Paul Skenes Set to Dominate for Pirates vs. Reds on Thursday

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00:00Pirates, of course, huge favorites in any game that Paul Skeens pitches.

00:04They're minus 180 tonight, total of seven and a half.

00:08I would imagine that so many bettors are going to be on Skeens today.

00:12They kind of got to look for the other side in some sort of value here.

00:16But, Tom, as has been the story for most of the season,

00:19it's just simply not a guarantee that they're going to score runs behind.

00:22Right.

00:23There's a way to go about it.

00:25Like, you can back Skeens in terms of his strikeouts.

00:27You could also just say, I'm going to back the game under.

00:30I'm going to back the Pirates team total under.

00:33And, again, as I always say, like, it is very, very possible

00:36that Skeens cruises through the first five innings.

00:38The Pirates' first five money line comes through as a win.

00:42But the Reds have been playing great as of late.

00:44They've, you know, some good hitters.

00:45And if they can get to that Pirates bullpen, the Pirates may still lose the game,

00:49even though Skeens does six innings, eight strikeouts, and one earn run.

00:52The Reds come back and score.

00:54They've got some nice power in that lineup.

00:55And before you know it, at plus 144, they still come through with the win.

01:00Now, Skeens today, his total for strikeouts sits at eight plus at plus 104.

01:06Ten strikeouts is plus 360.

01:09He's pulled this off before.

01:10He's got to go seven or eight innings, I think, to get that, though, Tom.

01:12Do you like any of his props going into tonight against the Reds?

01:16You know, a part of me likes to back the outs rather than the strikeouts

01:20just because, you know, the Reds, they're kind of a pesky team at the plate,

01:23in my opinion, where they don't strike out a super high rate.

01:26They can put the ball in play.

01:26They have enough power up and down the lineup.

01:29Steer, McClain, obviously, with Ellie in there.

01:31Tyler Stephenson having a, you know, solid year.

01:32I would rather back the outs and they'll just say, like, listen, Paul,

01:36you've got to go out there and give us some length

01:38so we don't have to turn it over to the bullpen.

01:39We'll see you next time.