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Lee Sterling shares his picks for Week 1 of College Football including his Miami - Notre Dame bet
WQAM-AM / AM 560 Sports WQAM
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5 months ago
Professional sports handicapper, Lee Sterling, joins the show for his picks for the College Football weekend.
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00:00
Let's go, Lee.
00:01
Let's go, Lee.
00:02
Lee Sterling is on the Toyota of Hollywood hotline,
00:06
and he's a professional sports handicapper.
00:09
The website is ParamountSports.com.
00:13
Don't you do one of the Lockdown betting sites?
00:16
Lockdown Bets.
00:17
It's the only betting show on the Lockdown Network.
00:19
I have over almost 300 shows.
00:22
Well, let's bang through some bets here,
00:24
because I have a few games I want to get to,
00:26
and we don't have a ton of time.
00:27
So I'm going to start with the Miami game.
00:30
Obviously very important to you and me.
00:33
University of Miami at home Sunday night hosting Notre Dame,
00:39
and Notre Dame is two, two-and-a-half point favorite,
00:43
depending on where you see it.
00:46
So the strength of my game pretty much is going to depend on the weather.
00:50
If the weather's better, I think it favors Miami.
00:53
Notre Dame, good running back.
00:55
Well, great running back, Jeremiah Love.
00:57
Almost 1,200 yards, 17 touchdowns.
01:01
They're going to try to run the ball and not take a whole lot of chances
01:04
with their brand-new quarterback, C.J. Carr.
01:06
I love the addition of Corey Heatherman.
01:09
I think it's going to make them a top-10 defense here within two years.
01:16
I love the fact the place is going to be jumping here,
01:19
and I think Carson Beck's going to be good enough
01:21
with that offensive line of running backs.
01:23
And I think the passing game will come around here.
01:27
Wrong team favored.
01:29
Miami straight up.
01:30
Low-scoring game, 23-20.
01:32
There we go.
01:33
Crowder wanted to hear.
01:34
Crowder's all over the under.
01:35
I'm all over the under.
01:37
I've been saying the under for two weeks.
01:39
Now it's going to be raining?
01:42
Come on, man.
01:44
Let's see here.
01:45
I'm just writing it down.
01:46
Miami money line.
01:47
How about FSU?
01:48
I'll do the big Florida schools here.
01:51
FSU, Miami, and University of Florida, unfortunately.
01:56
FSU, big one to start the season.
01:59
Alabama.
02:00
And Alabama is a 13-and-a-half point favorite.
02:04
Thomas Castellanos.
02:05
What is he doing?
02:06
I mean, talking smack to the Alabama defense.
02:11
I don't like it.
02:11
I think FSU obviously had to grab a quarterback, but they were looking at the guy that had the
02:18
best game the entire year against him, Thomas Castellanos from BC Beat'em, scored 28 points.
02:23
Other than that, he never scored 23 points the entire season.
02:27
So if he's forced to pass the ball, he is not a drop-back passer here.
02:33
He needs to run around, make things happen here.
02:36
And I think this Alabama team is reloaded.
02:38
I think they're top two, top three in the SEC, and I think they're going to make it to the playoff blowout special here.
02:45
I like Alabama here.
02:47
Roll Tide, 38-20.
02:50
All right.
02:50
Now, Crowder's Florida Gators.
02:53
They've got a biggie to open the season as well.
02:57
Long Island University.
02:59
Long Island.
03:00
Long Island University.
03:01
Florida, from what I see, is a 45-and-a-half point favorite.
03:06
So we had trouble finding a whole lot of tape on Long Island when you gave me this game early this morning, Mark.
03:13
And their quarterback is Ethan Greenwood.
03:16
They list him as 5'11", 185.
03:18
He's like 5'8", 160, tops, wet, coming out of the shower.
03:24
He threw for more than 200 yards just one time last year.
03:28
They played two crowds of less than 1,000 fans, only two crowds of more than 5,000 people there.
03:38
He also plays receiver a little bit.
