The Chicago Bears have exceeded all expectations.
02:18They have.
02:19They have.
02:19They're fun to watch.
02:20I'm more upset you're not wearing your cloak right now.
02:22Why'd you take it off?
02:23I was going to wear my cloak, but when you renounce your throne like that...
02:27Yeah, he's done.
02:27So he should be wearing it.
02:28My last name is basically Cat right now.
02:33Life is down here for me right now.
02:35It's just not a good time.
02:37It's not a good time, but we do have Stephen Chase sitting here for John Gruden this week,
02:40and I know you...
02:41Boo!
02:41I'm not going to boo you.
02:43I'm not going to boo you.
02:45Boo that man!
02:46I'm booing him.
02:46I'm the one who put him in the seat.
02:48I just get excited when Stephen's on the show because I look down and it's just like
02:53a paper full of stats.
02:54We are prepared.
02:55We are prepared.
02:56Very prepared.
02:56All right.
02:57All right.
02:57And Jerry, how are you doing?
02:58I feel great.
02:59I feel great.
02:59Great play this week, so I'm excited.
03:01Hopefully Smoot likes it.
03:02Yeah, I was about to say, you have to impress Smoot this week.
03:04Yeah.
03:04Impress Stephen, too.
03:06Yeah, Stephen.
03:06Yeah.
03:07Yeah.
03:07All right.
03:08I'm looking forward to seeing it.
03:09Yeah, Jerry got a lot of stuff going on these days.
03:12He got a lot of shit going on behind the scenes.
03:16Week 14 of the NFL, let's jump right into the storyline games of the week presented
03:19by the Chevy Silverado.
03:20The Steelers at the Ravens.
03:22The Ravens minus six, Jer.
03:24Yeah, listen.
03:25It's been bad in Pittsburgh.
03:27No doubt about it.
03:27Coaching's been bad.
03:28Offense, defense, head coach, everything is really bad.
03:32Rogers looks really old.
03:33But here's the thing.
03:35If there's a team who plays Lamar really, really well, it's the Pittsburgh Steelers.
03:41You go through Lamar, all the teams he's played throughout his career, his lowest QBR is always
03:46against the Steelers, turns the ball over a bunch.
03:49I believe he has a losing record against the Steelers.
03:52If not, he does.
03:54Yeah, he's really close.
03:55But he has a losing record against them.
03:57Six points is a lot.
03:58I'm going to take the Steelers here in this spot.
03:59Do I think they could win?
04:01I do.
04:02I do.
04:03I'm not all the way bought in, but there's a chance they could steal the game.
04:06Where's the confidence meter on it?
04:0840% they could win.
04:0940%.
04:10I'm not all the way there, but it's going to be a close game.
04:12You don't believe that, Jer.
04:14I do, because this is what they do, though.
04:16This is the type of game they would win.
04:18Yeah, it's weird.
04:18A guy like Mike Tomlin, his son Dino, they win this type of game.
04:22Yeah, jump that lane.
04:24Well, Dino doesn't win anything.
04:25There he goes.
04:26He beat the fuck out of you.
04:27He beat the fuck out of you, Pop.
04:30Put up the money.
04:31He beat the fuck out of you.
04:32Put up the money.
04:33I didn't know if we were bringing it on the show.
04:35We'll bring it up.
04:35That's fair.
04:36I can tell my side of the story.
04:38No, no, we don't want your side of the story.
04:39We want to see you get punched in the face.
04:42We don't want to hear it.
04:42Put up the money for him.
04:43Do the guarantee.
04:44You said that Fred's going to put the money out for him?
04:46If he could, bro.
04:46I put it up for Dino Tomlin.
04:48Hey, what you don't know is Mike Tomlin was my defensive coordinator at Minnesota.
04:52We got him the Pittsburgh job with the number one defense.
04:56Yeah.
04:57And now for you to turn your back because your quarterback looked like Rumpelstipskin.
05:01Then you got DK Metcalf.
05:03Hey, Rumpel wasn't around.
05:04He inherited that defense.
05:05Yeah, no.
05:06Let's face the fuck.
05:07No, no.
05:07All I'm saying is, Pittsburgh, y'all are such front runners.
05:11When y'all had this 20 years of domination, had your nose tooted up at everybody,
05:15and now y'all die here with the rest of us, and you don't know how to act.
05:20You're trying to fight everybody.
05:21Yeah, trying to fight people's sons.
05:24Yeah, that's crazy.
05:25Yeah, that's crazy.
05:25He's old as damn.
05:27Dino just got out of college.
05:28He's 12 years old.
05:30He's 23 or something like that.
05:31Yeah, 23.
05:32But I never said anything about fighting.
05:34What's this guy going to do, fight everybody in Pittsburgh?
05:36He's going to start with you.
05:38Put up the money.
05:39Let's do it.
05:40If he's going to start fighting, he has to start with you.
05:42Put up the money.
05:43I'm ready.
05:44Okay, Che, what do you think about this game?
05:46This game is always a fist fight between these two teams.
05:50Lamar, two and four against Pittsburgh.
05:52I struggle to identify what Pittsburgh's focus is on offense.
05:57Are they a passing team?
05:58Are they a running team?
05:59They're nothing.
06:00They're nothing.
06:01Yeah, they're nothing.
06:02Aaron Rodgers gets a lot of the heat.
06:03He is the quarterback.
06:04He's been bad his last three games, averaging 52% completion percentage.
06:09But DK Metcalf, where has he been?
06:12He hasn't surpassed 50 yards in five games.
06:14That's who he is.
06:15He has not been very good this year.
06:16Certainly, is it a product of the offense?
06:17Is it Arthur Smith?
06:18Is it Aaron Rodgers?
06:19I think it's a lot of things.
06:20I just struggle to place this team.
06:22That being said, this is a Mike Tomlin game where they end up winning this game.
06:25So what's your pick?
06:26I like Pittsburgh to cover the six.
06:27Okay, that was a terrible job.
06:29You're 0 for 1 on your picks.
06:30Way to shoot him back.
06:32No, no, listen.
06:33I'm taking the Steelers too, but have a little, like, you just basically shit on the Steelers.
06:37Yeah, and being picked them.
06:38And send a bunch of this and then just picked them.
06:39Yeah, okay.
06:40Listen, the Steelers and the Ravens, it doesn't matter.
06:46I know, obviously, the last two games, the Ravens blew out the Steelers and beat them by a couple of seconds.
06:50It doesn't matter, though.
06:51When John Harbaugh and Mike Tomlin play against each other, it's always going to be a close game.
06:58And the underdog is always going to be in the game.
07:00The underdog, since 2005, is 29-12 against the spread.
07:04When these two teams play, it makes no sense why the Steelers should be in this game.
07:10They fucking stink.
07:11Yeah, you smell it.
07:13But that's Mike Tomlin.
07:14This is the type of game that he stays in.
07:16Like, these are two wrestlers.
07:17They're going to make it happen.
07:18And I don't know if y'all remember this boxing match with Lamont Roach and Bonte Davis.
07:21It came to a draw, all right?
07:23Yeah.
07:23This is one of those games where you just turn your back and know when I come back, somebody's going to win that three.
07:29Right, right.
07:30That's all it's going to be.
07:30Right, you close your eyes.
07:31Yeah, you close your eyes, and it's just going to be a backyard brawl.
07:34But something's going on in Pittsburgh, more than just Jerry Hayden on grown men.
07:39It's more than something.
07:40Something is going on.
07:41Yeah, it's the coaching.
07:42It's everything.
07:42Offense and defense.
07:43They're terrible.
07:44All right, let me tell you about your offense.
07:45Arthur Smith used to be with me in Washington.
07:47The one thing about Arthur, he liked to run the ball.
07:49Y'all cannot run the ball.
07:51Arthur actually liked to push the ball down the field with play action.
