Despite exit polls indicating a comfortable victory for the ruling NDA in Bihar, RJD leader and Mahagathbandhan’s chief ministerial face, Tejashwi Yadav, continues to be the most preferred choice for chief minister, as per an Axis My India exit poll.
00:00Who would you like to see as the next chief minister of Bihar?
00:04Now, take a look at this.
00:0522% are saying Nitish Kumar, 5% Chirag Paswan, Samrat Chaudhary of the BJP 2 and any candidate from BJP 14.
00:17That's interesting, any candidate from BJP.
00:19So, 36%, 41%, 43% which roughly is parallels what has the BJP got.
00:25Tejasvi Yadav, 34%.
00:27So, Tejasvi Yadav, the individual, is 12% ahead of Nitish Kumar.
00:32In this direct question, who would you like to see as next chief minister?
00:35Lalu Prasad, 2%.
00:37Lalu still has his admirers.
00:39Any candidate from Congress, 3%.
00:40And we'll come to the Congress in a moment.
00:43Any candidate from RJD, 2%.
00:45Prashant Kishore, 4%.
00:46Despite the fact that he's trying to make it presidential.
00:50Are you surprised, Javed Ansari, that here you've got someone in Tejasvi.
00:55He's got a popularity of his own.
00:58It is there, but it is clearly not enough to actually make it presidential.
01:04That's not happening.
01:08Yeah, because I guess it proves that they lack the organizational heft.
01:12The organizational wherewithal.
01:15Is it that or they don't have, as you said, that umbrella caste coalition?
01:18And his inability to broaden the bokeh.
01:21To bring in other castes.
01:23So, why do you think that Akhilesh, you seem to suggest, has been a little bit more successful than Tejasvi?
01:29Is that what you believe?
01:30Yes, I believe.
01:30Because the last Lok Sabha election showed that.
01:32And you look at the results.
01:34He was wiped out in the assembly elections.
01:36And then they've done much better in the Lok Sabha election.
01:39But Tejasvi has also tried to give other castes votes.
01:42Yeah, tried to, but didn't do enough.
01:45It didn't come from...
01:46You suddenly wake up on the eve of elections and you bring this kind of thing.
01:50You have to work at it.
01:51Okay.
01:51And 2024, Rajiv, was the problem.
01:53One by one.
01:54Yes, Rajiv.
01:542024 in Uttar Pradesh with what we are looking at as a benchmark of Akhilesh Adar
01:59was the perfect storm in terms of fault lines, within fault lines where caste was concerned.
02:03Eight, Akhilesh was very good in terms of how he distributed tickets, number one.
02:07Number two, there were enough fissures where the Rajput community was concerned,
02:11which is usually seen right behind the NDA.
02:14Those differences are not seen on ground as much in Bihar that we witnessed in Uttar Pradesh.
02:19But you know, if I add the numbers of Samrath, Chaudhary and any candidate of BJP, it's 16%.
02:24Nitish is still higher than anyone with the...
02:2753 is to NDA and 41 is to...
02:29It's similar to...
02:30Yes, but I'm saying that Nitish Kumar still scores over any BJP candidate.
02:34So the BJP has also not been able to throw any face other than Nitish.
02:38Am I clear, therefore?
02:39Precisely, because the state BJP leadership is way smaller in its stature compared to Nitish Kumar.
02:45Even ailing Nitish Kumar...
02:48Precisely, post-Social Kumar, Modi's era, Bihar BJP doesn't have a leader who can appeal to ban Bihar electorates.
02:59So Nitish, despite being past his prime, still stands out compared to any other Bihar BJP leadership.
03:04And you know, Rajdeep, on ground...
03:06Just one minute.
03:07On ground, while you have Nitish and BJP complementing each other and moving forward and the entire umbrella working together,
03:15as far as Mahagadbandan is concerned, it's Tejasvi Yadav backed by who?
03:19His 34% are the Muslims and the Yadav in the Congress.
03:23But on ground, on ground, you do witness friction between the RJP and the JDU carder.
03:29I'm just saying it's there, it cuts both ways, it's in both camps.
03:32Well, the numbers that we are seeing, is the Congress taking RJD ahead with it?
03:38Or is the Congress actually pulling the RJD down?
03:40It's a victory.
03:40It's a question.
03:41We will come to that in a moment, which alliance is working better on the ground?
03:45Because remember, there's been a reluctance on the part of the BJP also to officially anoint Nitish Kumar this time as their chief minister candidate.
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