03:41
He had eight catches for 144 yards and two touchdowns.
03:45
Dynamic.
03:46
It's going to be trouble here for Long Island.
03:49
No upset here.
03:49
I like Florida big.
03:52
How about this?
03:52
I think the record is something like 76 points that they've won, margin of victory.
03:59
I think it was Steve Spurrier in like 96 or 97.
04:03
77-nothing here, Florida over Long Island.
04:07
Would you ever play that?
04:08
Would you ever lay 45-and-a-half points?
04:10
Yeah, yeah.
04:11
I mean, this team looks really bad, Long Island.
04:14
Really bad.
04:15
We beat FAMU 70-3 when I was there.
04:19
That's only 67 points.
04:21
We need another 10 points to get to 77.
04:24
How about Solana's, FIU Panthers?
04:28
Tonight, they are in action at Pitbull Stadium.
04:31
FIU is a 30-and-a-half point favorite over Bethune-Cookman.
04:36
Bet you didn't know this.
04:38
FIU's played Bethune four times, lost all four times.
04:43
They play two different quarterbacks.
04:47
They have a next-level receiver and kick returner, Malik Huggins.
04:53
This guy is next.
04:54
You're going to hear his name.
04:55
I think he's going to get drafted and make an NFL roster.
04:59
I think FIU is totally reloading here.
05:03
FIU escapes here 24-23.
05:08
Wow.
05:09
Wow.
05:10
Solana's got to send shivers up your spine, squeaking past Pitbull-Cookman.
05:18
We're taking BC plus the points there.
05:21
All right.
05:21
And then the real big game this weekend, one versus three, Ohio State two-point favorite
05:27
over Arch Manning and Texas.
05:31
I will make this one bet that Steve Sarkeesian will never, in this game, call like he did
05:39
from the one-yard line.
05:41
When he had a first down at the 1A, he's not going to go in the shotgun and run a toss sweep.
05:46
Trust me.
05:47
After he did that in the last game, lost seven yards.
05:50
It was game, set, match.
05:52
Then they had the strip sack for the touchdown, Jack Story.
05:55
But Ohio State lost seven of nine of their top tacklers.
05:59
I don't think this guy, Julian Sands, is ready yet.
06:02
I know they're at home.
06:03
He is not ready for primetime.
06:05
I'm hearing reports he is not going to be the guy, especially early.
06:10
It might take him two, three games to settle in.
06:12
Arch Manning, I think he's the guy.
06:14
I think the Saints are going to play for him.
06:16
They're not trading for anyone.
06:17
They're going to try to just win two or three games and sit tight and get Arch and keep that
06:23
Manning family going.
06:24
I think that Texas, I graded out all the different position groups, except for receiver.
06:30
Texas is better, I believe, in every position.
06:33
Another wrong team favored.
06:35
Texas outright, 24-21 in the horseshoe.
06:38
Wow.
06:38
There you go.
06:39
Lee Sterling.
06:40
Check out the website, ParamountSports.com.
06:43
You can follow Lee on Twitter, at Paramount Sports.
06:46
He likes the Hurricanes' money line.
06:49
He likes Bama laying the points against FSU.
06:53
He likes UF to romp over Long Island University and their two-position offensive quarterback,
07:02
who's also a receiver at times.
07:04
He likes Bethune-Cookman plus the points tonight against FIU.
07:12
And he likes Texas straight up against Ohio State on Saturday.
07:19
All right, Lee, let's have a good season.
07:21
You feeling it this season?
07:22
Oh, yeah.
07:23
I got it.
07:24
I had one get married over the summer, and there's talk, and the next year, the other
07:27
one's getting engaged.
07:29
Oh, yeah.
07:29
You got to win big, man, because you got a lot of experience there.
07:33
The Sterling family, they don't throw, it ain't no wedding at the VFW.
07:40
Sterling throws it down.
07:44
Thanks, Lee.
07:45
We appreciate it.
07:45
We'll talk to you next week.
07:46
Thanks, guys.
07:47
Be good.
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