07:54Well, that ain't what dirty man Aaron Rodgers does right now.
07:58D.K. Metcalf, where have you been?
08:01What are you doing?
08:02What if I told you your best weapon is 6'6", 311 pounds?
08:07Keep it in the box.
08:08Darnell Washington.
08:08Keep it in the box.
08:09Keep it in the box.
08:11All right, all I'm telling you now is I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens.
08:15Oh, wow.
08:16All right, I'm the only man of reason right now.
08:19They need it more.
08:20They feel like they got the more edge.
08:22They feel like they'll be the more dangerous team if they got in the playoffs.
08:25This is a playoff game.
08:26I'm going to look at it as a playoff game.
08:28Six points is too much.
08:29I'm going to be honest with you.
08:30It's a three-point game.
08:31But I did go 11-5 last week.
08:34Yeah, you did.
08:35I had his touch.
08:35Nice job.
08:36I'm going with the Baltimore Ravens.
08:38Are we a little bit worried about Baltimore and their schedule the rest of the year?
08:42Versus Pittsburgh, at Cincinnati with Burrow back.
08:44One game like that.
08:45Versus New England, at Green Bay, and then at Pittsburgh.
08:49Those are all tough games.
08:50Green Bay.
08:50Fugazi.
08:51If they win their division games, they'll be fine.
08:54They'll be fine.
08:55What do you mean, are we worried about them?
08:57They're not good.
08:58This is a division game, and the majority of us have picked Pittsburgh at least to cover the game.
09:04Then, again, this is going to be a division.
09:06To cover not to win.
09:07Yeah.
09:07It's a difference.
09:08You said close your eyes.
09:09It's going to be a three-point game.
09:10I don't understand what you mean when you say are we worried about the Ravens.
09:12The Ravens are not good.
09:14They better than Pittsburgh.
09:15No one in the AFC North is good.
09:17I'm not worried about them because they're not good.
09:19Are we sure that they're winning the AFC North?
09:20No, because no one's good in the AFC North.
09:22It's just all shit.
09:24I think everyone's just kind of handing it to them.
09:25No.
09:26I think it's very much up against them.
09:27I think it's right, Stephen.
09:27Everybody's handing it to the Ravens, but I don't believe it.
09:30No.
09:30No.
09:30I don't have it in the way, dog.
09:32That's not a sense at all.
09:33It all stinks in the AFC North.
09:34Let's go to the Colts.
09:35Somebody got to win it.
09:36Yeah.
09:37Yeah, eventually there has to be a winner, Smoot.
09:39Colts at the Jags.
09:40The Colts minus one and a half.
09:42Smoot, you got a lot of shit talk to you about Daniel Jones earlier in the season.
09:47They did lose to Houston last week.
09:49The Jags get the win over Tennessee.
09:50But where do you land on Indiana Jones right now?
09:52Where is Indiana Jones?
09:54What is he looking for right now?
09:55I don't know.
09:56Like, I've never seen somebody go back to who I used to be so quick.
10:03Like, when Jonathan Taylor not rushing for 250 yards, your offense looks regular.
10:08All of a sudden.
10:09But do you believe in the prince that was promised?
10:11Do you believe in Trevor Lawrence?
10:13Because I don't.
10:14I believe in Liam Cohn.
10:15I believe in Liam Cohn.
10:16Same.
10:17I believe in Travis Etienne.
10:19Don't touch me with that.
10:19You won't touch me.
10:20I believe in Travis Etienne.
10:21And they also going to be on soil.
10:23Yeah.
10:24The one thing I know about Indiana Jones, he'll rather be on turf.
10:27That's where they win the game.
10:28I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars.
10:30I might as well shoot the Jacksonville Duval County, jump in one of those pools,
10:34and put my hand up and just watch a good game.
10:36Yeah.
10:36Dan, what do you think?
10:36The Jaguars own the Colts when the Colts come down to Jacksonville.
10:40They haven't.
10:40The Colts have not won in Jacksonville since 2014.
10:43That's pretty crazy.
10:44So, this was 10 in a row.
10:46The Jags are wearing their throwback uniforms.
10:49Liam Cohn is a very good coach.
10:51He is.
10:51So, the answer to the Trevor Lawrence question is, I don't know if I trust Trevor Lawrence
10:55or if I trust Liam Cohn to put Trevor Lawrence in a spot to win a game.
10:59Can I tell you a little story real quick?
11:00I love stories.
11:01So, this guy next to me.
11:03Uh-oh.
11:03Yeah.
11:03Do you see him?
11:04I see his hair.
11:05Geek.
11:06Right?
11:06Nice hair.
11:07Listen, he thinks he knows data.
11:09He thinks he knows, like, all the numbers, analytics, all this stuff.
11:12Oh, he's an analytics.
11:13He's a human analytics machine.
11:15Look at that.
11:15Oh, don't worry.
11:16I look at something one time and I just remember it.
11:20How many wins did the Jaguars have this season?
11:22They got eight.
11:23Okay.
11:23How many wins do you think he predicted for the Jaguars to have this season?
11:27Before the season?
11:28Six.
11:28Six, probably.
11:28No.
11:29Five.
11:29Four?
11:30Four.
11:31Oh, human computer.
11:32Four.
11:32What happened?
11:33No one has ever been more wrong about a team than this guy and the Jacksonville Jaguars.
11:37Why did you go there?
11:38Because Liam Cohen left his Tampa Bay Bucs and he got his feelings hurt.
11:44So he got his feelings hurt and he got all petty and he said, they're going to stink this year.
11:48And they've been shoving it down his fucking throat ever since.
11:51If you do all that crime, let the baby go.
11:53Oh, man.
11:54Last year I picked them to win the division.
11:56They were awful.
11:57They didn't have a ton of personnel changes this year.
12:01Certainly the coaching change.
12:02Liam Cohen, I will admit, is a great coach.
12:04I did not want to lose him.
12:06I wanted to keep him in house.
12:07The Jaguars are doing the same thing that, like, the Bears are doing.
12:09Yeah.
12:09Where it's like the coaches change the culture and they start playing winning football.
12:15They're doing the same thing.
12:15They're running the football.
12:16Yeah.
12:17And the Jaguars are very good.
12:18Liam Cohen changed the run game in Tampa.
12:20He has changed the run game in Jacksonville.
12:21They are very, very good.
12:22Both of these teams' identities is running the football.
12:25The issue, Smoot brought it up.
12:27Daniel Jones, he's hurt.
12:29He has a leg injury.
12:30He ran it one time for one yard last week.
12:31A big part of his game is mobility.
12:34My worry with the Colts is their run defense.
12:38They're missing their best defensive player, DeForest Buckner.
12:41Yeah.
12:41And the Jaguars are the number one team as far as runs per game.
12:47In the last three weeks, the Colts have been the seventh worst team against the run.
12:52I think the Jags run it down their throat.
12:53Give me the Jags to win outright.
12:54Oh, look at you.
12:55You're coming around.
12:57Ain't nothing wrong with a menu.
12:58You was wrong.
12:58I started this show off by bending the knee.
13:01Well, no, his is coming and it's worse.
13:03So, I'm taking the Jags as well.
13:04So, I said to him when he predicted the Jaguars to win four games, I said, Stephen, if they
13:10win more – what was my side of the bet?
13:13Was I going to get you two tickets?
13:13It was nothing.
13:14Oh, that's even worse.
13:15It was nothing.
13:16I said, if the Jaguars win nine games, go over 500, he has to wear a full Jacksonville
13:21Jaguars uniform entire Super Bowl week.
13:26And he's got to get the Jaguars spots in his hair.
13:29Oh, nice.
13:30So, it's happening this week.
13:31So, it's happening.
13:32Like, they're going to win one more game.
13:34I'm picking them to get their ninth win this week.
13:36And you just – you can't wear anything else all week other than when you go to sleep?
13:40Nope.
13:40Yep.
