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Alabama Faces Challenges and Opportunities in 2025
SportsGrid
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5 months ago
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00:00
But look at the point spread today.
00:02
Alabama Crimson Tide on the road at Doak Campbell.
00:05
Lane 14, Joe.
00:07
Explain it.
00:07
Two and ten, Donnie.
00:09
The only FBS team that Florida State beat last year was Cal,
00:13
and they beat them by a hair.
00:15
I bet that game, I barely covered.
00:18
I was saying prayers throughout that game.
00:21
They blocked a field goal from Fernando Mendoza and Jay Nott.
00:25
That offense was cooking in the fourth quarter.
00:27
But when you look at Florida State, you talk about a complete 360.
00:30
You go 13-0 in the regular season, and you and I could debate,
00:34
they should have been in the college football team.
00:35
No, they were a bad football team.
00:36
Stop.
00:37
They should have been.
00:38
They got to have Georgia show.
00:39
Not a side.
00:39
Not a side.
00:40
They covered every game, even with backup.
00:43
Tate Rodemaker in 2023.
00:46
But two and ten last year.
00:47
They fell off a cliff.
00:49
I talked to Coach Pound.
00:50
You know, we agree.
00:51
This team quit.
00:52
After you go to Haynes King and you play out there in Ireland
00:56
and you lose 24-21 with DJU and this team, they come back,
01:01
they lose to Thomas Castellanos and Boston College as a 14-and-a-half point
01:05
home favorite.
01:07
They tossed it in.
01:08
The kids quit.
01:09
They averaged 89 rushing yards per game last year.
01:12
They gave up a ton in run support.
01:14
And the only other team that they beat outside of Cal was an FCS opponent
01:18
in the month of November.
01:19
That's absolutely pathetic if you're Mike Norvell.
01:21
Cal, you need to find a way.
01:23
I don't care what you do to cover this 13-and-a-half point number.
01:28
Otherwise, he's going to be on the hot seat.
01:29
Yeah, we're 13-and-a-half at FanDuel, 14 at DraftKings, 14 at BetMGM,
01:33
14 at Bet365, and then out there in Vegas, really the prevailing number,
01:36
Joe, is minus 14.
01:37
So a two-touchdown favorite for Alabama on the road.
01:40
Let's start with Alabama.
01:41
Joe, what am I getting out of the quarterback position this year?
01:43
Jalen Milrow's off to the NFL.
01:45
We get that.
01:46
Ty Simpson is there.
01:47
A recruit that you expected big things from.
01:49
Maybe it turns out you have a great wide receiver court.
01:52
No Jan Miller today.
01:53
We'll get to all of that.
01:53
But give me the quarterback position and the expectations this year
01:56
outside of Jalen Milrow not being back.
01:58
Well, Ty Simpson, I think, is a better pocket passer
02:01
and potentially fits the passing philosophy of Kalen DeBoer
02:05
and what Alabama wants to do.
02:07
You talk about Ty Simpson last year, limited action, 56% completion percentage,
02:12
167 passing yards.
02:14
He did rush eight times for 55 yards and a touchdown.
02:18
But that's where you go and you say, okay, Ty Simpson's a better passer
02:21
than Jalen Milrow.
02:23
Is he a better runner?
02:24
Because Jalen Milrow last year, Donnie, had 20 rushing touchdowns.
02:29
When we talk about the two big games for Alabama, I go to two.
02:32
I go to one against Georgia.
02:34
Earlier in the year, Jalen Milrow abused that front seven
02:37
and had four rushing touchdowns in the first half of that game.
02:40
And then I go to the blowout road victory over LSU and Brian Kelly.
02:45
Hey, Jalen Milrow, again, over 100 yards.
02:47
Are we going to get that type of performance out of Ty Simpson?
02:51
I don't see it.
02:52
Now, that doesn't mean they can't win this game,
02:54
but they struggled on the road last year,
02:56
two and four on the road or on a neutral field site.
02:59
And they lost those games, Donnie,
03:00
by an average margin of defeat of 9.6 points per game.
03:05
It's supposed to be a wet track today with some bad weather.
03:08
I think Alabama certainly wins this game,
03:10
but I'm taking the points with Florida State.
03:12
Yeah, if we're also DeBoer and Grubb back together here in Tuscaloosa,
03:16
is that going to make a big difference on the offense?
03:18
Because the one thing that we know, they work some magic in Washington, Joe.
03:21
Now back together here, opening day.
03:22
It's always tough to sort of gauge what you're getting
03:25
if it's a returning quarterback.
03:26
We don't necessarily have that from a starting perspective.
03:28
But Simpson's not just, hey, I'm 17 years old.
03:31
I just got here on campus.
03:32
Let me start.
03:32
We should get some pretty good statistics here from them today.
03:34
You should, because they averaged 236 through the air last year.
03:38
And if we're talking Michael Pinnock's Washington days,
03:41
we know that the Huskies threw it for 300, 330 yards per game.
03:45
At one point in the regular season, Michael Pinnock,
03:48
when he challenged Bo Nix, was in the area of about 340 passing yards per game.
03:52
So if we believe we're going to have progression with Ty Simpson,
03:55
maybe we have Alabama average this year 280.
03:58
That would be a step up.
04:00
But they still want to run the football
04:01
and look for them to try and manhandle a defense in Florida State
04:05
that gave up a buck 84 on the ground.
04:07
Let's go.
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