Aaron Judge's Stats and 2025 AL MVP Betting Update

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00:00let's keep it in the american league aaron judge coming back from the il hasn't been great cal

00:04raleigh finally hits a home run yesterday he hasn't been great minus 180 price for aaron judge

00:09cal raleigh to plus 140 and then there's everybody else so based on the actual statistics here right

00:15and just looking at the betting numbers across the board we are in a close race but is it really

00:19close are we just waiting time for like oh aaron judge hit two home runs and we go from a minus

00:23180 to minus 680 overnight are we just waiting on judge to extend that lead and cal raleigh's

00:29basically out of gas like what are we looking at here i really think that's that's what it comes

00:34down to and you know part of the take that i had on this like right when judge got hurt was you know

00:40cal raleigh would really need to push for 60 65 home runs and at that point he would have more home runs

00:47and more rbis compared to judge but as i always also said is that cal raleigh's gonna bet 250 when

00:54judges batting 330 so outside of home runs and outside of rbis like judge has every other

01:01offensive stat you could possibly want looking at wrc plus looking at wolva looking at war all those

01:07things that lead to judge and yes there is certainly something to say that cal raleigh's do something

01:11doing something positionally that catchers just never do so there is something to that but you know

01:16cal raleigh played in the home run derby and he has been kind of bad since then like i said he finally

01:21hit a few home runs so he is slowing down judge is sitting there if judge goes through a stretch

01:26like you said two home runs in a game or like three home runs in five games whatever it is

01:29he's just going to jump out to that lead and i don't think cal raleigh can make up that difference

01:33yeah it's interesting like if we had like a lights out because i know you have a small ticket there on

01:37terek scoobel going in with the mvp with you know big number boy he had a real chance if he could

01:42just been lights out for like two or three of his past starts you're like oh my goodness like he might jump

01:46in there but it just feels like tom when i see that minus 180 like the books understand he's the

01:50favorite they can't really move it too far yet because he hasn't done anything but just one week

01:54with like four home runs he's really going to take off and talk about taking off right now

01:58the national league mvp and and i love talking about this tom every time i get a chance and on

02:03the early line every time i get a chance with you right here on pro baseball today otani should be

02:08minus two million he should be minus two million from now if he let's just say he never gets injured

02:13over the past five to six years it should be otani minus two million every single year to win

02:17the mvp nobody can do what he does be a shutdown starting pitcher and also arguably the best hitter

02:23in baseball at the same time with the same player we told you before minus 200s minus 300s plus 140s

02:29at the beginning of the season he was going to run away with this thing he's minus 10 000 now and

02:33that's still absolutely a cheap price for the best player by far in major league baseball yeah this is

02:40a conversation that you and i have had a number of times i've had a number of times with kevin walsh and

02:45you know he pushed back on that idea he's like oh well tony's not going to pitch you know 100

02:49innings or whatever it is i'm like it doesn't matter like it really doesn't matter once he's

02:53out there whether it's 40 innings 30 innings 50 innings it doesn't matter he's going to win the award

02:58he's not going to bet 300 and we understand that you know the the thing that i want to see next year

03:03is what if swore hits 65 home runs right what if okunya has 40 home runs and has 80 stolen bases like

03:11what we need something to do something to challenge otani to actually give us a market to look at

03:16because if otani goes out there and hits 280 whatever it is 40 home runs 100 drive guys any

03:21pitches he's just going to win the award it's that simple