Del Mar Saturday Pick 5 Strategy and Horse Insights

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00:00We will go through a pick five sequence at Del Mar.

00:05So Del Mar Saturday races one through pick five.

00:08It's like a five team parlay.

00:10I know a lot of you are looking at the football games

00:12for this weekend.

00:13It's NFL season starting out.

00:15College football started off last weekend.

00:17Alexa, what we will do,

00:19we'll go through the first five races at Del Mar.

00:21We'll pick a couple horses in most of the races.

00:24And then as we add horses, our ticket gets more expensive.

00:27So it's a little different than a traditional parlay

00:29because we don't exactly know what our ticket will pay out.

00:32It just depends on the prices we get along the way.

00:36Hopefully, fingers crossed,

00:37we can get some big prices along the way.

00:39Why don't you start us off

00:40and talk about a couple of the horses

00:41in race number one on Saturday at Del Mar.

00:45Yeah, race one is a baby races for two year olds.

00:49So I don't have a whole lot again to go off

00:51with a lot of these horses,

00:52which is why you'll see on the pace projector,

00:54it'll say not enough data to predict the early pace

00:57because we don't know how these horses

00:58are gonna set up at the beginning of the race.

01:00But I like number four, Mark the Money Man, five to one odds

01:04like most in year, unraced.

01:07And he was not an expensive horse.

01:08However, Timeform US does give him

01:10the strongest pedigree ranking in the field

01:12of 90 out of a hundred.

01:14I mean, he has some decent works to back it up as well.

01:17Also number seven, Prince of Del Mar

01:19are gonna try to make his name a reality tomorrow.

01:22And his sire, Sir Prancelot has 12% winners

01:25for two-year-old first-time starters.

01:27And that's the best first-time starter sire stat

01:30in the field.

01:31I really like his workout on August 24th

01:33where he ran three furlongs in 35 seconds.

01:36As a general rule of thumb,

01:38I like to see horses run each furlong in 12 seconds.

01:41So when I see somebody running faster than that,

01:43it really piques my interest.

01:44He's also had three siblings that have made the track

01:47and one of them did win on debut.

01:49What makes the five races that we're previewing right now

01:52so challenging, four of them are these baby races.

01:56So as you mentioned, Alexa,

01:57we don't have as much information

01:58on the Timeform US profile cards on the past performances.

02:02We don't have as many races to look at.

02:04We're just going off of pedigree for a lot of these horses.

02:07What were their dams and their sires like?

02:09Where were they good?

02:10How good were their barns,

02:12the trainers getting these horses ready early on?

02:14How have they been working out in the mornings?

02:16Alexa likes the four and the seven.

02:18I'll mention the eight steak fries who has experience.

02:21So while he didn't show a lot of talent in that debut,

02:25he's way better in the mornings and he's faster.

02:27I think he'll show more early speed there.

02:29To the outside, war is hell.

02:31The dam was two for three on the grass

02:33and there's a lot of grass in the pedigree.

02:35So I wouldn't be shocked to see this horse

02:36actually be a little bit better on the green.

02:39I'll mention the two horses to the outside.

02:41So we're gonna go four deep, Alexa,

02:43four, seven, eight, 10,

02:45to try to get things started in race number one

02:47on Saturday at Del Mar.

02:49But it'll come down to our single in race number two.

02:52As we go back and forth

02:53and we kind of talk about who we like,

02:55we'll usually send each other our selections.

02:57And right away, this one kind of was an easy single

03:00because we both had the same horse on top in here,

03:02Alexa with Uncle Reg.

03:03Two starts back at Losal.

03:05He was a winner against the starter allowance group,

03:08a 50 starter allowance group.

03:10That race would stack up really well in here.

03:11So we don't have a big price in here,

03:13but we both feel like the five Uncle Reg

03:16is very logical in this spot.

03:18Yeah, he is logical in this spot.

03:20So like you said, we're singling him.

03:21We're gonna spread a bit more in race three,

03:23which is another, like you said, two-year-old race.

03:26I like number eight, Coulere, six to one odds.

03:29And this horse was bred in Ireland

03:31and has run one time, which was in Ireland.

03:34So he's new to the States.

03:35His new connections are trainer Phil D'Amato

03:38and Umberto Raspoli.

03:40And when these two team up,

03:41they've been winning 23% of the time at Del Mar,

03:44which is pretty hot right now.

03:46And also number 10, Curvino, five to one odds.

03:50This is one of the few in here that has run before

03:53and has actually run twice.

03:55Both of those were on dirt.

03:56So this is his first attempt on turf,

03:58but three out of his four siblings

04:00who have tried surf have won.

04:02So the pedigree is there for it.

04:03His speed figures need to improve a bit to compete,

04:06but I do think the surface change

04:08could get that improvement for him.

04:09And when you're putting together a pick five,

04:12a lot of it has to do with

04:13how you want to map your ticket out.

04:17Which races are you gonna maybe go a little bit more bold?

04:20Which races are you gonna do

04:21what me and Alexa did in race number two?

04:23Maybe you'll go a little bit more formful,

04:24a little bit more logical.

04:26This is a race where we're gonna take a couple swings.

04:28We're gonna throw one big downfield.

04:30I'll give you as many sports puns as possible

04:32here on SportsGrid on a Friday.

04:34As a race number three, we'll try to beat Kings Road,

04:37who will probably be the favorite in that race.

04:39That's the number four for trainer Bob Baffert.

04:42So the two horses Alexa mentioned,

04:43and then the one, two, and three will all be on our ticket.

04:47They'll be bigger prices in there.

04:48Zabo, Video Review, and Ironman Cal,

04:51who has a race of experience.

04:53So one, two, three, eight, and 10

04:55for us in race number three.

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