NFL Playoff Futures: Will Top Seeds Dominate or Sleepers Contend?

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00:00What about the ideas in, which seems plausible, that both title games that'll come up, the NFC

00:07and AFC title games, will eventually be number one versus number two? I don't hate this at plus

00:13750, but I don't like any 5, 6, or 7 seed winning the Super Bowl at plus 470. I was just asking,

00:23when is the last time a 5, 6, or anything outside of the top four actually won the Super Bowl?

00:29When was it? I think it was the Giants in 2011. That could be the only time that I remember.

00:38Tampa in 2020. That's right, yes, good call. That was the Brady year.

00:46Look, I know, right? Here's the problem with the one and two seeds thing.

00:53The Bills as a two seed are at threat because of the Ravens, and the Eagles are a two seed at

00:58threat because they're the Eagles, and it's Nick Sirianni. I mean, how much faith do you

01:04really want to put in him to win back-to-back playoff games if the Vikings are rolling into,

01:12or the Packers are rolling into Philly? No, I'm sorry, that's already happening now. Who would

01:16be their next opponent? Oh, it would be the Rams. It would be like the Rams or somebody like that,

01:20you know, that may end up going to Philly. I don't know. I think the rest of the NFC

01:28is a little bit vulnerable, and they all have their warts, to say the least.

01:35But yeah, I guess I just look at it from that standpoint that, you know, both of these two

01:39seeds, particularly the Bills, have a really, really tough round in the divisional round of

01:44the playoffs. You know, it's not like they're getting somebody who is a clear step below them.

01:52It's pretty obvious that, you know, the three seed is right on their heels. So again, I kind

01:56of look at this thing that, you know, that's where I don't like that. I think there's a better chance

02:01of one of those other teams, five, six, or seven, getting hot. The Vikings upset the Lions in the

02:07second round. If they beat the Rams, yes, they could. And then you're also, again, Vikings,

02:12Eagles, or Vikings, Buccaneers, whatever it may be, then yeah, you know. And oh, by the way,

02:18if the Commanders end up going to Philadelphia in the second round, I get it. But again,

02:22you're also talking about a scenario where, you know, this is a team that's already beat

02:27the Eagles this year. Commanders did it, granted they got some help. But, you know,

02:32it's not like division opponent games. It's an equalizer. So it's tough to figure out.