“THERE WILL BE FAMINE!” Russian Farmers Predict the WORST After Ukrainian Port Strikes

Artur Rehi

What if you actually controlled your money? Get started with Rumble Wallet and use the code Artur20 to claim $20 in US Stablecoin (USA₮)!  Download now: http://wallet.rumble.com/Artur Void where prohibited. No purchase necessary. Offer available to US residents only. Offer not available in New York State. Must be 18+. Offer is available for a limited time and for the first 250 wallets activated and funded. Restrictions apply. Details and full official rules available at http://rumble.com/promoofficialrules This is a paid advertisement for Rumble Wallet. Rumble is compensating me for this ad.  Become a monthly BMC member and I will butcher your name to oblivion: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/arturrehi/membership My book "8 MISSIONS IN UKRAINE" is SOLD OUT! Thank you for Getting it. It is now a rarity if you have it since no more will be made. I make music also: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f1OBWiMO3gU&ab_channel=ArturRehi Keep an eye on my trips to Ukraine on my Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/arturrehi/ REHI PODCAST: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYVEXQrvnPqo4iUjgxqIp_Q  Thumbnail made by Moiz: https://www.instagram.com/moiz.editor/ mr.innovations.info@gmail.com  00:00 Intro 01:01 This farm girl lays it out plainly 05:13 Some farmers don't harvest at all, crops rots on the fields 09:33 This year there will be 40 % winter crops from last years planters 11:40 Farmers prediction before the harvest 13:34 Great analysis of the grain export 18:20 Cheap crops prices and falling 19:13 30-40% below breakeven point 19:40 Grain exports fell 88% in the end of August 20:05 Export comparison year to year  This farm girl lays it out plainly https://x.com/NatalkaKyiv/status/2076530575570067502  End of august: harvest time https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/2092557964179648850  This year there will be 40 % winter crops from last years planters  https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/2093235193926619590  Farmers prediction before the harvest  https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/2091489687978332259  Great analysis of the grain export  https://x.com/LetsArmUKR/status/2089142319635194169  Cheap crops prices and falling  https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/2094684336339497460  30-40% below breakeven point  https://x.com/delfoo/status/2095161180155240654  Grain exports fell 88% in the end of August on the year’s comparison  https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/2095469140387508465  Export comparison year to year  https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/2095410720753999979  I upload on Monday, Wednesday and Friday, until my next video, subscribe and press the bell notification to be notified. Slava Ukraini! Bye!

Transcript

00:00My friends, today we take a look deep inside Russia onto, I would say, a marginalized group

00:05of people who honestly work their asses off in Russia, in European Union, in the United States,

00:11in the whole of the world. That is the farmers, agriculture, business, farming, owning land and

00:17trying to produce something off of it. I'd say that's one of the toughest things to do in any

00:22time span anywhere in the world. Even nowadays, in the modern times, farmers work the hardest.

00:28Knowing the diesel prices that have skyrocketed in Russia, knowing how Ukrainians have struck

00:34Russian grain export facilities in Novorossiysk, for example, seeing the statistics that Russian

00:40grain exports are down about 80% year on year, and seeing countless farmers make videos of their

00:47incredibly tough situation, I feel like we cannot ignore it anymore. Today, we look at Russian farmers,

00:53what is their situation, and let me tell you, it's not good, it's not rosy, quite the opposite.

00:58Some of them even predict famine. We begin with this Russian farmer girl who, or this Russian

01:06farmer woman, who gives us a quite true look into what's about to happen. This video was made in

01:12July, so let's see if her predictions went true or not, or the predictions are still actually going on,

01:18since it is still the harvest season, late harvest season in Russia. I really don't want to touch on

01:23this topic. It's already being blasted from every direction right now, but here we are, the cows,

01:29me, my husband, and our five-year-old daughter living in a village. So you get this true look,

01:35right? A farmer family living in a village in rural Russia. Doesn't get any tougher than that.

