00:00The Blue Jays have a two-game lead in the AL East over the Yankees.
00:05Boston is now only three back.
00:07Tampa, five and a half.
00:09And Baltimore, a miserable 43-52 first half for them, puts them way down the list.
00:15But in terms of betting on it, Scotty, Toronto and the Yankees pretty close there.
00:19The Yankees actually still the favorite, even though they're trailing by two games right now.
00:24Toronto's plus 185, Boston 6-1.
00:28Wow.
00:28I mean, I think the Blue Jays have a shot to win the East for sure.
00:33And I think that that's what's going to be fun to watch the rest of the way.
00:37I think Tampa's going to lose out when they go on this 24 and 30 days road trip.
00:42I don't see that benefiting them at all.
00:46The fact that it rains every day in South Florida every night.
00:51I mean, like it's Vietnam.
00:53It rains.
00:53It's like Thailand.
00:55I mean, it rains there like you have no idea in buckets.
00:58You can't even see.
00:59I was just down there in Miami.
01:02And every single day I was there, it poured like I was in at the open.
01:07You know what I mean?
01:08Like I was in Northern Ireland.
01:10I mean, it rains every day there.
01:12It just pours down rain.
01:14So they can't play at home.
01:15That's why they played all those early season games.
01:18And now they're going to go on this like laborious road trip.
01:21And this is not like going on a six game or a nine game trip, a gigantic nine game road game, you know, chunk of your season.
01:30People have been able to succeed in that realm.
01:33But I think this thing where they're playing a month on the road is going to catch up to them.
01:37I'm going to wipe them out.
01:39I don't buy them even at five and a half.
01:40I think it's going to get worse.
01:42I'll be surprised.
01:43Like they already started playing poorly before the break, let alone coming out of the break and playing every game and living in a bag and bus and plane and hotel every night for a month.
01:55I mean, I think that's going to catch up to them, don't you?
01:58Yes, I think it is, which is why.
02:01And look, I didn't think that they would play as well as they have over the first three months of the season.
02:07But this stretch that they're going to go on was like the main reason I played that under at 80 and a half.
02:13I played their under win total thinking that I didn't think they'd be good to begin with.
02:17But then they would hit that road stretch in the second half and it would just be really poor for them.
02:22And I think that that hopefully that's where it goes because they're at 50 wins.
02:25So I need him to go a pretty good pace under 500 here in the last couple of months in order for me to cash that ticket.
02:33Hopefully we can get there.
02:35They were 2-8 in their last 10 and lost four straight going into the break.
02:40And I think that slide is indicative of kind of where they're headed.
02:45I don't know if it'll be that bad, but I don't think it's going to be any better playing on a road for a month.
