VIC Latest Weather Forecast Video

FarmOnline Weather

Stay informed with the latest weather forecast video, covering rain patterns, temperature outlooks, and severe weather warnings. Updated every few days with expert analysis, from meteorologist Jane Bunn.

Transcript

00:00Hello and welcome to this Victorian Janesweather update for Friday.

00:04We have got a low pressure system that is crossing the southeast.

00:07Now that is going to have light and patchy rain out ahead of it.

00:10Then I'll have organized showers and thunderstorms.

00:13And then it's going to have a lot of rain for southern Victoria as we wrap around that low as it moves through.

00:19So let's have a look day by day what to expect.

00:21The light and patchy rain becomes organized in the southwest with showers and thunderstorms starting to tend into a band of rain.

00:29By the end of Friday, the low is here off the Gippsland coast.

00:33So we're seeing the wrap around into that.

00:35We've got all of that rain essentially on the backside of that low as it moves through.

00:39That is going to very slowly move eastward.

00:42So let's watch that.

00:43Here we have Saturday.

00:44So there it goes.

00:45Only along the southern parts of Victoria, it rapidly dries up as it moves into the north.

00:50So this isn't a northern Victorian system.

00:53So there's Friday.

00:54There is Saturday.

00:55And there is Sunday.

00:57The continuation of that in through there before it all clears out.

01:01After that, I want to draw your attention to these lines that are over here.

01:05The blues and the purples.

01:06That purple line that is snowed down to 600 metres.

01:09Yes, it is the 10th of November in through here.

01:12But a high back over to our west is going far enough south that's allowing this punch of cold air to come up.

01:18We're not going to feel quite to 600 metres, but just showing you just how cold this blob of air actually is.

01:24We're going to get the top of that as it comes across.

01:26So our next burst of wet weather arrives later on Monday and continues into Tuesday.

01:31Now, the high pressure that is running in through here, that blocks our connection to tropical moisture.

01:36So there is nothing at all pretty much for northern parts of the state in through here.

01:40Again, a southern system.

01:42But this one comes with a punch of cold air.

01:45All right, so that's moving through later Monday into Tuesday.

01:49As you go into Wednesday, there's our high pressure ridge in through here.

01:52Still cold, still wet in Tasmania, but the mainland is missing out.

01:56The next cold punch moves across the southeast on Thursday, but this one is confined to Tasmania.

02:02We've got our high pressure that's in through here.

02:04High pressure after a cold outbreak.

02:07That leads to clearing skies.

02:08It leads to calm winds.

02:10Yes, it is this far into November, but that is the recipe for a late-season frost.

02:15So do watch out for that next week.

02:17We're going to have some very chilly nights to come after that wet weather,

02:20mainly because the wet weather is only in the southern parts of the state.

02:24After that, we look to the northwest.

02:26At the very end of next week, we may have a weather system that comes through Friday into next Saturday,

02:31but the models at the moment have no consistency, no idea.

02:37What's the weather I'm looking for?

02:39They're not in consensus.

02:41That's the word I'm looking for.

02:43They're not in consensus as to where that is going to move at this stage,

02:46so keep checking back to see where that does move.

02:48What might all of this add up to?

02:50We're looking at 25 to 50 millimetres as this moves across through here with locally heavier falls.

02:56In the southwest, not quite as much,

02:58and then you see how quickly it dissipates as it moves across the northern parts of the state.

03:02So we've got that one moving through Friday, Saturday, Sunday,

03:05then the next punch on Tuesday, and then missing out on that one on Thursday,

03:10but we might see some wet weather come down next Friday and Saturday.

03:13All right, so for Melbourne, what does that mean?

03:15Get ready for a temperature roller coaster.

03:17It does rise this afternoon as the light and patchy rain dissipates,

03:20so we get a little bit of a breakout through there.

03:22So here's our norseally winds, but Saturday, yes, this is not a misprint.

03:28This is cold.

03:29This is also rain at times, so it is lots and lots of showers passing through,

03:34tending to steady rain for much of the time.

03:36So Saturday is cold and it is wet.

03:39We also have a gusty southwesterly wind as that racks around the backside of that low.

03:44So Saturday would not be out of place in the middle of midwinter.

03:48So there is Saturday.

03:49Into Sunday, temperatures rise a bit.

03:51There's still heaps of showers that are streaming through.

03:54By Monday, it's dry for much of the day.

03:56Then the next change arrives.

03:58Temperatures jump up and then we're down again for Tuesday.

04:00So Tasmania taking the brunt of that,

04:02but we're certainly going to feel it with showers coming through and only 15.

04:06This is steady rain, which is why it can be quite so cold,

04:09because there's no breaks in it at all.

04:11This has breaks in it and it's only 15,

04:13and the wind chill on that is going to be quite nasty.

04:16As we head into next Wednesday,

04:18that's when we might start to see a little bit of warmth coming back

04:21potentially into the low 20s before a change later on in the week.

04:25As always, head to Farm Alive Weather for the latest.

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