01:41We don't bother anyone. We do our work and live our good life. We work for people, providing them with

01:47food. We deliver these products to Voronezh and Moscow. Today, my husband stood in a line at a gas

01:52station for six hours, six hours, and still couldn't get fuel. By the way, this was the first fuel

01:59crisis. We're talking June to July. Then Russia imported an insane amount of diesel and gasoline

02:04for high prices, almost fixed it for about close to a month. And now, since mid-August to now,

02:11the fuel crisis is back. That's the first one. At first, everyone was waiting for the fuel trucks,

02:16then the fuel truck arrived, unloaded the gasoline, and left. Everyone got excited.

02:22Now we'll be able to refuel. Six hours, not a single car had been filled up.

02:26Technical issues. Nobody knows what that means. To install an LPG system in a car now costs over

02:32100,000 rubles. LPG system, that's the system that makes your car run on gas. Not gasoline,

02:39but actual gas. Just two weeks ago, it was 50,000 rubles. How are we supposed to keep working

02:44going forward? Every day I feel like I could just kiss my husband's feet because of what we managed

02:50to accomplish together. We prepared hay on time. From the first cutting, we worked our asses off

02:55all of June. So much that my husband developed two hernias. An umbilical hernia and a diaphragmatic

03:04one. And I went to the gynecologist for a checkup because I thought my uterus was going to fall out

03:10from the pain I was experiencing. I don't want to laugh on this. I have to apologize. I was not

03:16ready for this. But to illustrate how difficult this life is, and this could be Ukraine, this could

03:21be European Union, but this is Russia, a country that invaded another country. And now they have

03:27insanely high diesel prices. And farmers are the ones taking the brunt of the hit. And I think we

03:32would be blind if we would not see that story. This is a big portion of... Like this is the

03:37third

03:38biggest Russian export. It's agricultural products. So we have to talk about this. But we managed to do

03:44it. We stocked up enough hay for the whole season at June's prices. The price of hay alone has gone

03:52up by 30% in the last two weeks. And I'm talking only about hay. I can't even imagine what

03:57will happen

03:57to the grain prices. And grain is also part of the animal feed, by the way. Grain prices, that's her

04:02prediction. We now know, a month and a half later, that a very specific problem occurred

04:08with the grain prices. And we will get to it. But it's not what everybody thought. It is

04:12the grain prices did not explode. Quite the opposite. But the reasons also are not what

04:18everybody thought. There's too much grain in Russia, because they cannot export it, because

04:23Ukrainians have literally destroyed the infrastructure, the machinery that exports this

04:28grain onto the ships. It's a very specific problem. A lot of people on the reels are talking

04:33about grain right now, because they can't harvest the crops. They are saying that the prices

04:37of bread stores will go up. Guys, there won't be any dairy products if there's no food for

04:43the cows. There won't be any meat if there's no food for the cows, pigs, poultry and so on.

04:48Do you have any idea what will happen if we don't get a decent harvest this year? And this is

04:53the

04:53question I will end this video made in the middle of July by this honest farming woman in the rural

05:00Russia, who is just one family, one symptom of this entire big problem. And we go into the Russian

05:09agricultural issues now. I have a lineup of videos for you to watch. And of course, we go on in

05:16time

05:16also now we go to August, the end of August, which is in Russia, the harvest season is very wide

05:23since

05:23the different regions get different temperatures. But July, August, September, late even early October,

05:31some areas for some crops, one and a half months ahead now. And let's see what Russian farmers are

05:36saying about their fields. I just don't understand why everyone is staying quiet about this disaster.

05:42Media, where are you? Why is there no information about the disaster anywhere? Just look at how our

05:49crops is dying. How caterpillars are eating it from all sides. Just look at the sunflower.

05:55Hectars and hectares of crops are dying. Please repost and pass this information on.

05:59And for this sunflower to be here, there had to be a farm to buy the seed, to plant the

06:04seed. I'm not

06:05sure how much you have to take care of it or what you have to in the meantime. You wait

06:09months,

06:10you invested insane amount of money into this and it fails. You get nothing back. I mean,

06:15any of you are farmers, you know this cycle. You know how heartbreaking it is and how tough and

06:21tiring. Since Russian farmers and some farmers in the European Union also, they don't have savings.

06:27They don't have this piggy bank. The farms and the land are usually bought on loans from the bank or

06:34they're rented. If you get a bad season, you're out. That's how tough the farmer's life is.