13:40Can you sleep in something?
13:41So, you're going to do all your interviews, everything, just a spotted Jaguar.
13:46And they're –
13:46Why did you agree to that?
13:48I was pretty confident in my prediction.
13:50I also got some bad intel from people that sit in the seat sometimes, but –
13:55Gruden went to one practice and said they didn't –
13:57And you got to realize, when somebody making the decision with their heart –
14:00Yep.
14:01They have ticked that logic out of there.
14:02What I've been saying to him and he doesn't –
14:04So, here's the type of guy –
14:05I have multiple reference points.
14:06This is what – this is what Steven is perfectly.
14:09Yeah.
14:09He – I can see him making a decision with his heart and tell him he's making a decision with his heart.
14:13And he'll be like, no, I actually have data to back it up.
14:16I have to lean to the –
14:17Like, no, dude.
14:18I'm watching you.
14:19You got your feelings hurt because your coach left.
14:21Yeah.
14:21And now you're trying to get revenge by predicting four wins.
14:24You're wrong.
14:25Yeah.
14:25You can't agree to bets like that with Dan.
14:27You know you're going to lose them.
14:28It was so impossible at the time that it was just like –
14:32You could –
14:32They're doing it at record speed.
14:34Yeah.
14:35It's crazy how fast they're getting –
14:36It's early December.
14:38Yeah.
14:38I miss you, Liam.
14:39Congratulations.
14:40You're in the computer.
14:41All right, Jerry.
14:42It's time for Jerry Coordinator.
14:43Big one this week.
14:44Big.
14:45Did you do this one by yourself?
14:46I did, yeah.
14:47Is this called a Dino Tomlin defense?
14:49No, then Tom wouldn't be able to throw this out.
14:52Actually, you know what I might do?
14:54Hmm.
14:55I might just pay for Dino Tomlin to come out here,
14:57and then, like, next week when he's drawing up his play,
14:59he just walks in and punches him.
15:00No, no, just whopped in and wipes it out.
15:02No, knocks him out and then walks out.
15:05You can do that.
15:06Go ahead.
15:07Go for it.
15:07He might be here at any point.
15:10That's fine.
15:10Okay.
15:11I'm all distressed.
15:11Jerry, did you know I ran that defense?
15:14Did you know I ran that defense in college?
15:16That's why you're drawing it up like that?
15:17I swear I didn't know that.
15:18Are you serious?
15:19Yeah, the Joe Lee Dunn defense, the 3-3-5.
15:22Oh, I didn't know that.
15:23Yeah.
15:23Wow, hell yeah.
15:23So you're going to love this.
15:24This the defense that sent me to the Leafs?
15:26Well, he also knows it better than you.
15:28I do.
15:29Uh-oh.
15:29There.
15:30Okay, but, like, this is, I mean, I want you to realize something.
15:34We're not going to show we're blitzing with the Sam over here.
15:37No, it's timely.
15:39Exactly.
15:39Yeah.
15:40Exactly.
15:40So we're not going to show we're blitzing.
15:42Once the ball's snapped, then he's going to creep here, blitz.
15:45The edge rusher's going to take an inside.
15:46This nickel here is blitzing in between this one and this one.
15:50We've got the middle linebacker right here covering this area.
15:54Safety's going to come up here, cornerback, one-on-one with this guy,
15:58one-on-one over here with this guy.
16:00Free safety's going to drop to the middle of the field.
16:02And this weak side linebacker right here, we're going to take this area away.
16:06Do you like that?
16:07I'll tell you what, Jer, I don't think you've got to do to really make this a
16:10legit play.
16:11If we get them three wide receivers over there and we've got that zone call,
16:14we're going to do this to each other.
16:16That means box it.
16:17So that means that scrum safety right there, he's going to literally push out,
16:23push out.
16:24This way?
16:24Yep.
16:25And line him up there.
16:27That corner going to line up in front of him.
16:29And that safety going to line up right beside that corner.
16:32And he's still covering this area?
16:33Yes.
16:33And all we're going to do is box in those three receivers.
16:36So none of us going to really move.
16:37We're going to let the plays come to us.
16:39All right.
16:39But other than that, head of a play, Jer.
16:42You need to be on the defensive.
16:43There's people in Pittsburgh looking for you.
16:45So I got one.
16:46What do you think, Che?
16:47Jerry, my one word thing about this is mofo.
16:51Middle of the field, wide open.
16:53Well, he got a free safety covering in the middle of the field.
16:55The short, the short intermediate field.
16:57Yeah, like a little dry drop, but I think he's getting sacked.
16:59No, no.
16:59What you got to realize, he got four by one.
17:01He got three wide receivers and the running back shaded to that side.
17:04So once you go four by one, that corner back on the back side,
17:07he locked man to man.
17:09That free safety being in the middle.
17:10Plus he got a box over there.
17:11Once he boxed it, he got that locked down.
17:13In a box.
17:14Did you draw this play?
17:15In a box.
17:16No, I did not.
17:16I think you're lying to me.
17:18I did not draw this play.
17:19He drew the play.
17:20I swear, he didn't.
17:21I didn't see him this morning.
17:21No, he didn't.
17:22I didn't see him until I was out there talking to B.
17:25He kicked the whole time.
17:26What I've learned usually is when you like the play,
17:29it's usually because you drew it.
17:31You're totally correct.
17:32Yes.
17:32I did not.
17:34I was just shocked when I seen him say 3-3-5.
17:36I was like, what did you know about the 3-3-5?
17:38After 14 weeks of this, I've picked up on that.
17:40The only time you've said anything positive is when it's your play.
17:43No, it's his play.
17:44Okay.
17:45So you won, George.
17:46I won this week.
17:46You won.
17:46Here we go.
17:47All right, let's go to the game of the week presented by the Chevy Silverado.
17:49Sunday night football.
17:50The Texans at the Chiefs.
17:51The Chiefs minus three and a half.
17:53Dan, I will start with you.
17:55What are the Chiefs?
17:56This is it.
17:57This is it.
17:57They have to win out.
17:58I don't know.
17:59I do kind of see the path because if they win out,
18:03I think the Colts have the hardest schedule remaining.
18:05They have the tiebreaker against the Colts.
18:07So they can – Chiefs can win out.
18:09Colts can go 3-2.
18:10Chiefs would be in the playoffs.
18:12Take their spot.
18:14I'm going to take the three and a half, though.
18:15The Texans' defense is so for real.
18:17Oh, it's legit.
18:18They're so for real.
18:18Could be the best defense in football.
18:20They rush the passer well.
18:22Derrick Stingley is an absolute lockdown corner.
18:26So do I think the Chiefs are going to win?
18:28Probably.
18:29Can I give you this?
18:30Are you giving the Chiefs the benefit of the doubt?
18:32Yes, of course.
18:33Because of the last 10 years.
18:34Of course.
18:34Of course.
18:35Yeah, and it's stupid.
18:36That's why we get left.
18:38But three and a half points is too many points.
18:39The Texans are going to stay in this game.
18:42Let's talk truth.
18:44All right?
18:44Take the numbers out.
18:45I know you're a numbers cruncher.
18:47He thinks he is.
18:48Let's do the eye test.
18:50All right?
18:51Defense.
18:52Chris Jones has been dominating Mississippi State Bulldogs,
18:54dominating the league.
18:55They haven't been dominating on defense this year in Kansas City.
18:58They have one of the worst fourth quarter defenses in the league.
19:01In the league.
19:02Because they can't rush the passer.
19:03And they can't rush the ball.
19:05Yeah.
19:05Like, on offense, Patrick Mahomes can only do so much.
19:09He can only waddle down the field so many times before they turn the ball over.
19:14CJ Skrides starting to pick it up.
19:16They starting to pick it up.
19:17They can run the ball over there with Woody Marks.
19:19All right?
19:19They can push the ball down the field with Nico Collins.
