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  • 3 years ago
Transcript
00:00 I want to move it forward to what's possibly the best game on the board today, which is
00:04 the Rays and the Astros.
00:05 You're not going to see the Houston Astros as a home dog very often, but Tampa Bay checks
00:09 in and they checked in with Shane McClanahan, so it's a -116 number at this moment on the
00:14 FanDuel Sportsbook.
00:15 It's still Christian Javier who has the ball, though, for Houston.
00:19 Totals 8.5.
00:20 Interesting, when you consider the pitching, but obviously these are two great lineups
00:25 here.
00:26 DRS, how do you shift through this game and find the value?
00:29 Looking at the pitcher, it's rightfully so that Tampa Bay is going to be favored in this
00:32 game, but are we getting the McClanahan that we figure can win a Cy Young?
00:36 Are we going to get the guy that has struggled in some spots here over the second half of
00:39 Major League Baseball season, particularly over the past 30 days?
00:42 It's only 54 batters, Kevin, but on the total, 204 ISO, weighted on base percentage, 351.
00:48 Both of those are elevated.
00:49 I do, however, against a very good lineup that he's going to face against the Astros,
00:53 I'm trusting McClanahan more than I am on the opposite side here with the Houston Astros
00:57 and Christian Javier.
00:58 Why is that?
00:59 I think the lineup should have more success tonight for the Tampa Bay Rays against Javier
01:03 than vice versa for the Astros going up against McClanahan, because if I just told you McClanahan
01:07 is struggling a little bit, my goodness, Javier is struggling a ton.
01:11 88 batters, Kevin.
01:12 He's faced over the past month ISO 234, weighted on base percentage, 383.
01:17 Now you might say to yourself, what is he struggling from one side or the other?
01:20 Is it right-handed pitcher?
01:21 Both sides, Kevin.
01:22 240 ISO to lefties, 222 to righties, 391 weighted on base percentage to lefties, 368 to righties.
01:28 I trust Tampa Bay more than I trust Houston tonight.
01:33 That's the way I would go with that cheap price on McClanahan.
01:34 My thing with McClanahan, though, DRS, right?
01:39 The injury comes back, tax it's six innings, two earned runs.
01:44 That's very solid against Baltimore.
01:46 Only four innings, five earned runs.
01:49 That's not very solid.
01:50 Those are two incredible teams to be going up against, but it's not like it's getting
01:54 much easier here coming up against the Houston Astros.
01:57 I'm tempted to just say, you can't put Houston as a home dog, give me the Astros.
02:02 Christian Javier is good enough, but look, I could be off base.
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