00:00Farther west, we've been talking and ringing that bell since Monday of last week that this was going to come farther west.
00:08You can see the eye popping and what's also just no doubting is how the storm has gotten bigger in the last 24 hours.
00:19Yes, we've been talking about that burning with our team of hurricane experts that the wind field would be widening out,
00:24the storm would be growing in size and just look at, you can see that very easily on the satellite loop here over the last 24 hours,
00:31how that's been occurring and then look at that last frame there where we're starting to see the eye there on the infrared satellite loop.
00:38There's also a very intense band, outer rain band of thunderstorms associated with this as well.
00:44So the storm structure continues to evolve, the storm is becoming bigger and that means that that's why we're concerned
00:50about those tropical storm force gusts of 39 miles per hour or more affecting parts of the North Carolina coastline.
00:58My rule of thumb is if you see an eye pop on an infrared satellite and it lasts more than an hour,
01:04you probably have a category three hurricane. That's my concern.
01:07We'll see if the hurricane owners can find those winds.
01:11The track not really changing much, John, north than northeast.
01:16But again, we've always, always had that western side of the window extend pretty far away from the eye of Hurricane Aaron.
01:26We have. And you see the storm taking its right turn.
01:29So the storm is going out to sea.
01:31There will not be a direct landfall with this storm system.
01:34But even so, there will be some significant impacts, especially focused along the outer banks up to southeast Virginia
01:41and also some gusty winds out toward Nantucket Island as well.
01:45While we continue to focus on where that eye is going to be, miles matter.
01:50Right now we're thinking 200 miles east or west of the storm center for the tropical storm force conditions.
01:57We are forecasting right now the eye of Aaron passing east by about 200 miles.
02:04That's why we are projecting tropical storm force conditions, maximum staying winds of 39 miles per hour
02:10along the outer banks of North Carolina, perhaps toward Virginia Beach as we get toward tonight and tomorrow.
02:18And again, on the Saffir-Simpson scale, this is a category two.
02:23But we have the AccuWeather real impact scale for hurricanes, John, and we're going less than one.
02:29That's right.
02:30And this is another, this is the unique AccuWeather scale.
02:33And it's another way to showcase the value of that AccuWeather real impact scale for hurricanes.
02:37Because while this is going to be a Cat 2, and as you mentioned, maybe even a Cat 3 hurricane
02:42in terms of the wind intensity out over the water, we're focused on impacts where people live on land.
02:49And so that's a less than one on the AccuWeather real impact scale for hurricanes,
02:53because the majority of that rain and wind will be off, staying off the coastline,
02:58as AccuWeather hurricane experts have been talking about for more than a week.
03:02All right.
03:03John, there's the impacts as we get.
03:07This is mostly for Aaron.
03:09We have not decided not to clear anybody north of Charleston yet.
03:16And the reason is we want to make sure that move north continues.
03:22That's right.
03:22We'll be watching that.
03:23Storm is going to be turning to the north here through the day today,
03:26and then eventually to the northeast as it turns out to sea.
03:30And we'll start making some, doing some additional clearing further north once that happens.
03:34We'll be watching that.
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