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Democrats are in big trouble heading into the 2026 midterms. This video breaks down the latest shocking polls, unfavorable ratings, Senate map nightmares, and internal Democratic Party chaos that could hand Republicans another huge victory.From generic ballot leads to Rahm Emanuel's brutal criticism of cultural wars over middle-class issues, see exactly why Democrats are struggling in swing states and Trump strongholds.

Timestamps:
0:04 – Intro: Why Democrats Face Big Trouble in 2026 Midterms
1:49 – Generic Ballot Polls & Historical Trends (GOP Advantage)
1:55 – Senate Race Analysis: Dems Need 4 Seats But Face Disaster Map
5:09 – Favorability Ratings: Democrats vs Republicans in Swing States
7:31 – Internal Party Struggles: Shifting on Border, DEI, Crime & Climate
9:26 – Rahm Emanuel Slams Democrats for Losing Focus on Middle Class
11:29 – Conclusion: What Republicans Must Do for Midterm Victory

If you want honest political analysis, midterm polls, 2026 election predictions, and Senate race breakdowns, hit LIKE, SUBSCRIBE, and turn on notifications! Drop your thoughts in the comments – will Democrats recover or is it over?

#DemocratsInBigTrouble #2026Midterms #MidtermPolls #SenateRaces #RahmEmanuel #PoliticalAnalysis #Democrats2026 #GOPVictory


