00:00Who would you like to see as the next chief minister of Bihar?
00:04Now, take a look at this.
00:0522% are saying Nitish Kumar, 5% Chirag Paswan, Samrat Chaudhary of the BJP 2 and any candidate from BJP 14.
00:17That's interesting, any candidate from BJP.
00:19So, 36%, 41%, 43% which roughly is parallels what has the BJP got.
00:25Tejasvi Yadav, 34%.
00:27So, Tejasvi Yadav, the individual, is 12% ahead of Nitish Kumar.
00:32In this direct question, who would you like to see as next chief minister?
00:35Lalu Prasad, 2%.
00:37Lalu still has his admirers.
00:39Any candidate from Congress, 3%.
00:40And we'll come to the Congress in a moment.
00:43Any candidate from RJD, 2%.
00:45Prashant Kishore, 4%.
00:46Despite the fact that he's trying to make it presidential.
00:50Are you surprised, Javed Ansari, that here you've got someone in Tejasvi.
00:55He's got a popularity of his own.
00:58It is there, but it is clearly not enough to actually make it presidential.
01:04That's not happening.
01:08Yeah, because I guess it proves that they lack the organizational heft.
01:12The organizational wherewithal.
01:15Is it that or they don't have, as you said, that umbrella caste coalition?
01:18And his inability to broaden the bokeh.
01:21To bring in other castes.
01:23So, why do you think that Akhilesh, you seem to suggest, has been a little bit more successful than Tejasvi?
01:29Is that what you believe?
01:30Yes, I believe.
01:30Because the last Lok Sabha election showed that.
01:32And you look at the results.
01:34He was wiped out in the assembly elections.
01:36And then they've done much better in the Lok Sabha election.
01:39But Tejasvi has also tried to give other castes votes.
01:42Yeah, tried to, but didn't do enough.
01:45It didn't come from...
01:46You suddenly wake up on the eve of elections and you bring this kind of thing.
01:50You have to work at it.
01:51Okay.
01:51And 2024, Rajiv, was the problem.
01:53One by one.
01:54Yes, Rajiv.
01:542024 in Uttar Pradesh with what we are looking at as a benchmark of Akhilesh Adar
01:59was the perfect storm in terms of fault lines, within fault lines where caste was concerned.
02:03Eight, Akhilesh was very good in terms of how he distributed tickets, number one.
02:07Number two, there were enough fissures where the Rajput community was concerned,
02:11which is usually seen right behind the NDA.
02:14Those differences are not seen on ground as much in Bihar that we witnessed in Uttar Pradesh.
02:19But you know, if I add the numbers of Samrath, Chaudhary and any candidate of BJP, it's 16%.
02:24Nitish is still higher than anyone with the...
02:2753 is to NDA and 41 is to...
02:29It's similar to...
02:30Yes, but I'm saying that Nitish Kumar still scores over any BJP candidate.
02:34So the BJP has also not been able to throw any face other than Nitish.
02:38Am I clear, therefore?
02:39Precisely, because the state BJP leadership is way smaller in its stature compared to Nitish Kumar.
02:45Even ailing Nitish Kumar...
02:48Precisely, post-Social Kumar, Modi's era, Bihar BJP doesn't have a leader who can appeal to ban Bihar electorates.
02:59So Nitish, despite being past his prime, still stands out compared to any other Bihar BJP leadership.
03:04And you know, Rajdeep, on ground...
03:06Just one minute.
03:07On ground, while you have Nitish and BJP complementing each other and moving forward and the entire umbrella working together,
03:15as far as Mahagadbandan is concerned, it's Tejasvi Yadav backed by who?
03:19His 34% are the Muslims and the Yadav in the Congress.
03:23But on ground, on ground, you do witness friction between the RJP and the JDU carder.
03:29I'm just saying it's there, it cuts both ways, it's in both camps.
03:32Well, the numbers that we are seeing, is the Congress taking RJD ahead with it?
03:38Or is the Congress actually pulling the RJD down?
03:40It's a victory.
03:40It's a question.
03:41We will come to that in a moment, which alliance is working better on the ground?
03:45Because remember, there's been a reluctance on the part of the BJP also to officially anoint Nitish Kumar this time as their chief minister candidate.
03:52Why?
03:53Why is the question we'll ask.
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