19:22I'm going with the Houston Texans.
19:24Nobody want to shed that old locus skin.
19:26But, hey, we're seeing cracks in Kansas City right now.
19:29All the usually suspects are looking on the outside looking in.
19:33Baltimore, outside looking in.
19:35Kansas City, outside looking in.
19:37All the great quarterbacks and great coaches are being replaced with young studs.
19:41It's new world order.
19:43And it starts with the Houston Texans.
19:45Trey, what's the data say?
19:47I mean, games are won and lost in the trenches.
19:49As we said, the Texans' pass rush is fierce.
19:53Daniil Hunter and Will Anderson Jr., both double-digit sack guys.
19:57The Chiefs, on the other hand, their tackles are hurt.
20:01So, at right tackle, J'Juan Taylor has been injured.
20:03Not very good.
20:04At left tackle, their rookie Josh Simmons' first-round pick, now on IR.
20:07So, they got Jalen Moore coming in to play left tackle.
20:10That's not what you want going against this Chiefs defense.
20:12I think this is a very low-scoring game.
20:14I think the Texans, I don't know if they're going to win.
20:17I'm taking the three and a half.
20:18Yeah, three and a half.
20:19Yeah.
20:19Let's go to the playbook picks presented by DraftKings.
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20:49Dan, your Chicago Bears are 9-3 at the Packers.
20:55How are we feeling?
20:56They're kind of shaky, though.
20:57Plus six.
20:58Plus six and a half.
21:00Plus six and a half.
21:01I'm taking the Bears.
21:03I think the Bears can win this game.
21:04Here's what happened in the last couple of weeks.
21:06Because the Bears obviously had a run there where they were playing bad teams
21:09or beating bad teams, and people like Fred didn't believe that something had changed.
21:13Ice go!
21:14I don't know.
21:16So the Bears are the one seed right now.
21:18I don't think they're the best team in the NFC.
21:20But I am not scared of any team in the NFC.
21:24If you run the ball the way y'all run the ball, if you play the defense the way y'all play defense.
21:28There's no team in the NFC that I'm like, wow, that team is so much better than the Bears.
21:32I think they can compete with anyone, and I think they can win this game.
21:36I really do.
21:37I believe they can win this game, but I'm taking the six and a half all day.
21:40And the other thing is, like, listen, we play the Packers in two weeks.
21:43We play them this week.
21:44We play them in two weeks.
21:45You got to just find a way to split them.
21:47I think they can win this game.
21:50Che, what do you think?
21:50I think they can win this game.
21:51He doesn't believe in Caleb Williams.
21:53He doesn't believe in the Bears.
21:54Jay, go number crunching because he's doing it with his heart.
21:57Caleb Williams, five straight games below 59% completion percentage.
22:01Who cares?
22:01They are winning with him.
22:02They are not winning because of him.
22:04You don't watch the games.
22:05Yeah.
22:05Yeah, he's hard.
22:06I'm right next to you.
22:07You don't watch the games.
22:08Completion percentage.
22:09Why is the completion percentage so low?
22:12Don't just put it all on drops.
22:14I'm not.
22:14Don't put it all on drops.
22:15I'm not.
22:15He also has become elite and not taking negative plays.
22:19So he throws it away when he needs to, which is a great thing.
22:21But he's not elite.
22:23But hold on.
22:23Nobody else in the league does this?
22:25In the fourth quarter, he's the guy I want.
22:28You don't like him.
22:29That's fine.
22:30You go with the completion percentage.
22:31I trust him in the fourth quarter.
22:33So this is the Bears' identity.
22:34So they have the former number one pick, Caleb Williams.
22:37He's very polarizing.
22:38He's up here.
22:38You can like him.
22:39You can dislike him.
22:40They're a good running football team.
22:42That is their identity.
22:43That is their identity.
22:44The number two rushing offense in the NFL.
22:46So then Caleb doesn't even matter.
22:48Yeah, it does.
22:49Can I say this?
22:50Yeah.
22:50Caleb, right now, and this is a credit to him, and he's doing a good job at it,
22:54he is a game manager.
22:55Yeah.
22:55One of the best.
22:56Right now, he is a good game manager.
22:58He's not Drake mate.
22:59He ain't Drake mate.
23:01Nine and three.
23:02They're a good football team.
23:03Nine and three.
23:04I'm paying you a compliment.
23:05They're a good football team.
23:06Better than the Bucs.
23:06They are better than the Bucs right now.
23:08Yeah.
23:09There's no question.
23:10The record says so.
23:11It's not an insult.
23:13He's a hater.
23:14At this point, Caleb Williams is a game manager.
23:16They're winning with him, not because of him.
23:18But that being said, I like them to cover the six and a half as well.
23:21The Bears are playing good football.
23:23The Packers are up and down,
23:25and their run defense has not been very good as of late.
23:29Give me the Bears to cover the six and a half.
23:30I'm not sure they're going to win.
23:31Also, our defense got healthy.
23:33Jalen Johnson is back.
23:34Kyler Gordon is back.
23:36What was once a weakness in our secondary is now a strength of the depth we have.
23:40Christian Watson is back.
23:41We still don't have a pass rush, which is a problem, but we can cover.
23:45Freddie.
23:46Go ahead.
23:46Pick the pack.
23:46I was like, you had to bend the knee before the show.
23:49You're going to pick the pack.
23:49I bent the knee, but I'm not scared of those Bears.
23:51Yeah.
23:52I do it.
23:53Here we go.
23:54Across the wall.
23:56Listen to me.
23:57I keep doing it to myself, but one thing I never do, when divisional teams play each other,
24:01I throw numbers out the window.
24:03It doesn't matter.
24:04It's like fighting your little brother.
24:05He knows every move you got, and he's going to be able to counter every move you got.
24:09Christian Watson coming back.
24:11Jalen Johnson coming back.
24:12They're going to be able to run the ball in Green Bay.
24:15You know you're going to split these games.
24:16You're going to pick the home team to win these games.
24:19It's going to be the Packers of Green Bay.
24:21They will win this game, because you know why?
24:25Y'all just been slithering it alone.
24:28Okay.
24:28Know what y'all been doing?
24:29Slithering it alone.
24:30On Friday, we didn't.
24:31Huh?
24:31Have you not learned your lesson?
24:32You had to get on your knees for this man.
24:34I'm going to get on both knees next time.
24:36Here's what I'm telling you now is, eventually he's going to catch up to you that your quarterback
24:42is not accurate.
24:43What's going to happen when they say, you know what?
24:45We're going to shut the run down.
24:46We're going to put eight in the box.
24:47Caleb got to beat us.
24:48What's going to happen?
24:50Yeah.
24:50What happened when he threw that perfect pass that Cole came out to beat the Eagles?
24:54Ah, cry me a little.
24:55That's what happened.
24:56I'm telling you this now.
24:58The real Caleb Williams will stand up.
25:00All right?
25:01Great, because he's awesome.
25:02The real Caleb Williams is awesome.
25:03Listen, he's from the DMV, I pour for it, but he ain't been playing the best ball.
25:07I'm going with the Packers of Green Bay.
25:09Okay.
25:09You just want to keep just touching that hot stove, don't you?
25:13You know what I'm saying?
25:14That's fine.
25:14Just haven't learned your lesson.
25:15All right, Che, your playbook pick, the Saints at your Bucs.
25:19Bucs minus eight and a half.
25:20I mean, the Bucs are leading the division.
25:22That being said, as Bic has pointed out several times.
25:25They're stinking this division at football.
25:26The division hasn't been very good.
25:28That being said, these two teams played in week eight.
25:30The Bucs destroyed them, ended Spencer Rattler's career.
25:34Tyler Shuck era started that day.
25:35Oh, no.
25:36You ended Spencer Rattler's career.
25:37You're making sound like it was a Sean Elway.
25:40What are you talking about?
