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  • 2 days ago
Stay informed with the latest weather forecast video, covering rain patterns, temperature outlooks, and severe weather warnings. Updated every few days with expert analysis, from meteorologist Jane Bunn.
Transcript
00:00Hello and welcome to this New South Wales Jane's Rather update for Monday.
00:04We have got a huge cloud band that is crossing the country.
00:07Moisture is pouring in from the Indian Ocean, part of the negative Indian Ocean dipole,
00:12and that cloud and rain band is moving through here.
00:14Now, some of the heaviest falls are actually going to be in through here,
00:17but there's no radar coverage there, so we can't actually see it falling.
00:20But watch this. Watch how slowly it is moving northwards.
00:23So it is very gradually progressing northwards,
00:26but this is over the course of an hour and it is hardly moving.
00:29So it's a very, very slow moving thing that is going to be with us for the next couple of days.
00:34So this is where it is. We've got some cloud out ahead of it.
00:36Otherwise, bright sunshine will slowly get overtaken by this cloud band.
00:40Let's have a look day by day what we can expect in through here.
00:43So it's southern parts of the state that are seeing this band today,
00:46very, very slowly moving northwards.
00:48We've got heat out ahead of that.
00:50We've got cold air that is in behind it.
00:52So there'll be a little bit of a temperature roller coaster, particularly in the south.
00:56There is Monday. Let's have a look on Tuesday.
00:58Here is what is left of that band.
01:00So it does peter out as it moves through the day on Tuesday.
01:03We do see this particularly in the morning on Tuesday there.
01:07All right. So there's that one.
01:08As we move into Wednesday, the band is back.
01:11Here it is running through the central parts in through here.
01:13We've also got showers and thunderstorms that are in that southeastern quarter,
01:17generally on the western side of the ranges.
01:19So that's during the day on Wednesday.
01:21Heat. Look at the purple and red lines that are in through here.
01:24Cold air that is back over to the west.
01:25Let's have a look on Thursday.
01:27We start to see a trough that comes in through here.
01:29So here is our band of rain.
01:31It is still with us right through to the end of the week.
01:34Out ahead of that, thanks to that trough,
01:37we'll get hit and miss showers and thunderstorms directly under a storm.
01:40Yes, you're going to get a big fall.
01:42Otherwise, it is hit and miss activity.
01:44We're likely to see it on the ranges and just to the west of the ranges
01:47and just to these western parts of the coastal fringe.
01:50Less likely go over to the east coast there.
01:53So that is Thursday into Friday that contracts northward.
01:56So it's the northeastern parts and into southeastern parts of Queensland.
02:00So that's where the focus of the activity is on Friday.
02:03There's Friday.
02:04Let's now have a look at Saturday.
02:05Rain potentially building over to the west.
02:08We've got a cold outbreak that's hitting Tasmania.
02:10Let's have a look at what this here could do.
02:13So by Sunday, we could be in for a very decent, significant rain system.
02:18Now, this is one of the weather models.
02:19They're not all on board yet.
02:21I'm going to take you through very quickly.
02:22So this is GFS, which is a USA model.
02:25That's got a hint of it.
02:26If we move down to here on Sunday, yes, this is all on Sunday,
02:31but this is the Euro model, the European model.
02:33That really, really likes it.
02:35Have a look at access.
02:36It doesn't like it.
02:37It likes it sticking to the north.
02:38And Gem doesn't really like it.
02:40That's Canada.
02:41That's got it up in through here and over to the west at that stage.
02:43So all of the guidance is saying very different things.
02:47And so that means we don't have a lot of confidence with this at this stage.
02:52So having a look at our Euro model, that's the one that has the most rain on it.
02:56So that's the one I'd be certainly keeping an eye on.
02:58What might that add up to, including those falls on Sunday?
03:01So this is the bigger band of rain that comes through after the littler band that very slowly moves northwards.
03:07We've got our showers and storms over the northeast and the western parts of the rangers in through here.
03:12Otherwise, it's mainly the potential for that band at the very end of the outlook.
03:16What can we expect for Sydney as we're waking up on this public holiday?
03:20We've got light rain at times.
03:21Now, that isn't until the evening.
03:23We've got a warm day ahead.
03:25We've got cloud that is there, but we'll have a southerly change later on.
03:28And so then we'll get a little bit of rain overnight.
03:30Most of that is in the early hours of Tuesday.
03:33It clears up during the morning on Tuesday.
03:35So Monday night into Tuesday morning is when that comes through.
03:39Temperatures 22 tomorrow.
03:40So we'll feel that as we head back to work.
03:42But then temperatures rise again as we move into Wednesday.
03:45So up in the high 20s, 30, 28 in through here.
03:48The next dip is as we go into Sunday, if that weather system comes across.
03:52You'll notice on Sunday, nothing for Sydney.
03:54It might reach it there on Monday.
03:56But that was pretty much in the gap in between these two parts here.
04:00Let's watch this evolve and see what actually happens as we get closer to that particular part.
04:05All right.
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