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A preview of an upcoming interview on India Today outlines major developments in India-US relations, including discussions around a potential bilateral trade deal and an anticipated meeting between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and US President Donald Trump. Key topics include strategic cooperation in nuclear energy through small modular reactor technology, joint military exercises involving F-35 aircraft, and India's position as a global refining superpower. The analysis highlights the operational capability of the Jamnagar refinery to process diverse crude grades such as Venezuelan and Russian Ural oil amid international energy supply disruptions. Strategic considerations also encompass potential Indian corporate investments in the United States and global energy security. Furthermore, the discussion touches on bilateral trade dynamics, addressing whether the India First and America First frameworks can align, concerns over tariff policies, and the imperative for supply chain diversification away from dependency on critical mineral imports from China.

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00:00Let me bring in Gaurav Samant on this broadcast, because in just two hours from now, we'll be
00:05premiering that full interview at 8 p.m. on India Today. Gaurav, to you, you've listened to that
00:11full interview. What's the biggest headline, Gaurav? Oh, there are many, many headlines and
00:16headlines that only Raj Chingappa could have gotten out of two very seasoned diplomats,
00:22you know, both Sergio Gaur and, of course, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
00:26One of the biggest takeaways is not just an imminent trade deal, but the meeting between
00:32Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the U.S. President Donald Trump that's likely to take
00:36place sometimes December. That's very interesting. And the fact that both speak very frequently on
00:41phones, something that, you know, does not come out openly in the media. Also, the fact that the SMR
00:47or the, you know, small modular reactor, if that kind of technology is coming to India and coming
00:53to India soon, that's quite a quite a development. The U.S. also talking about the fact that F-35s
01:00have come to India for joint exercises. F-35s only go to trusted partners. Very, very interesting
01:07conversations. But, you know, on the trade deal and, you know, later later this evening on India
01:12first, we'll be speaking to Raj Chingappa on on what are the niggles that that still remain
01:18on the trade deal. How soon do we see the trade deal? And, you know, look, India and America,
01:24they've had a very predictable journey post-1998. Both countries have invested very extensively in
01:32each other, each other's rise. However, under Trump 2.0, the journey has been quite a rollercoaster
01:41ride. Does it now return on an even keel? And his trip, you know, Marco Rubio's visit to
01:50Jamnagar adds a very interesting dimension with U.S. describing India as a refining superpower
01:56that we are. You know, how much more do we scale up? What does it translate into? Many,
02:02many interesting points here. You know, you mentioned the reference of refining superpower there,
02:07Gaurav. We just played an excerpt of what, you know, the U.S. State Secretary, Marco Rubio,
02:13as well as Ambassador Gaurav, had to say on that. What do you think would be a win-win in
02:17the
02:17situation? Because U.S. clearly is eyeing India, eyeing Jamnagar at a time when there's so much global
02:22uncertainty. Look, we are a stable country. We are a country and Jamnagar is one place that can refine
02:31a very large amount of Venezuelan crude. We have been doing that in the past. And of course,
02:38the Russian Ural and they're both very, very different. You know, you can just tweak a little
02:44and get more out of the Russian oil. But when it comes to the Venezuelan oil, it's very heavy.
02:51It has a lot of wax in it. It takes a lot more to refine it. It goes through a
02:55lot of processes to
02:57refine that oil. And Jamnagar has the facility to do it. Jamnagar has had it for quite some time.
03:03That's point one, point two. They also expect a lot of Indian investment or, you know, reliance
03:09investment in the United States of America. While American president may talk about this being some
03:15300 billion dollars, I do not know if that is the sum that's been agreed to as being looked at.
03:22But it just goes on to indicate that trade ties between the two countries or, you know,
03:27energy cooperation between the two countries is set to escalate. And especially at a time when Ukraine
03:33has been setting Russian refineries on fire and Iran has been going after refineries of Saudi Arabia.
03:40In this situation, India is extremely stable. And Indian refineries will play a major,
03:47major role in times to come. Because while the effort is to try and find a solution to Russia,
03:51Ukraine war, and incidentally, there's a conversation around that. Efforts are to get
03:56Ukraine and Russia to look at peace. Will it happen? And when in all of that, India also has a
04:03role
04:03to play in ensuring that that global energy requirements are met.
04:08No, but also the sense you get in this interview, Gaurav, is that, look, America is also pushing.
04:13There's a point where there's a conversation on investment. And America is kind of suggesting
04:17that that's a two-way street. On the issue of oil, there may be a pragmatic policy shift
04:22by Trump on the issue of Russian oil, but they're still kind of trying to push India
04:25towards purchasing more Venezuelan oil, towards relying more on America. So in that interview,
04:31you know, as you often say, we keep pushing for the India first agenda, but America is also pushing
04:36back.
04:37And that's the big issue. Can India first agenda of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and America first
04:44agenda of Donald Trump go hand in hand? You know, India has been a very accommodating
04:49power. Will the US be equally accommodating of India's rise? While we've seen that in the past
04:56under Donald Trump 2.0, that really hasn't been the case as we thought it would be. You know,
05:02when Prime Minister Narendra Modi went to America soon after his swearing in, we'd expected this
05:07relationship to take a very different trajectory. It's taken a different trajectory. But if you notice,
05:12India continues to rise at a, you know, spectacular 7% plus even this year and expected for 2027
05:23against all odds. Now, you know, India has also made it very clear when America talks of
05:28diversification and taking more from the Western Hemisphere, India is saying we'll, India gets our
05:34energy requirements from 40 or different sources. And we intend to continue to do so because nobody wants
05:41to rely only on one partner. As US Secretary of State Marco Rubio also indicated their over-reliance
05:47on China, 90% on some, you know, critical minerals. And, you know, that's a cause for grave concern even
05:55for the United States. So diversification, will they accommodate each other remains the big challenge.
06:01And will there be predictability and continuity in this relationship? Or will the sword of tariffs
06:06continue to hang on India? Let's see what the trade deal actually brings with it.
06:13A lot of the questions that you also brought up, Gaurav, you know, in the interview, there are
06:17answers to that. When you listen to what Secretary Rubio or Ambassador Gaurav say, there's clear answers
06:23as to what America is thinking and what trajectory they're headed towards on several of those issues.
06:28Gaurav, thanks very much for joining us. 8 p.m. tonight is when we'll give you that full
06:33interview. We don't want to reveal too much.

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