06:39Regarding the prices for produce right now, for non-organic barley generally, it's about 6.5

06:46rubles right now. Straight from our farm, non-organic. Wheat is just not needed by anyone. This

06:53situation already tells us not needed by anyone. Nobody in Russia is buying wheat. Nobody. Because

06:58everything, every silo, every elevator, every ship, it's all full. Every train, it's filled up.

07:04They cannot export it. It's filled up because the infrastructure is broken because of Ukrainian

07:09attacks. So, Ukraine has pretty much stopped the third Russian greatest import of all time,

07:17which is agricultural products. And they go through these bottlenecks, which are the grain

07:21elevators in Novo-Razizka and tens of other ports that load them onto the ships. If you destroy these,

07:27they won't be fixed fast and there's no other way to export. The situation with wheat is quite

07:33difficult. So, they mentioned some prices there. Some at five rubles, some even cheaper. So, basically,

07:39there's absolutely no point in selling it at all. Five rubles for wheat in Russia, that means it's

07:45well below the break-even point. So, why harvest it at all? If you know these are the prices and

07:50you've

07:51got to buy tons, tens of tons of diesel with your farmstead, you've got to buy that diesel to harvest

07:56that wheat. You know the price of the diesel, you know the selling point of wheat. The math doesn't

08:01add up in any universe. You're going to lose about 40% of your money. Why harvest it at all?

08:07That's the

08:07situation. So, the crops is going to rot on the fields. I asked about how things are in general,

08:12what's going on, who is selling or who is not, and they say there's practically no movement

08:17in their accounts, meaning no one is really selling much. At the same time, loans are squeezing

08:22people and it's completely unclear what to do from now on in this situation. There's nothing to base

08:27salaries with either. I don't know what's next. Everyone is in a shock themselves now. And the

08:32final video, here we see actually one of the silos for close to Novorakysk. Well, folks, Novorakysk is

08:39still not accepting wheat and the wheat duty has been raised from the third time in a month from 326

08:45rubles

08:45to 721 and now to 1012 rubles. This time, almost a threefold increase in two weeks.

08:54August export fell to the lowest since 2010, just 1.8 million tons. And we're going to look

08:59at these statistics all across Russia. They are bleak. They're not looking great. And you know who's

09:04taking the blunt of that hit? You look at these statistics. I wanted to show you these videos of

09:09people. You see the faces. You see how they speak because we see numbers. I mean, I hate to quote

09:14Stalin on this, but the death of one person is a tragedy. Tragedy, the death of a million is

09:21statistics. You look at statistics, you don't feel anything. You look at the faces of people,

09:25you see them, then you see through the statistics. That's what I wanted to do before we go into the

09:31all of Russia export statistics and they're bad. For example, winter crops. There was a questionnaire

09:37about one of the companies who sold it and the answers, farmers answered it and results from a poll

09:43yesterday on a popular Russian grain industry channel says only 41% intent to plant winter

09:49grains, with even half of those planning to reduce planted areas. Upcoming crop will be cut by at least

09:5570% year on year. So 70% less winter crops compared to 2025. This is a paid advertisement for

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11:42I have one more farmer to show you and this one is the darkest of them all. Even I feel

11:47I have to

11:48balance his view. It is unclear what the harvest will be like. By the way, video made for the harvest,

11:53so again, good to see how his predictions came through or not. I can tell you that the harvest

11:58won't be great. And this will be 2026 will be the start of the year of a famine. I'm completely

12:06serious.

12:07In 2027, you'll see for yourself, tough things will be with food. Just like it's already, as they say,

12:13gotten tough with diesel with gas. I mean, there might even be a harvest, but as they say, there will

12:20be

12:20nothing to fuel the equipment with and the harvesting won't get done. I mean, this could

12:24happen in a lot of regions. I'm completely serious. This isn't a joke. If you start looking at what's

12:30happening a little bit from the outside. So it says the year of the famine, there won't be famine in

12:35Russia with such a great agricultural country. Even with the lowest harvest, they still harvest and

12:40produce more than they would need inside their food exporter. And even if there is a lack of wheat or

12:45barley or whatever they need, they can import it and buy it like they did with diesel and gas.

