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00:00Seahawks six and a half point favorites in Atlanta the Falcons certainly are going nowhere fast this
00:07season total 44 and a half probably looking I would guess maybe even at a coaching change at
00:12the end of the season they have completely fallen flat unfortunately for them still have some
00:17playmakers by the way Adam on offense and defense but for whatever reason they can't get out of
00:21their own way total 44 and a half in this one you lay a big number with Seattle traveling across the
00:28country or is this one of the games that the Falcons keep close and I should say they've kept
00:33a lot of games close this season they're just not winning any of them yeah I'm looking at some of the
00:38trends and just to give them to you by the way Sam Darnold seven or no straight up five and two against
00:44the spread as a favorite of at least seven points in his career meanwhile the coach for the Falcons
00:49Raheem Moore is seven and one against the spread after losing as a favorite just a couple of things
00:54that obviously kind of work one you know against one another but to keep in mind as we know the
00:59Seahawks team Craig has won a couple straight games at 26 points last time out against the Vikings did
01:04struggle a little bit offensively despite that for instance Jackson Smith and Jigba really was not a
01:10factor in that game and how often can we say that I mean almost never this guy's the most dynamic wide
01:16receiver in all of football at least this year anyway and this Falcons secondary the pass rush
01:23talented cornerbacks there they have the ability to maybe neutralize him just a little bit slow him
01:29down and and maybe we get another dud it's hard to imagine him posting consecutive duds but we could
01:34get another dud out of him and so really where I think the Seahawks you know expect to play well
01:40in this one is running the football with that tandem it's Kenneth Walker it's Zach Charbonnet obviously
01:45it's a very weak run defense on the other side they should be able to be effective but to your point
01:50do you want to lay the big number a touchdown touchdown the hook and I'm resilient to do or
01:56resistant to do so uh you know I I think Bajon Robinson's a bit of an x-factor in this one
02:02obviously it's a a solid run defense on the other side for the Seahawks so it doesn't mean he's not
02:08going to be impactful just means he might be maybe more of a presence out of the backfield as a pass
02:13catcher than obviously as a rusher uh you know I I don't really trust Kirk Cousins I don't know how
02:21you can at this stage of the game uh and and you know it's a poor offensive line in front of him as
02:26well it's going to be pressure from the Seahawks so we'll see how he handles that it is a good matchup
02:30for Kyle Pitts you'll remember he torched the Seahawks when he saw them last year so maybe he is
02:35worth investing in just in terms of his overs on on a modest prop but boy I I I think I'd probably
02:45just tease Seattle down you know take him to just win essentially find a dance partner as our pal
02:51George Kurtz would say and do it that way I don't really want to lay the number with the Seahawks even
02:55though I do expect them to win Saints take on the Buccaneers generally speaking in in these division
03:02games Adam things can go sideways between these two teams we've seen the Saints dominate the Bucs
03:07remember when Tom Brady was there he couldn't beat the Saints at all it was weird now you have the
03:11Buccaneers yeah he couldn't beat them now you have the Buccaneers laying eight and a half points against
03:16the Saints team that's one of the worst in the NFL but at the end of the season they're probably
03:19going to feel okay about themselves I mean even against Miami last week Adam they could have easily
03:23won that game getting five and a half points uh Tampa Bay finally got a win last week they could get
03:29back Mike Evans seems like they've gotten Bucky Irving a little bit more uh healthy but the
03:35dynamic here too is you know Tampa Bay could win 31 nothing I mean that that's in the cards too it's
03:40just that kind of Saints team uh what do you make of this game in Tampa this weekend divisional game
03:45though it's a little scary I think well we were just talking about dance partners the Bucs could be
03:51one you consider obviously you're taking them down inside a field goal you could do it that way I really
03:56don't see the Saints putting up as much of a fight to where Tampa doesn't at least win this thing
04:02by three so I would feel confident in doing something like that this is a bad Saints team
04:07bad all the way around one and five on the road two and ten overall obviously this Bucs team while it has
04:13not been as great in recent weeks this is a team that you know was running away with its division
04:18earlier in the season now it's you know these games suddenly become very important Tampa Bay is not
04:23going to get into the playoffs as a wild card team so it is win the division or you're screwed and so
04:29with Carolina playing the way it is playing there's going to be an urgency on Baker Mayfield in this
04:34group now as far as Mike Evans you brought him up saw a report all of about 30 seconds ago Mike
04:39Evans is not yet ready he's not playing in this game and McMillan is not playing either so you do
04:45have Godwin you have a Bucca Bucky Irving like there's plenty of talent there there's more than enough
04:49talent obviously for Tampa to go out and win this game probably by margin and I'm not opposed to
04:55you know laying the big number with it I just again you know if you can take him inside a field goal and
04:59do it in a teaser and just invest in a couple of teams you like to win just feels like a smarter way
05:03to do it all that being said in the spirit of just win I'm sure Tampa Bay is going to be if not the
05:11most popular and probably the most popular but if not the most popular definitely top two top three
05:17in terms of survivor plays this weekend for the people out there that are still alive I think
05:22it's an excellent choice probably a team that most people will have available haven't used yet
05:27and I think they'll go out and you know keep people's hopes alive for another week
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