00:00Sa gitna ng gulo sa Middle East at patuloy na pagtaas ng presyo ng petrolyo,
00:04nagkakanda ang gobyerno para sa isang worst case scenario.
00:08Ayon kay Secretary Arsenio Balisacan,
00:11iyan ay kung umabot sa $140 kada bariles ang world price ng langis.
00:16Sa kasalukuyan, nasa hanggang $107 na ang presyo nito kung mangyari daw ang worst case scenario.
00:23Sisipa ang presyo ng bilhin at aabot sa hanggang 7.5% ang inflation rate.
00:28Mas mataas kaysa sa target na 2-4% lamang para sa taong ito.
00:34Pero meron naman daw magagawa ang pamahalaan para maibsaan ito.
00:42And in the worst scenario, you would be seeing 6-7.5% increase in inflation.
00:49So for the entire 2026, inflation would be out of reach above the target inflation by the government at 2
01:01-4%.
01:02And it could reach close to 5% if the severe scenario would materialize.
01:14Again, those scenarios assume that we don't do anything.
01:20That we don't reduce the excise tax, the excise tax is still there, and all other interventions.
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