25:41He won, what, two games?
25:42One game?
25:43The score was 23-3 in that game.
25:46The thing I look at is the Saints have won one game with Tyler Shuck at quarterback.
25:50In that game, he did not turn the ball over via an interception.
25:54In all four games that he has lost as a starter, he has an interception.
25:58The Bucs get turnovers on defense, eight interceptions in the last ten games.
26:02Seven of those eight games, they have at least one.
26:04Give me the Bucs to blow out the Saints.
26:07Dan?
26:08Yeah, I'm going to take the Bucs, too.
26:10Saints stink.
26:11Hey, the human computer overthought this one.
26:13Yeah, yeah.
26:13He went analytic and everything.
26:15It's the Saints, the school of the blind.
26:17Who can't beat the Saints?
26:19Here you're talking about the Bucs who got this edge to them.
26:22I'm a Baker guy, all right?
26:24Baker, Baker, the touchdown maker.
26:26And usually when he don't score three touchdowns in a game, the next game, he's going to get
26:31his three or he's going to get his four.
26:32This is going to be easy right here, the Buccaneers of Tampa Bay.
26:36Okay, Smoot, your pick is the Bengals at the Bills.
26:39The Bills minus five and a half.
26:41Joe Burrow's back, baby.
26:42See, Casey, I like a challenge.
26:44I'm not like these guys picking with my heart.
26:46The Bears, Tampa Bay, these are heart picks.
26:50No, I said I'm going to choose the hardest game of the week.
26:53And I do believe this, and I can't believe I'm saying this, the four and eight Bengals
26:58are a threat to the eight and four Bills because Joe Shiesty is back.
27:08And he's scary.
27:09And he's scary, Jerry.
27:10Jerry likes that.
27:12Jerry likes that.
27:12I love Joe Burrow.
27:13I hated him until I went on Dan's podcast and he was the best guy ever.
27:17He's the best.
27:18This is when I know he finna go for 400.
27:20When the game starts and he flicked that hair like that.
27:23Mm-hmm.
27:23I start crying for the other team.
27:27You see what he did last week?
27:29Did you see what this man did last week?
27:31He didn't realize that they was three and eight.
27:33That make it dangerous.
27:34And then a little crack in the arm in Buffalo.
27:37Who is the number one receiver in Buffalo?
27:39Is it the tight end?
27:40Yeah, it's the tight ends.
27:42I'm still going with Buffalo.
27:44Just because it's a home game.
27:47At one point, Joe Shiesty just can't come through.
27:49He can't come through every time.
27:50But if he come through, Jerry, I'll bend the knee to you.
27:53That's what I'm telling you.
27:55I feel like at one point, the Bills have got to show us truly, truly who they are.
28:02And this is the game to do it.
28:03High-powered offense.
28:04This is going to be more scoring than people think.
28:06Outdoor game, going to look messy.
28:08But there's going to be a lot of points to score.
28:09But I'm going with the Buffalo Bills.
28:11Dan?
28:12Yeah, the Bills have been up and down.
28:14They obviously lost that game to the Texans.
28:16Then they come into Pittsburgh.
28:17Not a bad loss.
28:18Not a bad loss.
28:18They come into Pittsburgh.
28:19They look like shit for the first quarter.
28:21Then the Steelers scumbags hit Josh Allen late.
28:25And something clicked in the first half.
28:28That team came out in the second half.
28:29And they just absolutely throttled the Steelers.
28:32I think the Bills are going to turn a corner here.
28:35I'm going to take the Bills.
28:35Che?
28:36Both of these teams are certainly flawed.
28:39I am a little bit more confident in the reigning MVP.
28:43And mostly James Cook, 260 rushing yards the past two weeks.
28:46Give me the Bills to win and cover the 5-and-5.
28:50Are you confident about that?
28:52This is really, as far as a spread, kind of a coin toss.
28:55But I do like Buffalo due to the home field.
28:57Have you ever had an oddity, an 8-and-4 team, I mean a 4-and-8 team,
29:02that you was itching to pick over 8-and-4 team?
29:04Right, yeah.
29:05But both teams certainly have warts.
29:07No, no, no.
29:07No perfect team in the league this year.
29:09No.
29:10We can agree with that.
29:11Everyone kind of stinks.
29:12Yeah.
29:12Maybe the Rams, but they just lost the Panthers.
29:14Yeah.
29:14Yeah, but the old man Matthew comes back and blesses us.
29:19Let's go to the Fox 1 Rapid Fire Picks of the Week on Fox 1.
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29:38We will start with the Seahawks at the Falcons.
29:41Shea, the Seahawks minus seven.
29:42Seahawks have won six to their last seven.
29:44The Falcons have lost six to their last seven.
29:46This game makes no sense for the Falcons to win.
29:48I do like the Falcons to cover Seattle going east for an early kickoff.
29:54This is kind of like the Panthers-Rams this week.
29:56Last week it doesn't make sense, but I feel like the Falcons are going to be in this game.
30:00And, Fred, I know you don't like the Falcons.
30:02Kirk Cousins retired two years ago and didn't tell nobody.
30:05That's what I do know.
30:06Have you seen the Falcons lately?
30:08I picked them a couple of times, and you want to talk about letdown.
30:12No offense, no defense, no special teams.
30:14I don't know where B. John went to.
30:16It's a massacre down there in Atlanta right now.
30:19The Hawks is the best team to watch down there right now.
30:22I'm going to tell you this.
30:22I got to see Seattle up close and personal.
30:26They are one of the teams that there's not a lot of chinks in their armor.
30:30And then they haven't been playing their best ball of lately.
30:34I expect for them.
30:35I'm telling anybody out there, if it's a casino near you, jump in your Buick.
30:40Go down there.
30:41Put this in right now.
30:42Put this in right now.
30:44They're going to win this plus seven.
30:46This will probably be plus 15.
30:47I'm just telling you, this will be a massacre.
30:50Dan?
30:50Yeah, I'm going to take Seattle as well.
30:51I, Stephen tries to say that, you know, the early kick, the Seahawks have actually been
30:56great in that.
30:57Yeah.
30:57They've been awesome.
30:58They got us like this.
30:59Awesome on the road.
31:00I think the Seahawks defense is by far and away the best unit in this whole entire game.
31:04And they're going to, they're going to put Kirk Cousins in hell.
31:07Mm-hmm.
31:08Kirk Cousins, he's a great account, but that's where it stops.
31:12Okay, Dan, back to you.
31:13A very gross game.
31:14The Titans at the Browns.
31:16Just give me the Titans.
31:17Just, I, the Browns shouldn't, Shador Sanders shouldn't be favored by four and a half against anyone.
31:20I, this game sucks.
31:22It stinks.
31:22It's the Browns defense that they, they, they clocking on.
31:25Yeah, but their, their other rusher got hurt.
31:27Who's going to, uh, who, who, who got hurt for the Browns?
31:30McHale, uh, what's his name?
31:32McHale.
31:33Not the rookie from, uh, Michigan.
31:35Mason Graham?
31:35No.
31:35Mason Graham?
31:36As long as Mason Graham.
31:37No, no, no.
31:38And that's Ogre, Miles Garrett.
31:39Miles Garrett's there.
31:40Yeah, Miles Garrett's there.
31:41No, no, no.
31:42Okay, so, you pass.
31:44All right, I got it.
31:44I'll take it.
31:45Give it to me.
31:46Chef's kiss.
31:46Check this out.
31:47Easiest game of the week.
31:50All right?
31:50Shador Sanders will beat Cam Ward, the number one pick, because Cam Ward has nothing.
31:56I feel so bad.
31:57Like, sports is the only job that you're the best person at your job, and you go to the
32:03worst company.
32:05The sports is it.
32:06That's a good point.
32:07Like, you're the number, if I was number one in tech, wouldn't I be working at Apple?
