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Consider Backing These Props for Eagles vs. Packers on MNF
SportsGrid
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5 minutes ago
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00:00
We saw this back in the wild card game, too,
00:03
and we saw what Fangio did to Jordan Love.
00:05
I think he had three picks in that game.
00:07
It's a tough matchup for them, because if they can't run the ball,
00:12
then to your point there with the 31-and-a-half pass attempts,
00:15
what about his passing yardage here?
00:18
Because the Eagles, they don't give up the explosive play.
00:22
So it's not two plays, 88 yards.
00:25
So are we dinking and dunking our way to 240 yards here for Jordan Love?
00:30
I think so, and losing Tucker Craft, who is having an unbelievable season,
00:35
I think is a big blow to their offense.
00:38
So I think it has to start with, hey, we're going to take a deep shot here
00:41
and there with Christian Watson, but we have to have a consistent offense
00:44
with Dobbs, with Josh Jacobs coming in the back.
00:47
Jordan Love has to do his utmost best to just keep the ball safe,
00:51
pick up first downs, and manage the game that way.
00:54
You're not going to have these explosive plays up the seam
00:56
and then be able to have a play-action shot to Watson
00:59
because Tucker Craft is missing.
01:00
You have to do your best to just say,
01:02
we have to pick up the yards that we can and go from there.
01:05
I do think it's intriguing because usually when you take a look at a game
01:08
like low 40s and it's Lambeau, it's cold temperatures,
01:10
they don't want to throw the football.
01:11
These guys, look, it's cold temperatures, yes,
01:13
but for Green Bay in November, 30 degrees, you'll take that every time.
01:17
Winds, Tom, under 10 miles per hour, no precipitation in the forecast.
01:20
So you're not going to get those elements creeping like,
01:22
oh, we can't pass the football, let's run it here and do this.
01:24
I think that's a pretty shrewd bet to make.
01:26
If we look at some of the team props, Tom, which you know I like quickly here,
01:29
rushing yards today for the Eagles, 132.5 as a team.
01:33
For the Packers, 119.5 as a team.
01:36
If I gave you the option to go with either team's rushing tonight,
01:39
who are you taking?
01:40
I would want to take the Eagles, and it's based on, you know,
01:45
I would want to take the Eagles with the points as well,
01:47
but I want to take the Eagles knowing that Saquon seemingly has this explosive nature
01:51
back over the past few weeks, where in the first portion of the season,
01:54
he had not been breaking off these long runs, and I think those are starting to turn.
01:58
And also, real quick on this one, Tom, if we look at the wide receiver position market tonight,
02:02
again, A.J. Brown, 56.5.
02:04
I know you're looking at Devontae Smith, 54.5.
02:06
Any other options, even a low-buy option, like a Jahan Dotson, 4.5 yards tonight?
02:12
No, I would rather turn to, I would want to find a Luke Musgrave prop in the mid-20s.
02:19
He's going to have to step into a bigger role, so I would look there for him
02:21
because Tucker Graff is getting out for the season.
02:23
I would also look to, as that graphic stroke, Devontae Smith over 21.5 for his longest reception.
02:29
The Packers have allowed a reception of at least 20 yards in six of every games,
02:33
and we see Smith with a 34% air yard share for the Eagles.
02:37
He should be able to break it off downfield.
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