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Transcript
00:00so as promised yesterday uh we're going to be diving into some of these polls because of course
00:05uh i got to tell you guys the real story about what's going on uh with these upcoming midterms
00:12and we're going to get into a long-standing member of the democrat party a prominent member
00:17of the democrat party admitting the quiet part out loud all right but before we hop into that
00:23make sure you guys smack that like button all right and if you're not subscribed already hit
00:26that subscribe button and with that being said let's just jump right on into this first generic
00:31ballot poll and uh here we have it generic congressional ballot it looks like republicans
00:37are down only two this this just dropped okay down only two points okay in a time in a place
00:50where
00:51democrats or the party out of power is typically up by six
00:58not looking good for democrats not looking good and it's really not looking good
01:01when you take into consideration this poll here look at this net favorability party ahead at this
01:07point midterm of years with the gop president in 2018 dems were up by 12 in 2006 on net favorability
01:13which party like more dems are ahead by 18 republicans are actually ahead on net favorability
01:18at this point by five points so democrats are just simply put running behind their previous
01:23benchmarks and they need to be running well ahead of them if they want to take back the united states
01:27senate given that map to be clear um 2006 they were plus 18 2018 they were plus 12 in the
01:37year of 2026
01:40they are negative five yeah yep that is where we are and i also want to take you guys over
01:50to nbc
01:51and a poll that they recently conducted because there's something quite interesting
01:56that they show in this poll but they really don't talk about a lot and i found that quite interesting
02:01check it out how realistic is it that democrats are actually going to be able to retake the senate
02:06and if so what is their path in order to do so yeah mel i guess the answer to that
02:10question is how
02:11realistic do you think it is for democrats to win in not one but two pretty deeply pro trump states
02:18that's what they'd have to do to get the senate look at it this way here's the big picture map
02:21democrats need a net gain of four seats if they're going to take back the senate now the first order
02:26of business for them is they don't want to lose any ground they got to protect a couple seats here
02:30the three you're thinking of there's john ossoff in georgia it's also democratic held seats in new
02:35hampshire and michigan they don't want to lose any of those that would only add to the republican
02:39majority and make the democrats hill probably too much steep but too steep but if they do win those
02:44three hold on to them then they still need that net gain of four seats and they'd be looking to
02:49do it
02:49probably from this list these are the six republican seats that i think to some degree folks think
02:55are going to be in play this year now again democrats need four you could look at maine
03:00susan collins running in a state that already didn't vote for trump that's the most realistic
03:05for democrats of course collins has survived in some tough conditions before but that could be
03:09one for democrats north carolina democrats excited about their candidate there the former governor
03:14roy cooper trump only won it by three points that's not unrealistic at all for democrats that could
03:19be two but then draw a line there because the complexion politically of these states changes
03:24ohio alaska iowa texas democrats hoping to knock to pick up republican seats here all of them
03:31double digit states for donald trump these aren't just red states these are in the trump era these
03:36are very red states certainly in 2024 and in the political atmosphere is just different in red states
03:42take a look at this this from sort of a compilation of all of our nbc news cnbc polling our
03:48pollsters put
03:49this together here trump states that's what we're talking about democrats needing to win
03:53at least two of those senate races here versus swing states versus harris states views of donald trump
03:59in swing states they're almost 10 points more negative than positive in trump states trump is
04:04above water by three points views of the democratic party they're not good anywhere 23 points negative
04:10in swing states but almost 10 points worse than that in red states views of the republican party they're
04:16not that good anywhere but they're almost even in these trump states so again if democrats are going
04:21to win back the senate this year they got to protect all their seats but they got to win two
04:27of this
04:28group of four they probably have to win two of this group of four in a very uh a much
04:34less hostile
04:35environment in all the states to trump than you're going to get in the average swing state now
04:39and what you see here is also one of the reasons why i said you know getting rid of susan
04:44collins is
04:45going to be pretty darn difficult because of where she's elected in uh and that's maine the state of
04:51maine uh so we might just be stuck with uh susan collins okay i know it's unfortunate she's basically a
04:57democrat uh no kidding with the way that she votes but um yeah we're we're kind of stuck with her
05:03now i do
05:04want to go back because uh he just kind of breezed right on through these numbers and i want to
05:10i want to
05:11highlight a couple of things so while he's highlighting that the view of trump is negative
05:17eight in swing states uh he kind of just breezed by the fact that the view of democrats in these
05:24same
05:25swing states is negative 23 yeah uh more than double worse than uh the view of trump so uh how
05:38is that
05:39going to work absolutely absolutely completely underwater in in um in these in these swing
05:48states and then when you talk about the gop they're still even worse off than you know the gop
05:57so how do you plan on flipping anything i mean let's say that they have the numbers correctly which
06:04i don't think that they do in swing states i don't think trump is negative eight right we've
06:09always seen that the polls are wrong right you guys remember the iowa poll the famous iowa poll oh my
06:14goodness trump's gonna lose iowa to kamala yay um we saw that turned out you know and so but let's
06:23take
06:23let's give them the benefit of the doubt right trump's negative eight but democrats are negative 23 points
06:34like how do you swing that you can't you absolutely can't and even if you just want to go gop
06:40versus
06:40dims the gop is still in a better position so um and i mean even even if you want to
06:48look at
06:49states that kamala won right
06:54the view of trump and the view of jeez i can't talk i'm sounding like joe biden over here
07:02the view of trump and the view of the gop yeah they're they're in the 30s but the view of
07:07their
07:07own party is negative 15 still now these states don't really matter right because we're talking
07:13about swing states and trump held states so these are the numbers that actually matter and these spell
07:18doom for the democrat party right here so uh not looking good not looking good and when you take
07:24a deeper dive into things it's really not looking good because i think the democrat party sees that
07:29the writing is on the wall and so you see a lot of scrambling going on and i kind of
07:33touched on this a
07:34little bit yesterday this uh from axios dim leaders and would-be leaders have shifted shifted their views
07:42on border security dei crime climate change covet era lockdowns and more all with an eye on this
07:49year's midterms in the 2028 presidential election so even internally they see the writing on the wall
07:56because if they i mean if nothing was going on internally if they were confident internally
08:01they wouldn't be trying to shift right to change their views right before the midterms
08:06they would just go along with what they've always done here's a bit more uh news coming out from the
08:14democrat party news warren smith and murphy are part of a fight club group of progressive senators
08:22frustrated with schumer's midterm strategy accusing him of favoring centrist over outsider candidates
08:30they've used the private signal chat to coordinate pushback so you have the bad polling you've got
08:40some democrats trying to shift their their their speech right and in things that they say they
08:46believe in and then you also have this internal struggle this internal fighting this internal push
08:52back and forth from the far left and the establishment the establishment wants to move back towards the
08:59middle as you see as you just heard there with chuck schumer chuck schumer wants to move the party back
09:04towards the center while you got a lot of other folks within the democrat party that are like no
09:11we want we want to keep pushing this thing further left we ain't far enough yet and so you have
09:17this
09:17fracturing of the democrat party now i want to end off this video with this clip here from rob emmanuel
09:25and if you aren't familiar with who rob emmanuel is he is oh he was obama's uh chief of staff
09:31and the clinton's political director so this is a guy who's he's in the nose no right he he he's
09:41been
09:41in in in the midst of things i want you to take a listen to what he has to say
09:47about the democrat
09:48party and where they are today we lost the plot we as democrats nationally from latinx to defunding the
09:54police to police organizations are all racist to bringing a set of cultural wars to our schools we
10:00are on the losing side of those cultural wars full stop you are worried about bathroom access and
10:05locker room access why don't you focus on classroom excellence you have 50 of our kids not reading at
10:11grade level well they can just say we can do both you've proven you can't because you've permitted
10:15a 30 year low and reading and math scores and nobody seems to be calling the whistle on this
10:20we've lost the plot why because the party got unanchored every one of our most successful
10:26electoral presidents anchor themselves in what i call middle class values and values that are
10:31universal at least in this country ascribe to we went from acceptance to advocacy big difference and
10:39i'll just take one on that i shouldn't so here it goes i remember fighting for title nine the reason
10:45we are champions in women's sports in the olympics and soccer hockey except it's title nine why would
10:50you undercut the premise of title nine with the ability of trans men playing in women's sports to
10:57me it's insane it's baffling you're undermining one of the great accomplishments we as a country but
11:02also spearheaded by the democratic party title nine and we're undercutting it
11:11from a party insider himself we've lost the plot when speaking about the democrat party we've lost
11:20the plot i think that says everything you need to know now of course all of this means a hill
11:27of beans
11:27if we don't show up in the midterms to do what we're supposed to do right and vote so yes
11:34this is
11:35all encouraging and that was the whole purpose of this because you're gonna get bombarded with a
11:40bunch of doom and gloom and it's over for the republican party democrats are gonna take over
11:47you know you guys have seen it before you guys have seen it and heard it all before right uh
11:53but
11:53before you get before you hear all of that i wanted to give you the actual facts okay the real
12:00news
12:00because the fake news is going to be hitting you very very soon if it hasn't hit you already
12:06all right now get prepared we got a lot of voting to do in these midterms uh we got some
12:13people to
12:13vote out we got john cornyn uh his his uh i believe his his uh runoff is is it next
12:20month i believe it's
12:21next month so if you live in the great state of texas make sure you participate ken paxton is the
12:28way
12:28to go john cornyn the rhino must go um where else uh kentucky right mitch mcconnell is stepping down
12:38so we got to make sure that he is replaced with an america first republican i need to look back
12:43at
12:44some of these uh dates on these races so i can uh talk about those in other videos as well
12:50but anyway yeah prepare yourselves ladies and gentlemen we got a lot of work to do
12:55but it can get done and we can come out on top still which is saying a lot
13:01it's saying a lot considering we should not be in this position based on historical precedence
13:09so anyway y'all stay safe out there peace and love i'm out
13:12you
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