Home Run Leaders & Odds Breakdown: MLB Midseason Analysis

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00:00All right, Vecchio, home run prop king, that is what you are.

00:03So let's break down the home run leaders at the break

00:07and what the odds expect at the end of 162.

00:12Of course, big dumper, our home run derby champion,

00:14Cal Raleigh has the most long balls at the break, 38.

00:17He has a three home run advantage in front of Aaron Judge, who has 35.

00:23And yet, Vecchio, Judge is favored at a minus 140 number

00:27to be the home run leader when all is said and done.

00:31Let's start right there.

00:33Do you agree with the odds that despite trailing by three dingers,

00:37Aaron Judge will have more than big dumper at season's end?

00:40I think that's the odds.

00:42I agree with the odds from a perspective of, like,

00:44what the theoretical upside is, especially if you're just simply based

00:48on the ballparks, right?

00:49Obviously, we know that Yankee Stadium is a far better hitter's park

00:51compared to T-Mobile with Cal Raleigh.

00:56So I understand that.

00:57I will say those odds there at least are interesting when it comes to Otani.

01:00I'm just, you know, thinking this on the fly.

01:02At plus 650, if he were to lead the league in home runs,

01:06he probably would be in a spot to win NL MVP.

01:10And his NL MVP odds right now are minus 800.

01:13So effectively, if Otani does lead the league in home runs,

01:17you are getting essentially an MVP price at plus 650 rather than minus 800.

01:21So I at least find that interesting as of now.