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Can Anybody Catch Shohei Ohtani in the NL MVP Race?
SportsGrid
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7 months ago
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00:00
Shohei Ohtani now back to pitching on the mound. He's a minus 550 favorite to win the NL MVP over
00:06
Pete Crow Armstrong, Juan Soda, and Ronald Acuna Jr. For me, I even think Ohtani should be even a
00:11
higher favorite than Aaron Judge right now because he's back to pitching here, and I just don't see
00:15
Pete Crow Armstrong hitting 55 home runs, even if he plays in Wrigley, Mark. How are you playing
00:20
out the National League field as opposed to the American League field? I would look at it this way,
00:27
and this may surprise you, but if there's a world where Ronald Acuna leads the Atlanta Braves
00:36
back to the postseason, given how poorly they've played to this point, it's going to garner a lot
00:43
of attention for him. Granted, again, he missed the first month plus of the season, so he would have
00:49
to have something approaching 40 home runs in about 120, right, 110 games, whatever it may be,
00:56
that he would play, and when you extrapolate that, the analytic nerds will turn around and go,
01:00
well, if he played 162, he would have had 65 home runs, and he would have driven on 157 runs,
01:06
whatever it may be, and that's enough to sway the nerd portion of the voting base
01:10
in his favor, but the Braves have to end up, you know, taking back the National League East,
01:16
or at least at a minimum, not being the last wild card, being firmly in the postseason.
01:22
That's a huge ask because I don't really trust the Braves to do it, but if, you know,
01:27
obviously I'm not going to sit here and lay 550 on Shoei Otani, but to look at the guys that are
01:31
sitting there, the only one that's appealing to me in reality is Ronald Acuna Jr. I don't think
01:37
Soto's going to put together a good enough campaign, despite offensively, the numbers are not going
01:41
to be pretty enough, particularly from a batting average standpoint that's going to hurt him.
01:44
The two guys from the Cubs are going to cannibalize one another, and that just leaves Ronald Acuna
01:48
is the one guy who can do something special and lead the Braves to the postseason.
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