32:11They're going to be sending me to Kia, so they've been sending me to the top, and I hate
32:18to see all this responsibility get put on their shoulders as rookies to go turn around
32:23franchises.
32:24Put it like this.
32:26The Titans took him as number one, and they're going to have the number one pick again.
32:30That says everything that you need to know.
32:32I'm going with Shador and the Cleveland Browns, and I feel like the United States is pulling
32:37for Shador.
32:37We want him to be in that house like a roach, never leave.
32:41Yeah, I want him to be there forever.
32:43All right, I'm just taking the Titans, but I strike that from the record.
32:46I don't think the person I thought got hurt got hurt.
32:48I thought someone got hurt.
32:49Free and last.
32:50I keep looking.
32:50All right, Trey, who are you doing?
32:52I am going with the Browns covers, and it's purely because of their defense.
32:55First of all, the total in this game is disgusting.
32:5733 and a half.
32:58That is one of the lowest totals you will ever see.
33:01But I do want to give a shout-out to Cam Ward.
33:03Malik.
33:03Malik Collins.
33:04Malik Collins got hurt.
33:06Malik Collins got hurt.
33:08No, that matters.
33:09Cam Ward, no interceptions in his last four games after going six straight games with an
33:13interception.
33:14He's cleaned that up at least, but the Browns defense, especially Miles Garrett, who's going
33:17to break the sack record sooner than later, is just rolling right now.
33:22Give me the Browns defense to win this pretty much by themselves.
33:24Season-ending quad injury.
33:26It's not great.
33:27But Miles Garrett.
33:29No, I know, but I mean, it's, you know, the pass rush.
33:31When you lose someone on the line, it does, you can focus more on Miles Garrett.
33:35It's not Chad.
33:35Okay.
33:36I just said, Shadour Sanders shouldn't be favored by four and a half.
33:38That's crazy.
33:39It ain't Shadour.
33:40It's the defense.
33:40I understand, but they still shouldn't be favored by four and a half.
33:42Quincy on junk.
33:43The Browns can win this game, but you're asking them to win this game by more than a field goal?
33:47Yeah.
33:48Come on.
33:48Yeah.
33:48No.
33:49No.
33:49It's realistic.
33:50No.
33:51Vincent Jukins is averaging like eight at five.
33:53No.
33:54Titans defense has actually not been bad.
33:56They're a little salty.
33:57Oh, they're going to get some of my pretzels.
33:59Up the booty this week.
34:01All right, Fred.
34:02Your commanders at the Vikings.
34:03Vikings minus two and a half.
34:05Fred Smoot Bowl.
34:06Yeah.
34:06If I sit back and watch this Fred Smoot Bowl, I've shed blood, tears, and sweat for both of
34:11those teams.
34:12One team is riding with a backup that could be the 33rd best quarterback in the league.
34:20Marcus Mariota has been playing some good football.
34:23Then when I look on the other side, what they call, J.J.?
34:26Nine.
34:26Nine.
34:27Nine interceptions.
34:29That's who he is?
34:30They have no faith in him.
34:33All right?
34:34And did the backup, Lord have mercy.
34:36That was bad.
34:37That was bad.
34:38I thought Nate Peterman was pound for pound the worst quarterback I have ever seen in
34:43my life.
34:44And to our witness, what's it, Brosman?
34:47Brosman.
34:48Oh, my God.
34:49He should be an accountant.
34:50I'm going to tell you this now.
34:52That defense, though, scares me in Minnesota.
34:55But I think we go in the road and we get off the snide.
34:58We haven't won a game in seven weeks.
35:00We've been overseas and back, still having won.
35:04I'm going with Marcus Mariota and the Washington Commanders to go into there and win that Fred
35:10Smoot Bowl.
35:11Yes, sir, I am.
35:13Dan?
35:13I'm taking the Vikings.
35:15Nine.
35:16Yeah, I just think the Vikings are, you know, Brian Fuller's going to blitz the hell out of
35:22Marcus Mariota.
35:24J.J.
35:24McCarthy can't be that bad, right?
35:26You just seen what we did to the Broncos?
35:28The best defense in football.
35:29It can't be that bad, right?
35:30Who?
35:31J.J.
35:31McCarthy, he can't be that bad.
35:32Yes, he can.
35:33All right, he might be.
35:35J.J., is he that bad?
35:36He's that bad.
35:37I mean, it's early, but, like, to be soft benched twice in a year, that's tough.
35:43This is really his rookie year.
35:44This one was concussion.
35:45That he got on the airplane, like.
35:47No, he didn't.
35:47He got it against the Packers.
35:48He had his earbuds in.
35:49I mean, he had no concussion.
35:50You thought he got concussed on the airplane?
35:52It was revealed on the airplane.
35:54Well, yeah, he got concussed and he stayed in the game.
35:55He shouldn't have.
35:56Right.
35:57I mean.
35:57Okay.
35:58Why would you soft bench him for Max Brosmer?
36:01To not play the Seattle defense.
36:02To not play the Seattle defense.
36:03To get out of the way of that bus.
36:06This is a gross game.
36:07The Commanders are at least getting a little bit healthier.
36:10Give me the Commanders.
36:11Speak to them.
36:12Plus two and a half on the road.
36:13Did you see Scary Terry versus Patrick Sertain?
36:16You look good.
36:17We're getting hefty, all right?
36:18We're about to see our four-decker cards maybe in like a week with Jayden Daniels, Terry McLaurin,
36:25Are you sure Marcus isn't going to stay in?
36:26Trey Lum, Burks, all right?
36:29Are you sure Marcus isn't going to stay in?
36:31Mark is going to stay in what?
36:32In the game.
36:33Well, he might be in the cafeteria, but he ain't going to be in no game.
36:36He's pretty good at football.
36:37When you find your franchise guy, no matter what your franchise guy's going through.
36:40No, I agree.
36:40Jayden Daniels should come back and play.
36:42People are saying they don't want him to play.
36:43He should play.
36:44Yeah, he should play.
36:44We're football players.
36:45You play football.
36:47To the last game of the year, we want momentum going into next year.
36:51Yeah.
36:51It's only one way to go get it.
36:52That's about beating Minnesota and beating whoever else on the schedule.
36:55And we got two with the Cowboys.
36:57They the hottest team in football.
36:58Oh, I did say that.
36:59You did.
37:00You did.
37:00You did.
37:00You did.
37:01All right, Dan, the Dolphins at the Jets.
37:04The Dolphins minus two and a half.
37:06The Dolphins have won four in a row.
37:08They've played bad teams.
37:10I'm going to take the Jets.
37:11I think the Jets, Tyrod Taylor, like he covers spreads.
37:14He keeps them in the game.
37:15Yeah.
37:15The Jets are trying to find something, build something with Aaron Glenn.
37:19They're still fighting.
37:21I'm going to take the Jets.
37:22Jay?
37:23I think eventually Aaron Glenn is going to be a good coach.
37:27He doesn't really have great ingredients to work with right now with the Jets.
37:30But people forget, Dan Campbell started 0-11.
37:33Same way.
37:34Aaron Glenn is starting to build momentum.
37:37Darren Waller did come back last week and was pretty good.
37:40But give me the Jets to at least cover the two and a half.
37:43Well, I was always taught quarterback, head coach, roster.
37:48That all goes to the Dolphins right now.
37:51Momentum goes to the Dolphins right now.
37:53Run game goes to the Dolphins right now.
37:55Starting quarterback goes to the Dolphins right now.
37:58I'm going with the tuna fish of Miami.
37:59Cold weather.
38:01I understand cold weather.
38:03I understand.
38:04But it ain't really that cold.
38:06It's going to be cold.
38:07To the Dolphins it is.
38:09I understand.
38:09I'm still going with the Dolphins.
38:11I think it's going to be in the 30s.
38:13That's cold.
38:13Are you trying to change my mind?
38:15I mean, it's going to be cold.
