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  • 11/10/2023
Transcript
00:00 [MUSIC]
00:02 >> Might there be any live betting opportunities in a game that features a spread of 17.5 points
00:09 and a total of 39 and a hook? That's what we have at the Star on Sunday. The Cowboys,
00:15 a 17.5 point favorite against the New York Giants, the over-under 39.5. The reason the
00:21 big spread is in Big D, Mike Blewett, is because we expect Tommy DeVito, the quarterback, the
00:27 rookie out of Illinois, by way of Syracuse, to make his first NFL career start. If that is the case,
00:33 DeVito would be the 10th rookie QB to start a game this season in 2023. That's setting a new
00:39 mark, a single season record in the history of the NFL for the most rookie QBs to ever start a game
00:45 in one year. So, Blewett, the question is not can the Cowboys win this game, that's almost a virtual
00:51 guarantee by the odds, how close do the Cowboys get to covering as a three-score home favorite
00:56 on Sunday? Always going to be scary to lay that many points in an NFL game, but for those of us
01:02 that had the displeasure of watching Tommy DeVito the last two weeks, both times in relief, it's
01:09 obviously a challenge for the Giants to run any sort of discernible offense. That 17.5 is always
01:14 going to leave you open, though, for backdoor. I suspect that DeVito could actually have decent
01:21 numbers in the second half of this game. I think you want to look at Cowboys' first half for them
01:26 getting off to a good start and Cowboys' team total. The Cowboys' team total of 27.5, I think,
01:32 is in play. I would suspect some turnovers will happen. This is going to be Cowboys stacking the
01:38 box, letting DeVito try to beat them. They're going to try to bottle up Saquon and then let
01:43 their offense should be able to cook. I just think you're seeing a team where the wheels have totally
01:48 come off and we saw the Raiders just roll right over them. Once Daniel Jones went down, that team
01:54 was done. I suspect they're done for the year. I don't expect a lot of fight in this game, so I
02:01 would say the Cowboys' team total is sort of what I'm looking at primarily. And then the first half
02:07 spread is 9.5. I'd rather attack it that way and leave the 17.5 out on an island.
02:15 Yeah, Blue, I think there's a couple of good numbers in there just based on the betting profile
02:21 and getting the better edge of it. 9.5 in the first half for the Cowboys to win by 10. You're
02:27 on the better side of that hook. And right now the Giants' team total is 10.5. The under has a
02:33 juice of -132, but before that moves to 10 or even 9.5, I would hop on now.

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