Thursday Night Football Insights: Player Prop Bets for Tonight

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00:00Switch it over here, Joe, to the wide receiver position.

00:03Take a look at this.

00:04I don't know if I've ever seen this spot because sometimes you're like,

00:07oh, it's a low price, $39.5, $41.5.

00:09CeeDee Lamb's receiving prop, $82.5.

00:12George Pickens' receiving prop, $82.5.

00:16And then Jameson Williams on the other side, $83.5.

00:19Secondary guys are going to have to step up,

00:21but they're basically telling you now George Pickens is every bit as good

00:24as CeeDee Lamb.

00:25It should be priced accordingly now.

00:26Well, and I think it's a great matchup for Pickens, I think.

00:32Because, listen, nobody runs better play action than the Dallas Cowboys do, right?

00:37They, A, can run the ball, and you have to respect that.

00:41And, B, you still have a banged-up secondary for this Detroit Lions team.

00:46So pick your poison.

00:48You're going to double-team CeeDee Lamb,

00:50and then you're going to leave a backup on Pickens?

00:52I think Pickens, who, ironically enough, Donnie,

00:56his longest reception prop, which I believe the last nine games

01:01has been around 26.5, 27, he's gone over that in three straight

01:06and seven of the last nine.

01:08He is the big play guy, and against this secondary,

01:12I'd be looking to back him before I back CeeDee Lamb.

01:15Yeah, no, it's a fun prop to look at tonight

01:18because we're expecting points here.

01:20It's just a matter of, which guy do you pick here?

01:22They're both high.

01:23It's not like, hey, one guy's 82.5, one guy's 30.

01:25Hopefully he gets targets.

01:26We're looking at equal targets with a legitimate chance

01:28for each one of those guys to get close to 100 yards.

01:31If you look at the rushing props, Jameer Gibbs, 76.5 as his total.

01:35Javante Williams for the Cowboys, 65.5.

01:38Secondary options, David Montgomery.

01:39I always find the interesting ones, like Kavante Turpin,

01:42is over 4.5 rushing yards at plus 102.

01:44You know they like to sweep in a jet sweep.

01:46You just got to hope he gets five yards.

01:47But from the top of the heap there, Jameer Gibbs,

01:50again, Jameer Gibbs, 76 yards or less.

01:54Detroit's not winning this football game.

01:56I'm sorry.

01:58It's going to take what it took against the Giants,

02:01where you got to hope he breaks 80-yard runs, 85.

02:04That's not going to happen against this front of the Cowboys.

02:07They have been extremely, a night and day,

02:11once Quinn and Williams showed up there,

02:13and they got healthier in the secondary.

02:15And if I'm not mistaken, Diggs could be back tonight for the Cowboys in that secondary.

02:22Hey, let's see what happens here tonight.

02:24Dallas getting hot.

02:25Touchdown pay dirt market here.

02:27Jameer Gibbs, you ain't getting no discounts, Joe.

02:29Minus 240 for a touchdown.

02:31Javante Williams at a minus 135, minus 110 for Montgomery.

02:35Everybody else is plus money tonight.

02:37But I got to tell you, if it's plus 100s listed with free money,

02:41Jameer Gibbs is going to score, but always that minus 240 shade.

02:44Javante Pickens and also CeeDee Lamb,

02:45plus money at the wide receiver position for touchdowns tonight too, Joe.

02:49Page out of your book, Donnie, right?

02:51Take them both.

02:52Double them up.

02:52You're going to get fit.

02:53Double them up.

02:54Take them both.

02:55Because likely, one of them is going to get a big touchdown.

02:59The other one is probably going to be targeted in the red zone.

03:01So, yep, love it.

03:03Yeah, you look at the numbers in this game too, Joe.

03:06As we talked about, 78% of the tickets coming in on the Dallas Cowboys.

03:10Ooh, fade to public, fade to public.

03:12But the public and the Sharps might be lining up because, again,

03:15if you have a line that's closer to six, that's now sitting at three at game time,

03:18that means that money's coming in good and bad, pushing it lower and lower and lower.

03:22The only question is going to be, Joe, 54.5 is a high total.

03:25But also keep in mind, hey, Donnie and Joe, Thursday night games are usually sloppy.

03:29Both of these teams played last Thursday.

03:31This is a full seven-game break right here, a seven-day break that you're getting.

03:34Do we have a clean night tonight?

03:36And also, does Dallas push more pressure on the Philadelphia Eagles?

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