38:16Isn't it going to be like five degrees here tomorrow?
38:19It's going to be 31 on Sunday.
38:21The one thing I know about Chicago, you've got to get here before you know how cold it really is.
38:25Do not look at the, what's the difference between partly sunny and partly cloudy?
38:29The weather man been lying to us for years.
38:32It's the same thing.
38:34There's nothing different about it.
38:36Yeah, it's going to be in the low 30s though.
38:38I'm still going to ride with the Dolphins to bundle up.
38:41Okay.
38:41And ride to Becca A-Chan.
38:44Like ride A-Chan.
38:45Aggie.
38:45Okay.
38:46Che, the Broncos at the Raiders.
38:47The Broncos minus seven and a half.
38:49Week one, 2022, Seattle, Denver.
38:53They wrote me off.
38:53I didn't write back.
38:54Geno Smith does it again against the Broncos.
38:56Give me the Raiders plus seven and a half.
38:59Dan doesn't like that.
39:00I can't have some of that cinnamon toast crack.
39:01He's smoking.
39:02No, the problem is the Broncos do fuck around with every game on the road, especially.
39:08I'm going to take the Broncos though.
39:09I can't.
39:09The Raiders are such a bad team.
39:10Such a bad team.
39:11Such a bad team.
39:12Like Geno.
39:13I don't even want Geno's pizza no more.
39:15Because Geno playing so bad.
39:17The Raiders have, Brock Bowers is one of my favorite players in the league right now.
39:22And they're wasting his talent right now.
39:24That offensive line stinks.
39:26Ashton Jenton looked like the second coming of Trent Richardson.
39:30All right?
39:31Listen, I'm just telling you what I see.
39:34He's not hitting the hole.
39:35He can tackles in the backfield.
39:37I'm going to give him the benefit of the doubt and say his offensive line.
39:40And there's that putrid Chip Kelly offense.
39:42I told y'all he was going to get fired too.
39:44All right?
39:45I'm going with the Denver Broncos.
39:48All right?
39:48Bo Nix is going to snap out of it at one point.
39:51And he's going to really get that ball to move it.
39:53Because Sean Payton is one of the best offensive coaches.
39:55And that defense, that defense is special.
39:58Come on.
39:58How are you going to pick the Raiders?
39:59No.
40:00No.
40:00I agree.
40:01Okay, Fred.
40:02Back to you.
40:03The Rams are the Cardinals.
40:04The Rams minus seven and a half.
40:05Do we know who the Arizona Cardinals quarterback is?
40:08It's Kyler Murphy.
40:09No, he's done.
40:10It's Jacoby Rissett.
40:11They're not putting Papa Smurf back in there?
40:12No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
40:14Well, put it like this.
40:16The Rams coming off a loss.
40:18Mm-hmm.
40:18McVay, one of the best coaches.
40:22Then you got my guy Matthew Stafford.
40:24I always tell people, just because I stink with my first team,
40:29that could be an organizational thing.
40:31I went to the worst team in football.
40:33You put him on this Rams team, and one day they look like nobody can play with them.
40:39Then the next day they look like they play with their food.
40:41And I don't like that.
40:42I don't like that at all.
40:43But the Arizona Cardinals, there's going to be some fight in that, dog.
40:46They're going to fight back.
40:47It's seven and a half.
40:48That's a lot of points, Kat.
40:50But I believe in Matthew Stafford.
40:52I believe in the Rams.
40:53I'm going with the L.A. Rams in this one.
40:55I don't even think it's close.
40:56Yeah, I'm going to take the Rams, too.
40:57Off a loss, I'm going to take the Rams.
40:59They're the better team.
41:00Jacoby Rissett is fine.
41:01He just holds on to the ball too long, and the Rams are going to rush the passer.
41:05So I'm going to take the Rams.
41:05Che, what's the data say?
41:07Jacoby Rissett throws it all over the field.
41:09Not always to the right team, but he is throwing the football,
41:1240-plus throws in each of his last four games.
41:15That being said, the Rams are just probably the best team in football.
41:19I think objectively looking, offense, defense, they have what it takes,
41:23and the coaching.
41:24Coming off a loss, seven and a half going against a Cardinals team.
41:27That's three and nine.
41:28Give me the Rams.
41:28Hey, Emmanuel Fords, plus three on the pick.
41:32That's bad coaching in Washington.
41:35Nope.
41:36Some guy started.
41:37I told you, Jim, because your first relationship don't work out.
41:40Don't mean you ain't good at relationships.
41:42That's true.
41:43I'm just saying, huh?
41:44That's facts.
41:45Keep trying.
41:45All right, Monday Night Football, Dan.
41:47The Eagles are the Chargers, both eight and four.
41:49The Eagles, minus three.
41:50Eagles offense is bad, but they did say big change is coming.
41:54Justin Herbert has a broken hand.
41:56I'm going to take the Eagles.
41:57I think the Eagles are in a bounce-back spot.
41:59They feel like they're in crisis, even though they're eight and four.
42:01Yeah, Che, they've been up and down all year, but it just seems disgusting on the offensive
42:05side of the ball.
42:06Yeah, Saquon Barkley, three games with more than 60 yards rushing this year, averaging
42:103.7 yards per carry.
42:12Not the guy that we expected coming off of last year.
42:15You didn't expect it.
42:162,000 plus yards.
42:17Bex never come back and burst for 2,000 yards again.
42:20I'm 1,500.
42:21So, I think you did expect it.
42:23You just didn't want to tell you.
42:23I mean, I expected it.
42:24I expect that.
42:25You were early.
42:26You said it last year.
42:26Last year, he said that he was going to do not draft him in fantasy football because he
42:30stinks.
42:31And he ran for three miles.
42:32And he ran for three miles.
42:35But, again, I was a year early on that.
42:38Point proving to be correct in my mind.
42:40Yeah.
42:40That being said, the Eagles coming off a loss.
42:42The Chargers, the Chargers can't protect.
42:45Their offensive tackles, both of them out for this year.
42:47Go out.
42:47The Eagles, you know, obviously have the ability to rush the passer.
42:52They need to do it a little bit more consistently.
42:53But I like the Eagles against a decimated Chargers line, minus three on Monday night.
42:57Brad?
42:58I tried to go for the Mean Girls last week.
43:01Yeah.
43:02Listen, if you want some free fried chicken, just go to the link.
43:06All right?
43:06Just go to the link right now because they're handing it out.
43:09Listen to me.
43:10This Mean Girls, I don't know if they like you.
43:14Good football teams bond.
43:16All right?
43:17It's a brotherhood there.
43:19A.J. Brown, and I hate to say it, they might point at him as the diva,
43:23but he's actually the truth teller.
43:25He's basically saying, hey, this guy can't throw.
43:27And y'all, just because he can tush push, y'all just, y'all going to ride it to the end.
43:31But he can't throw to me.
43:32He can't throw to the Bonte Schmiel.
43:34He can't throw to a white nobody.
43:36But I know something about the Chargers.
43:38They're just slowly falling apart right now.
43:42Joe Otter, Sean Slater.
43:43Slater, once you lose two Pro Bowl tackles,
43:45you can't keep going.
43:47Not just to hurt, but hurt.
43:48I'm not shocked.
43:49You lose your tackles, you get hurt.
43:51I'm going with the Mean Girls of Philadelphia, all right?
43:54Not because I really believe.
43:56I just know that the Chargers are missing too many pieces, all right?
44:00I'm going with the Mean Girls of Philadelphia.
44:02Okay, it is time for hot takes.
44:04Dan, normally we let Gruden go last.
44:06Would you like Che to go first or last?
44:08He can go last.
44:09I'll go first.
44:10Okay.
44:10I think the Steelers are going to win.
44:12He's not good this week.
44:13Ooh.
44:14I think the Steelers are going to win.
44:15It makes no sense.
44:16They stink.
