00:00I am curious, and you and I, again, will have a lot of time to expand on this,
00:06but have you started to eye up the total at all in this game,
00:10which is, I think, seen the most movement as 46.5s
00:14or even now showing to be some flat 45?
00:17Yeah, I told Donnie when we did the show
00:20that I thought we would get down to 44.5 down in that area.
00:24And I also think the spread will get down to 3.5.
00:32I do not believe we will see the 4.5s later in the week.
00:37And the reason why I believe that is twofold.
00:40New England, I think the more that it gets out undefeated on the road
00:45or on a neutral field, 9-0 this year, right?
00:48History, that dominance, no matter, you know, you could cut it any way you want,
00:52not good quarterbacks, not good teams, checked out, whatever.
00:56You still have to win in road environments,
00:58and they've done it better than anybody.
01:00And even though they got pushed and challenged by a backup quarterback
01:03in Jared Stidham, that's the one constant that they have overcome
01:08throughout the regular season and playoffs.
01:10And then on the flip side, you have –
01:13and so if you're buying into New England, right,
01:16and you talk about how they're going to play,
01:18they need Mac Jones – Mac Jones –
01:22they need Drake May to be aggressive, I believe.
01:26But that hasn't been their MO in the playoffs, right?
01:29They put up points against Houston because of the turnovers for C.J. Stroud, right?
01:34They jumped up with Pop Douglas.
01:35But again, I think if you play that game 99 out of 100 times,
01:39Vrabel would say, hey, we want to run it.
01:41We want to shorten the game and win it 17-13, 21-7.
01:45They're not going to be able to do that against Seattle, right?
01:50But I still think the perception is, oh, they can.
01:54And that's why I think you'll see 44-1.
01:56So I think it's all going to be on New England.
01:59I don't think we'll – I think this is the top.
02:01I've said it.
02:02And it's the first true road playoff game on a neutral field, right,
02:08for Sam Darnold.
02:09They've been, you know, number one seed
02:11and have had two dominant home wins.
02:13But now it's him in a road environment.
02:16Yeah, this is – I actually heard someone say that they – I shouldn't.
02:22Just say.
02:23They gave Seattle a point for home field advantage in the game.
02:27Stop.
02:28Come on.
02:28Who said that?
02:29It doesn't matter.
02:31No, come on.
02:32It doesn't matter.
02:33All right.
02:34Here we go.
02:36It doesn't matter.
02:37It doesn't matter.
02:37Home field advantage.
02:38What do – what are we doing here?
02:43Stop.
02:44What do you mean?
02:44You don't think so?
02:46Well, you – it's on the west coast.
02:49It's the west coast.
02:50It's on the west.
02:51All right.
02:51Okay.
02:51You don't make it a – sunny skies.
02:54It might grow off New England.
02:55Now, look, you know –
02:56It might go into hibernation.
02:57He's familiar with the – with the stadium.
03:00With the airline.
03:01With the airline.
03:02And, you know, he's familiar with – you know, they won 13-3.
03:06They – I'm not taking it away from that.
03:08I'm just saying in the playoffs.
03:10Maybe.
03:10Roe – neutral field, even though they play there in the regular season is –
03:15Well, Ed played there before.
03:17That's been maybe point and a half.
03:20Maybe – maybe.
03:21Point and a half.
03:22I don't know.
03:23Point and a half.
03:24Two points?
03:24What are we doing?
03:25Okay.
03:26Give him the full three.
03:27Who's the wheel that puts that out?
03:29Stop.
03:29Give him the full three.
03:30Who's the wheel that puts that out?
03:31I don't know.
03:32I don't know.
03:33Maybe I never heard it.
03:34I might even make it up.
03:34You heard it.
03:35You'll show me in the break.
03:36No, no, no, no, no.
03:38Absolutely not.
03:39Absolutely not.
03:43So –
03:44So you think it gets to 44 and a half?
03:50I do.
03:51I might even – it wouldn't shock me.
03:5343 and a halves.
03:55All right.
03:55Now it's wishful thinking.
03:57Look, 44 and a half I think we can get this week.
04:00I think by tomorrow.
04:01Yeah?
04:02I do.
04:02I think now Super Bowl week, you're going to start to see the under come in
04:07and you're going to start to see money coming in on New England.
04:10I –
04:10I think if you like New – it's a similar – I'm pricing it a similar way
04:14to what we saw with Jared Stidham in Denver.
04:17Got a high of five and a half and then as we inch closer and closer and closer,
04:21it was all Denver money or all – you know, they moved the line in favor of the Broncos
04:26straight up the kick.
04:27I'm going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start to see if you're going to start
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