Exploring Mahina's Consistent Racing Strategy and Form

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00:00We actually start out with Mahina, who had a little bit of a sneaky kind of traffic.

00:05I don't know if she was going to win.

00:07She seems like she runs similar races all the time.

00:09She's a horse who needs some pace to run at.

00:12She's going to sit back.

00:12She's going to launch one late run.

00:15She's multiple graded stakes placed, but she hasn't really won any of these big ones.

00:20No, and she has not even hit the board in six starts in Del Mar.

00:24That's funny.

00:24I had the very similar thing written down.

00:26She runs a very similar race every time, kind of in that mid-80s buyers.

00:31I don't think it's going to be good enough in here to do much.

00:33Maybe hit the board, like you said.

00:35Public Assembly is still lightly raced with some upside.

00:38She's a grade three winner.

00:39She finished second in the yellow ribbon.

00:41Really, when you look at her recent form, the only bad race on the page is the gamely

00:45when Be Your Best probably outclassed that field.

00:48Here's Public Assembly in the yellow ribbon.

00:51She was in the two paths.

00:52She was in between horses early.

00:54She ends up winning a battle here for second and for some of the minor awards.

00:58She wasn't going to win.

00:58She was chasing lone speed, but she's solid in here, Scott.

01:03The problem is there's a lot of horses that kind of look similar on paper or like they're

01:07not separated by all that much.

01:09And then there's one or two new faces that look like they may be the standouts in this

01:14race.

01:14I have no problem with Public Assembly.

01:16I'll probably have towards the bottom of Exotics, but I need a little value, I think,

01:20to play her in here.

01:21Well, the problem is, as much like it was last time you mentioned, lone speed, the favorite

01:26taking them all the way in the yellow ribbon, there's not a lot of speed in here at all.

01:30I mean, it's going to be a very similar race shape, but I'm not sure.

01:34Fifth start as a four-year-old, she's been in the Chad Brown barn before, if she has that

01:38move forward in her.

01:39Yeah, and she's not fast.

01:41In her last two races, she's lost to horses who have been on the lead in lone speed.

01:46Mission of Joy is a multiple graded stakes winner.

01:49This course, I've tried to get to a couple times recently, Scott, because she has some

01:52back class, but she is just one for her last 13.

01:56Can she get back to some of those races from, you know, the first half of 2024 when she was

02:02really in good form?

02:03I don't think she can, would be my answer.

02:06I was a big fan of this filly at the time.

02:09Saw her race at Churchill when I was there once, and she was just better.

02:13I mean, she was forward a little more last time than I think she wants to be.

02:16We talked about the race shape, you know, you can maybe make that case for her, but it's

02:21going to be a similar race shape today, or in this race.

02:24She's a little bit wide, but I couldn't find as many excuses.

02:27Maduro just looks really well spotted in here, Scott.

02:30When you're looking at a group of horses that are all kind of similar, and maybe not that

02:34exciting, and they don't really jump off the page to bet, Maduro's form overall is just

02:39good.

02:40She's never been worse than third.

02:42She's multiple grade one play.

02:43She's a grade three winner, and the real key, she had been off, and she made her first

02:48start as a four-year-old, and it was really good.

02:51It was basically her best career start.

02:54You feel like she can step forward off of that.

02:56She's got some versatility.

02:58There's just so many things to like about her, and in a field where a lot of the other

03:03horses are just kind of okay.

03:05Yeah, she struggled to put races together in her career, too, and to an extent, nice to

03:10see that she was able to kind of come right back off of what was probably a prep for this

03:14spot in the osinitis, which is a restricted special weight, or not a special weight, but

03:19a restricted stake.

03:20She should be forward to an extent in this field, and she likes this turf course.

03:24Not a lot to hate.

03:26Yeah, likes Del Mar, proven at a mile and an eighth.

03:28We move to hopeful.

03:30She wins in her first start in the U.S. back in June.

03:33Then in July, she had a brutal trip.

03:36Now, you could take two things, right?

03:38Tough trip doesn't mean she's going to win this race, but it was kind of a no-chance trip.

03:42She was like wide and in between horses, and just put a line right through it.

03:47I think it says something that the connections want to come into this spot.

03:50Mark Glatt, who's been kind of raising his game to one of the top trainers in Southern

03:54California the last few years.

03:56What do you think about hopeful in this spot?

03:57Well, you could definitely make an excuse for a last, but you got to all quote wonder about

04:01the quality of the field she faced.

04:03It was like a six-horse blanket finish, basically, and it was Baltic Fire, who we'll get to shortly.

04:08That was 57 to one, and really had nothing on form to show you that she was capable of

04:14really winning that race.

04:15So, hopeful to me, that trip might get her over a bet, but she makes a little sense.

04:20Yeah, I kind of thought she could maybe hit the board here, but would need to see more

04:23to get a win from her.

04:25Kentucky Gal, on paper, looks like one of a few horses that might be forwardly placed in here.

04:30At least in tensions, with Edwin Maldonado aboard, who's a speed rider, and with the

04:35blinkers aboard, with Phil D'Amato having four, I feel like he's got to pick one of his

04:39charge that's going to want to go towards the front end, and maybe it's this one, Scott.

04:43Why wouldn't he want to go with this Churchill filly?

04:45There's not a lot of speed at all in here.

04:47She's been not able to make a lone lead going further distances, which normally wouldn't

04:52be sharp enough to get you to the front.

04:54But with the blinkers on, three other horses, and Maldonado, I think she's on the lead.

04:58Probably not good enough to win, but she can hang around.

05:01Give me another, came from South Africa, was undefeated, seven for seven when coming into

05:06the U.S., has not won, but has finished second three times in four graded stakes races here.

05:12This is a pretty solid effort.

05:14I think it would bind with the big turf course in the long stretch.

05:17She may have got a little lost out here on the front end, Scott.

05:20Feels like a very good spot for Grand Motion to ship her in to Del Mar this weekend for

05:25a graded stakes.

05:25Yeah, I remember her coming in for her first start at Tampa.

05:28She's run really good races, but the problem is she won all of her races in South Africa

05:33and none here.

05:34So I don't know where that puts her here in this spot.

05:36She's going to take quite a bit of money, I think.

05:39Baltic Fire was that long shot winner at 50-1, Scott.

05:42I got to make her prove it this time, back to back.

05:44Absolutely agree with you.

05:45That feels like last time was the time.

05:48Hang the Moon is a multiple graded stakes winner.

05:50Had to shake off the rust off an eight-month layoff, but I would have liked to see a little

05:54bit more from her because I didn't think it was that strong of a field.

05:57I don't really know the quality of the horses she was beating either in those graded stakes.

06:01I agree.

06:02I think she might get a forward somewhat trip from that outside post, but another one that

06:06I don't think is quite good enough.

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