44:17But Mike Tomlin, this is like his dying breath.
44:19He's going to win this game.
44:20Yeah.
44:21And then his son's going to fight Jerry.
44:23Yeah.
44:23Then we're going to see that old dirty mattress wrestling contest with him and Jerry.
44:27You guys are both rich.
44:29Put up the money.
44:29Do you?
44:30Why are you charging that man $50,000?
44:32You can fight that man for $10,000?
44:34$10,000 does nothing for me.
44:36$50,000 does it?
44:37$10,000 does it?
44:38$50,000?
44:38Yeah.
44:38Yeah, at least I could do a lot, I could do like a lot, a lot with $50,000.
44:41I could do my basement.
44:42I'm going to sit in the RIS at him.
44:46You can't do a basement for $10,000.
44:47You think that you could like beat him?
44:49I mean, no.
44:49He's a D1 athlete.
44:50He's like 6'3", probably.
44:51I got no shot.
44:53So why do you want to fight him?
44:54I don't.
44:55He wanted to fight me.
44:56No, he tried to protect his man.
44:58Yeah.
44:58Okay.
44:59That's all it's about with Jerry.
45:00But I don't think Tomlin wouldn't let him fight anyway.
45:01Why does Tomlin want that?
45:03Tomlin didn't let his son fight?
45:05Hit him up.
45:05You're friends with him.
45:06Listen, I'm not hit him.
45:07I got no dog in this race, Jerry.
45:09I want a piece of hair grease.
45:10You're going to know something about me.
45:11I'm a 70s flower child, all right?
45:13I don't get into any of that violence.
45:15I don't believe in violence.
45:17I'm going to tell you why y'all ain't got violent in Pittsburgh.
45:19Y'all ain't used to this.
45:21Y'all ain't used to being scum bottom.
45:23No, we are used to it.
45:24That's the problem.
45:25No, no.
45:26Y'all getting used to it.
45:27Would you go swimming in three rivers?
45:30No.
45:30It stinks.
45:31Just like y'all.
45:32All right?
45:34What's your hot take, Fred?
45:35My hot fire take is I told y'all about the Cowboys.
45:41I said if they win.
45:41You're right.
45:42I was like, I said they finna get that momentum going.
45:44Quentin Williams, Wilson added to that defense.
45:48Chevelle coming back.
45:50Listen to me.
45:51George Pickens, Lord have mercy.
45:53Micah Irvin, Jr., Jr., yes, sir.
45:57I've got to get a fight in Jerry Joneses.
45:58They're props.
46:00Dak is playing out of his mind.
46:02But we're going to split with them.
46:04All right?
46:05Because J.D. 5, the Jedi, will be back for us.
46:08All right?
46:08We're going to split with them.
46:09We've got to play them twice in the next month.
46:12I don't know if it's going to be home game or away game.
46:14But we're going to split with the Dallas Cowboys.
46:17Nobody believes that because they can count us out.
46:21The Washington Commanders will split 1-1 with the Dallas Cowboys.
46:25And we're going to watch them ride off to the playoffs while we ride to the offseason
46:29and get ready for the draft.
46:31Fred, we record this on Thursday morning.
46:33So, obviously, the Cowboys play tonight.
46:34What's your prediction for Thursday night football that will air, I think, during the game or maybe before?
46:38I've been riding that horse with the Cowboys.
46:40I'm finna go full Russell Wilson.
46:43Let's ride.
46:45Okay.
46:46I'm finna go full Russell Wilson, baby.
46:48The Cowboys ride, man.
46:50One of the most dangerous teams in football right now, Cowboys.
46:52All right, Che, your hot take.
46:54The Texans are going to win on Sunday Night Football in Kansas City, and they're going to win out.
46:58I think your pinky is in danger.
47:00It is.
47:00Their schedule at Kansas City this Sunday night, obviously, versus Arizona, versus Las Vegas,
47:06at the Chargers, missing both tackles, and versus the Colts in Week 18.
47:10I think the Texans are going to be the hottest team in the league going into the playoffs.
47:14Better not talk about Indiana Jones on this show.
47:16You're going to get a tag like I did.
47:18Do you know the pinky bat?
47:19Yeah.
47:20What's happening?
47:20I'm going to cut the tip of my pinky off if the Texans win the Super Bowl.
47:24Just the tip?
47:25Yeah.
47:27That could be fingernails.
47:29No, it's like right here.
47:31Like a little bit of fingernail.
47:33I promise you, if I come in here and you missing a little tip, I'm going to like poke it.
47:37Like really, I cannot wait.
47:40Why would you bet a body part?
47:41I don't know.
47:42You bleed like that?
47:43No.
47:44What's your nervousness scale, one of the time?
47:46If they win this game, it'll be high.
47:48It'll be very high.
47:49I hope they do it with a butter knife.
47:51I know what it is.
47:55It's just Barstool stuff, right?
47:56You never know.
47:57I just beat the knee to start a show.
47:59I totally understand.
48:02And I beat the knee to a guy that don't really believe in his team.
48:04What are you talking about?
48:05I picked the Bears to win the game this Sunday.
48:08But you don't feel good about it?
48:09Yeah, I do.
48:10I think they're going to win it in Green Bay.
48:12Absolutely.
48:12You don't think so?
48:15He don't believe me.
48:15Yes, I do.
48:16Look at him.
48:17I think the Bears are going to win on Sunday.
48:19I've been saying that.
48:19If your husband looks at you and talks to you like this, he's lying.
48:23You don't think it.
48:24You don't think it.
48:25I think it.
48:27Let's go to survivor pool picks.
48:28Jerry is still eliminated.
48:30So you guys are still in.
48:31You're going to be picking for Gruden, Che.
48:32I'll let you go first.
48:34You cannot take the Packers, the Steelers, or the Seahawks.
48:39I'm making it easy.
48:39We're taking the Bucs.
48:40They're playing the Saints.
48:41This is going to be a 21 win.
48:42Coach would probably love that.
48:43All right, Dan, you can't take the Chargers, the Texans, or the Bears.
48:46I'm going to take the Rams.
48:47And then Smoot, no Dolphins, Ravens, or Seahawks.
48:51What do you mean?
48:52This is an easy pick for you.
48:53I want to pick.
48:54Take the Packers.
48:56No, I'm not doing it.
48:57You're not talking me into that.
48:58No, you don't believe.
48:59Oh, you don't believe now.
49:01I'm picking the Broncos.
49:01Oh, Frank doesn't believe.
49:04That's crazy.
49:04That's crazy.
49:05Frank doesn't believe.
49:05I'm not going to make you talk me into this, Jack.
49:07Frank doesn't believe.
49:09Listen, I'm not proud for that.
49:10I would pick the Bears, but I already picked them.
49:12I can't.
49:12You would not pick the Bears.
49:13Yeah, I would.
49:14I would pick them.
49:15I can't.
49:16I can't do it against the rules.
49:18Let's go $50.
49:19No, all right, fine.
49:20Bears.
49:20Done, done, done, done.
49:21Okay.
49:22All right, anything else?
49:23You might have to get down on, like, three knees next week.
49:26If I had to.
49:27Elbows, whatever need to happen.
49:30I'm a man of my word.
49:32When I win, I want my winnings and my comeuppance.
49:35And when I lose, whatever I said I'm going to do, I will do that.
49:39All right, well, maybe another cold open next week.
49:41I think Gruden will be back in person.
49:43We will see you guys.
49:43Thank you, Che.
49:44How did he do?
49:45Great job.
49:46You brought some human out of you.
49:47The first one was tough because he said everything about the Ravens,
49:51and then he was like, or he said, the Steelers stink,
49:53and he's like, I'm taking the Steelers.
49:54I'm taking the Steelers.
49:55Fair critique.
49:55It's all right.
49:56All right, we'll see you guys next week.
49:58We'll see you guys next week.
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