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Florida vs. FSU Showdown: Gators Favored to Win at Home
SportsGrid
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6 weeks ago
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00:00
We left off talking about Florida State and Mike Norvell.
00:03
They're on the road in Gainesville.
00:05
Florida did not step up last week as a home underdog against their arch rival,
00:11
the Tennessee Volunteers.
00:12
They lost that matchup 31-11 as a 3.5-point underdog.
00:17
They now open up, Coach, as a 1.5-point home favorite in-state rivalry.
00:23
DJ Lagway, this offense, need to get it going.
00:26
I actually like the Gators.
00:28
I told you.
00:28
They're going to get up for one of these games.
00:30
It didn't happen last week against the Volunteers.
00:33
I think it happens against the Seminoles.
00:36
They step up.
00:37
They got this win last year in Tallahassee.
00:39
I think they knock out the Seminoles from bowl contention on Saturday afternoon.
00:45
I agree with you, Joe.
00:46
I just think it's pretty much of a toss-up.
00:48
1.5-point is the spread in the game.
00:51
Florida State has not won an away game.
00:53
Now, it has not won the game since 2023 against Florida,
00:58
but they have not been good on the road in Florida.
01:02
And I think you mentioned it last week.
01:04
You know, this last week against Tennessee is a rival game.
01:08
But against Florida State, it's a bigger rival game.
01:11
Whether you can get up for two rivals in a row, I don't know.
01:14
But I think Florida will definitely be up for this game.
01:17
And I think they will play the best football they've played.
01:20
Florida State has been up and down.
01:22
I don't know either of these teams you can predict how they're going to play completely.
01:26
You just have to have a feel for it.
01:28
But I do think Florida at home, playing on their home field,
01:32
where they usually do a great job and are successful,
01:36
I just think they have a better day.
01:38
They've got a better football team defensively than Florida State.
01:42
Their quarterback, I really think Lagwe can be a better player than Tommy.
01:48
Tommy just fits into their offensive scheme.
01:50
People seem to have figured that out.
01:52
I think Florida will figure that out as well.
01:55
Their defense will come through.
01:56
And I think Florida wins this one to keep FSU out of a bowl game,
02:01
out of the postseason.
02:02
And an interesting factor about why I can't back Florida State coach,
02:06
they're 0-4 on the road this year.
02:08
They lost to Stanford as a 17-and-a-half point favorite,
02:11
lost to NC State as a favorite, lost to Clemson basically as a dog,
02:16
did not step up in key moments.
02:18
How could you buy into a program that is winless on the road,
02:23
especially in conference games, right?
02:25
I think the Stanford game for me was the most glaring lane,
02:28
17-and-a-half to a dead-and-buried Stanford Cardinal team.
02:32
They lost the game outright.
02:34
Yeah, and then we go to NC State last week when it was talked about,
02:37
they can't win on the road.
02:39
NC State would have been one of those schools that they don't play against very well.
02:44
And they go out there and they find a way to lose.
02:47
And they have not won an away game since 23.
02:50
And until they win an away game, I have a hard time pulling for them.
02:53
Again, neither team is going to have a great season.
02:56
Neither team is going to have all the answers to this football game.
03:01
But I just think when it comes down to it, Florida at home,
03:04
a chance to beat the Gators.
03:05
Nothing more can happen good for the Florida this year than to beat Florida State.
03:10
And so I really believe that they'll play good enough.
03:13
I don't know if either team will play great because they've got so many blemishes.
03:17
But I think Florida will play one play better than Florida State and win this game.
03:21
Yeah, they've lost four games, to your point, on the road this year.
03:24
It started with Virginia, Stanford, Clemson, and NC State coached by an average margin
03:29
of defeat of 9.7 points per game.
03:33
So to your point, until that changes, can't be back a road team.
03:37
Even as a slight underdog, they're going to have to win it outright against their arch rival,
03:42
Coach and I, both like the Gators, laying a short number in this matchup.
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