00:00Guy, what we're going to do is let's take the next three days with this storm,
00:05talk about the challenges of forecasting the severe weather,
00:08and certainly what we're looking at as far as some of the impacts.
00:12We begin with some severe weather from Minnesota back toward the Dakotas late Sunday and Sunday night.
00:22Yep. Good morning. Yep.
00:24Certainly with the first piece of energy here, this is really where, you know,
00:27you talked about the high pressure moving off to the south and the east there.
00:32Well, we've got to get that return of moisture as well as heat.
00:35And so as the first piece of energy here really starts to kick out on Sunday,
00:40we are looking at, you know, better conditions here of more moisture, more heat.
00:44And so certainly looking at some damaging hail, gusty winds,
00:49some local flash flooding across this area here as we've got multiple modes
00:54and certainly different pieces of environmental conditions that are kicking in here
01:00and everything that we have for Sunday, you know, winds of 60 to 70 as far,
01:06and with that Accuweather local storm max of 85.
01:09Now, Monday's the day, though.
01:11We've been highlighting this all week,
01:12and we upgraded to a moderate risk from Minneapolis toward Kansas City yesterday.
01:19Guy, what are you seeing this day?
01:21Yep, certainly we have the better piece of energy that really starts to kick out Monday
01:29and then especially Monday evening.
01:31We get all that warmth back in place.
01:35And, you know, the surface low with this, the one thing I was noticing,
01:38the surface low with this is actually pretty far,
01:40could be pretty far north into southern Minnesota.
01:42So we do want to be careful.
01:44This will be a little bit farther north.
01:46We're starting to get, you know, towards May here, of course,
01:50and so some of that severe weather does try to creep a little bit farther north
01:53with the changing weather patterns.
01:55And so, you know, I think with the energy, the heat, the moisture that's going to be back in place,
02:01you know, that moderate area that we have outlooked is a really good area
02:04as far as the area that's going to be most concerning, at least at this point in time.
02:10Just really quickly, Guy, a little less in the way of severe weather on Tuesday.
02:14Yep, on Tuesday, the whole front drags a little bit farther south.
02:21The main system itself starts to eject out northeast,
02:24and so it's really the leftovers of, you know, the piece of energy kicking out.
02:29So there is, will still be a risk of some severe weather across this area,
02:33but not to the degree of what we were, what we'll likely see on Monday.
02:38AccuWeather Severe Weather expert Guy Pearson.
02:40Guy, thanks for joining us here on AccuWeather Early.
02:44All right.
02:46All right.
02:46All right.
02:47Ć½M falling.
02:48All right.
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