12:50Which is already the stupidest thing ever to sell oil and then to buy back diesel. But they did it

12:55since they can. So they will do it with crops also if necessary. I don't think we'll go to that.

13:01But where it will go is tens of thousands of farms bankrupt. These farms run on loans. They cannot pay

13:09back the loans because this will be one of the worst years in their generation. They will be the

13:14worst year and then generation ever since 2010 and before. That's what 16 years. That's a whole

13:19generation. And a lot of the farms are one bad year away from bankruptcy. That's like that all

13:28across the world, I think, for farmers. So we see massive wave of bankruptcies in Russian farm

13:33industry. Now I want to read you a summary analysis. I think it's quite great. It's short and great in

13:40explaining what's actually going on and bringing the Ukrainians into it. Since this is not an inside

13:45Russia problem, it is their invasion, their war that is going horribly and Ukrainians whose attacks

13:51are so effective that Russian agriculture is actually dying. The grain collapse hitting Russia

13:56right now is surgical. Ukraine strikes have got at the southern export backbone right in the middle of

14:01peak harvest season. Major elevators in Novorakysk are down. These are the grain elevators loading

14:07grain to the ships. Novorakysk itself will stay offline for the next six to eight weeks, which is

14:13the peak harvest season and the prices do crazy, crazy circus in that times and they cannot be exported.

14:19That wipes out 26 million tons of annual throughput capacity, more than the entire Baltic ports and

14:26Tuapse combined. So Novorakysk was the port of Russian grain exports. If you take that out,

14:31guiding these grains to Baltic or Tuapse, it's not gonna make it even, not even close. The issue is in

14:38the next chapter we see why these grain prices have actually dropped in Russia. Although there is

14:43so much grain, the exporters have stopped buying. Warehouses are stuffed with barley, peas and the

14:50wheat that no one wants. Third class milling wheat and feed grain sit unsold. In the first 10 days of

14:57August, Russia shipped only 976,000 tons, down 22% from last year. Active loading ports have collapsed

15:05from 29 to 8. So Ukraine has struck enough of the ports to take down 60 to 70% of

15:13the actual ports

15:14exporting agricultural products. It's insane. This is an insane statistic. Moscow threw 10 billion

15:21rubles at rail subsidies. It barely covers 1 million tons redirected to the Baltic at $100 per ton.

15:29They need to move 20 to 30 million tons. Good luck, that's 1 thirtieth covered with the subsidies.

15:35The port damage was done on purpose. The deliberate disassembly of the logistics that let Russia

15:40monetize over half of its 90 million ton wheat crop. 47 million tons were supposed to leave

15:47the country and bring in 10 to 11 billion dollars. Yeah, that's dollars. That revenue is evaporating

15:56exactly when the ruble needs it most. So global wheat prices just hit two-year high and in Russia

16:03they're hitting lowest prices in two decades. What's going on? That is the point. There is so much wheat in

16:10Russia that cannot leave the country. So the prices in Russia are plummeting below, well below the

16:16breakeven point. And the wheat prices across the global markets are two-year highs. They just don't

16:23have any infrastructure to export it. And this shows you the effectiveness and the genius of Ukrainian

16:27long-range drone strike campaigns. They take out the infrastructure. Russian entire sector collapses.

16:34This doesn't only affect this year. It affects the winter crops and the next year's crops also.

16:39If the farms go bankrupt next year, these fields will sit empty perhaps. This is not just a one-year

16:46campaign. This will affect a generation of farmers in Russia. And the video goes with it. Well, the

16:51situation is, to put it mildly, critical. This is the end. Listen, what if it will be too late to

16:58open

16:59the ports in a couple of months? All exporters have now stopped receiving the contract because you're

17:06an exporter company. Your job is to buy wheat from Russian farmers and to export it to Greece or Egypt,

17:14wherever, Algeria. This is your job. You buy the wheat. You fill up the silos and the trains and

17:18everything. But you cannot load it onto the ship. So everything is full. You cannot buy any more.

