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Iran wants to mass-produce missiles, Israel says it may strike again
Straight Arrow News
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2 months ago
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00:00
When the so-called 12-day war between Israel and Iran ended in June,
00:05
neither side really saw it as an end to the fighting, more like a pause.
00:10
Now, Iran says its goal is to build enough missiles to launch 2,000 all at once.
00:18
The last time Israel and Iran came to blows, the Israeli Air Force took out two uranium enrichment
00:25
centers, about half of Iran's arsenal of 3,000 missiles, and close to 80% of its launchers.
00:32
After the fighting stopped on June 24th, both Israel and Iran essentially started rearming
00:38
and planning for the next engagement.
00:40
In October, the New York Times reported Iran was shifting toward mass strike readiness and
00:47
putting its missile factories into 24-hour operation.
00:50
Iran will definitely need some help to make that happen from either Russia, China, or
00:56
North Korea.
00:57
But ultimately, Tehran's goal is to build enough strike capability to overwhelm Israeli air
01:03
defenses.
01:05
During the 12-day war, Iran launched 500 missiles and more than 1,000 drones at Israel.
01:10
With the help of the U.S., most were destroyed, but a few dozen got through.
01:16
31 Israelis were killed, another 3,000 injured.
01:19
There was also extensive damage to homes and buildings, including on two university campuses
01:25
and a hospital.
01:27
So, while Israel definitely came out ahead in June, experts say it would be unwise to discount
01:34
Iran's current threats.
01:35
That's Avi Malamed, a former intelligence officer in the IDF and founder of Inside the Middle East.
01:58
I caught up with him while he was literally on the road during a speaking tour.
02:03
He says Iran, and specifically its leadership, the Mullah regime, is in a vulnerable position.
02:10
For decades, the regime relied on its proxy forces around the Middle East, called the Axis of Resistance,
02:16
to project power and act somewhat as a deterrent.
02:20
But after a couple of years fighting with the IDF, those proxy forces are mostly dead, or severely degraded.
02:28
Iran's only real play now?
02:31
Building up the only other means of power projection it has, its missile program.
02:36
But here's the rub.
02:37
While most of the missiles and launchers Iran has are made and stored in underground facilities,
02:44
the country doesn't have the ability to launch those missiles from underground.
02:49
They have to be taken above ground, where they need to be prepped for launch.
02:53
That takes time, making them vulnerable to attack.
02:57
In June, when Israel was carrying out attacks from within Iranian airspace with impunity,
03:02
it was because the Israeli Air Force had already decimated Iran's air defenses in previous attacks.
03:10
Which is why Avi Malamed says Iran may want to build more missiles that can hit Israel,
03:15
but without the ability to protect them before launch, missiles are meaningless.
03:21
To the best of our knowledge and understanding,
03:24
the Iranians are putting priority in rebuilding their aerial defense capacities.
03:28
And here they have some challenge because, again, they are dependent upon importing those systems.
03:35
Major potential suppliers of such advanced systems are either China or Russia or North Korea.
03:41
China is reluctant to provide Iran with those capacities because of the UN sanctions.
03:49
Russia is also not rushing to provide the Iranians with its most advanced anti-area capacities.
03:57
And so, in that regard, the Iranians are facing some significant challenge
04:03
because they do realize that, in any case, they must restore first those capacities.
04:11
When the fighting stopped in June, Israel said it was willing to strike again
04:15
if Iran tried to restart its nuclear enrichment program.
04:18
That program suffered some major setbacks when the U.S. used B-2 stealth bombers
04:23
to hit a couple of underground facilities.
04:26
But Iran says it is still committed to developing a domestic nuclear program,
04:32
regardless of what the U.S. or Israel says.
04:36
So, while it's not necessarily a foregone conclusion that Israel and Iran will start another war,
04:42
it's extremely possible, maybe even likely.
04:46
For more reporting like this, download the Straight Arrow News app today.
04:52
To be continued...
04:52
Well, this is not a foregone conclusion.
04:53
We're Yahweh in the looks of the UN 면에서 Leaving Heaven.
04:55
For more teams, you're allowed to attempt to enter in June.
04:58
We'll see you soon.
04:59
See you.
04:59
Yeah.
05:00
Do you자� intel API
05:00
We'll see you soon.
05:01
You're right.
05:03
We'll see you soon.
05:04
Soon, there'll see you soon.
05:05
We'll see you soon.
05:05
We'll see you soon.
05:07
Be over time again.
05:07
移 in the future.
05:09
Bye bye.
05:10
Anyway, we'll see you soon.
05:12
Goodbye.
05:12
event.
05:13
toys, co
05:14
похож on the way too.
05:14
Absolutely.
05:16
Like we'll catch you soon.
05:16
Bye 2020, that's gonna be awesome.
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