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00:00When the so-called 12-day war between Israel and Iran ended in June,
00:05neither side really saw it as an end to the fighting, more like a pause.
00:10Now, Iran says its goal is to build enough missiles to launch 2,000 all at once.
00:18The last time Israel and Iran came to blows, the Israeli Air Force took out two uranium enrichment
00:25centers, about half of Iran's arsenal of 3,000 missiles, and close to 80% of its launchers.
00:32After the fighting stopped on June 24th, both Israel and Iran essentially started rearming
00:38and planning for the next engagement.
00:40In October, the New York Times reported Iran was shifting toward mass strike readiness and
00:47putting its missile factories into 24-hour operation.
00:50Iran will definitely need some help to make that happen from either Russia, China, or
00:56North Korea.
00:57But ultimately, Tehran's goal is to build enough strike capability to overwhelm Israeli air
01:03defenses.
01:05During the 12-day war, Iran launched 500 missiles and more than 1,000 drones at Israel.
01:10With the help of the U.S., most were destroyed, but a few dozen got through.
01:1631 Israelis were killed, another 3,000 injured.
01:19There was also extensive damage to homes and buildings, including on two university campuses
01:25and a hospital.
01:27So, while Israel definitely came out ahead in June, experts say it would be unwise to discount
01:34Iran's current threats.
01:35That's Avi Malamed, a former intelligence officer in the IDF and founder of Inside the Middle East.
01:58I caught up with him while he was literally on the road during a speaking tour.
02:03He says Iran, and specifically its leadership, the Mullah regime, is in a vulnerable position.
02:10For decades, the regime relied on its proxy forces around the Middle East, called the Axis of Resistance,
02:16to project power and act somewhat as a deterrent.
02:20But after a couple of years fighting with the IDF, those proxy forces are mostly dead, or severely degraded.
02:28Iran's only real play now?
02:31Building up the only other means of power projection it has, its missile program.
02:36But here's the rub.
02:37While most of the missiles and launchers Iran has are made and stored in underground facilities,
02:44the country doesn't have the ability to launch those missiles from underground.
02:49They have to be taken above ground, where they need to be prepped for launch.
02:53That takes time, making them vulnerable to attack.
02:57In June, when Israel was carrying out attacks from within Iranian airspace with impunity,
03:02it was because the Israeli Air Force had already decimated Iran's air defenses in previous attacks.
03:10Which is why Avi Malamed says Iran may want to build more missiles that can hit Israel,
03:15but without the ability to protect them before launch, missiles are meaningless.
03:21To the best of our knowledge and understanding,
03:24the Iranians are putting priority in rebuilding their aerial defense capacities.
03:28And here they have some challenge because, again, they are dependent upon importing those systems.
03:35Major potential suppliers of such advanced systems are either China or Russia or North Korea.
03:41China is reluctant to provide Iran with those capacities because of the UN sanctions.
03:49Russia is also not rushing to provide the Iranians with its most advanced anti-area capacities.
03:57And so, in that regard, the Iranians are facing some significant challenge
04:03because they do realize that, in any case, they must restore first those capacities.
04:11When the fighting stopped in June, Israel said it was willing to strike again
04:15if Iran tried to restart its nuclear enrichment program.
04:18That program suffered some major setbacks when the U.S. used B-2 stealth bombers
04:23to hit a couple of underground facilities.
04:26But Iran says it is still committed to developing a domestic nuclear program,
04:32regardless of what the U.S. or Israel says.
04:36So, while it's not necessarily a foregone conclusion that Israel and Iran will start another war,
04:42it's extremely possible, maybe even likely.
04:46For more reporting like this, download the Straight Arrow News app today.
04:52To be continued...
04:52Well, this is not a foregone conclusion.
04:53We're Yahweh in the looks of the UN ė©“ģ—ģ„œ Leaving Heaven.
04:55For more teams, you're allowed to attempt to enter in June.
04:58We'll see you soon.
04:59See you.
04:59Yeah.
05:00Do youģžļæ½ intel API
05:00We'll see you soon.
05:01You're right.
05:03We'll see you soon.
05:04Soon, there'll see you soon.
05:05We'll see you soon.
05:05We'll see you soon.
05:07Be over time again.
05:07ē§» in the future.
05:09Bye bye.
05:10Anyway, we'll see you soon.
05:12Goodbye.
05:12event.
05:13toys, co
05:14похож on the way too.
05:14Absolutely.
05:16Like we'll catch you soon.
05:16Bye 2020, that's gonna be awesome.
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