17:23That's the bottleneck. It stops. You cannot literally physically put it on a ship. It is such a stupid

17:29and simple problem. There is no demand for grain. Warehouses, elevators, everything is overfilled.

17:35Well, what do I want to say? The situation is getting worse on the grain market. I don't know. In

17:40fact,

17:40are we thinking whether to sow here or not for the next year? Yeah, they're thinking if to sow the

17:46winter

17:46crops or if to sow at all. Because it is unrealistic to sow with such prices. So it might be

17:52cheaper for

17:53the farmers because they always have to make the math not to do anything. Not to sow anything. Because

17:58if you sow, you've got to pay up front for the seeds and for the diesel that it takes to

18:02sow. And that

18:03is insane amount of diesel and insane amount of seeds. And that's a lot of money up front. You've got

18:08to pay as a farmer until you get crops. And if the crop prices drop or if they cannot export

18:13it,

18:13you are screwed with your investments to the diesel and seeds. Being a farmer is toughest of the tough.

18:20So now let's go to the statistics. We looked at the tragedy. Now let's look at the statistics.

18:26Roughly 45 days into Ukraine's blockade of both Ozov and Black Seas, the collapse of Russia's grain

18:32market continues to accelerate. Russia's third largest industry is facing mass bankruptcies. And this is

18:38July beginning to August at the end. And you can see the prices of fodder wheat, feed wheat,

18:44fourth class, third class, everything going down the drain. And the break-even point, by the way,

18:50is somewhere up high here. It's not down here. So it has dropped by now about 30%

18:58below the break-even point. So if you sell it, you lose 30% of your money with the diesel

19:04and the seed

19:04that you invested. Whatever they do, if they sow, if they don't, if they harvest, if they don't, they are

19:09losing money. To be a Russian farmer right now is to just lose, lose, lose. The Russian cost to produce

19:14wheat in 2016 is 12 to 13.5 thousand rubles. But they sell in Rostov and Krasnodar 33 to 44

19:23%

19:23below the break-even point. If we're talking 44, that's almost half the price. You get half the money

19:28almost that you put into it. And if we look at the year-on-year chart, 2025 Ukrainians did not

19:35have

19:36this extremely aggressive long-range strike campaign against Russian ports. Russian grain exports fell

19:4188% year-on-year in the third 10-day period in August, compared to the previous 10-day period.

19:49Shipments were made through just 10 ports compared to 47 a year earlier. So 37 ports are offline.

19:58By choice or by Ukrainian strikes, they're offline. Only 10 ports exports and the biggest one is

20:05offline. And here we see a chart. It's a beautiful visual representation. 25 and 26. The left is 25,

20:11the right is 26. These are the exports, grain exports. August has been divided by three, three 10-day

20:19periods. First one minus 22%. Second one minus 79% and the third minus 88. This is a medium percentage.

20:27All August is minus 70%. And look at the end of August. This is what they exported last year. This

20:33is what

20:34they exported this year. Almost 10 times less. Russia is not swimming in money right now. I mean,

20:39they're declaring mobilization after the elections in September 20th, meaning that they cannot pay

20:44people enough for them to join voluntarily. So they have to force them to join the military, meaning

20:49they are not swimming in money. So the biggest, third biggest sector in Russia by exports is

20:55agriculture. We're talking tens of billions of dollars they bring in every year from that.

21:00It's taken out. This money taken out of the budget, taken out of the war effort by Ukraine long-range

21:06drone strike and pay. Very effective and beautiful to watch. Also, I brought to you the faces of these

21:13farmers. We have to see the suffering firsthand. We cannot only look at the statistics and I think

21:20it is necessary, although it pains me to see this. I will keep bringing you these niche topics in Russia,

21:25also that are not covered perhaps by mainstream military media about this war. I think it's

21:31necessary we cover them and we know what's going on with them since it's a whole one system.

21:37Agriculture is not separate from the war effort. It is in the war effort. That money from selling

21:41that grain goes directly into the war effort. So we have to cover it. I'll be back for you every

21:47Monday, Wednesday and Friday. So until my next video, be sure to subscribe, be sure to be back and bye

21:53-bye.

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