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After receiving a royal welcome from the Japanese Emperor and expressing optimism about a trade deal with China, President Trump will meet with Japan's new prime minister Sanae Takaichi on Tuesday for trade and security talks. Trump also commented on the possibility of a meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.

President Trump has issued a warning after Russia announced a nuclear missile test. He dismissed claims that the weapon could reach the United States and pointed to a U.S. nuclear submarine positioned near Russia as part of the country’s defense posture.

Hurricane Melissa underwent extreme rapid intensification over the weekend and continues to strengthen. The rare Category 5 has winds of 175 mph, with stronger gusts, making it the strongest storm on the planet this year.

00:00 NTD Evening News--10/27/2025
02:04 Trump Issues Warning After Russia Tests Nuclear Missile
04:30 U.S. Military has Destroyed 100K Lethal Doses of Drugs During Strikes
07:14 President Milei's Party Wins Decisive Victory
08:35 Trade Progress with China Ahead of Trump-X Meeting
11:35 2 U.S. Navy Aircraft Crash in South China Sea
14:42 Egyptian Team Helps Search for Hostage Bodies in Gaza
17:35 Hurricane Melissa Strengthens to Category 5
20:26 Flights Delayed as Airports Feel Effects of Shutdown
22:53 Trump Says He won't Run for Vice President in 2028
23:40 Kamala Harris Hints at Another Presidential Run
25:08 Zohran Mamdani Leads in 3-Way NYC Mayoral Polls
30:23 Trump to Meet New Japanese Prime Minister
38:36 Robinson Allowed to Wear Street Clothes in Court
40:26 Judge to Rule on Guard Deployment in Portland by Tuesday
43:07 2 Suspects Arrested in Louvre Museum Jewel Heist

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Transcript
00:00Welcome to NTD Evening News, our top story tonight.
00:05President Trump on the second leg of his Asia tour,
00:08sharing what he thinks he'll leave his meeting with Xi Jinping with.
00:12And a wild card, the president floating this about a meeting with the North Korean dictator,
00:17Mari Otsu, on the ground in Tokyo, Japan.
00:21Two U.S. Navy aircraft crash in the South China Sea.
00:24All crew members are rescued.
00:26Jack Bradley has what President Trump is saying about the cause.
00:30And how this comes just days before high-stakes talks with China.
00:35Russia is continuing its offensive in eastern Ukraine a day after announcing a nuclear test.
00:41Arian Pasdar has the latest on the battlefield situation and how President Trump is responding.
00:48Argentine President Javier Millet's party wins a decisive victory in the country's midterm elections.
00:54What this says about Millet's performance and how he reacts to the results.
01:00Hurricane Melissa has become a Category 5 storm, unleashing catastrophic winds and flooding in Jamaica.
01:07Officials have ordered evacuations as the storm barrels toward the island.
01:12Flights are delayed across the country as airports feel the effects of the government shutdown.
01:17And the Department of Agriculture says 41 million Americans could lose SNAP benefits.
01:25And President Trump says he would rule out running for the vice presidency in the 2028 election.
01:31That says former VP Kamala Harris and California Governor Gavin Newsom both say they're considering a 2028 presidential bid.
01:40This is NTD Evening News, live from our global headquarters in New York City.
01:55Here's Tiffany Meyer.
01:56Good evening.
02:00Thank you for joining us tonight.
02:01I'm Paul Graney.
02:03In for Tiffany Meyer.
02:05Ukraine has requested more air defense systems from the U.S.
02:09Russia is reportedly taking control of a key city in eastern Ukraine.
02:13And President Trump responds to a recent nuclear test by Moscow.
02:18NTD's international correspondent Arian Pasdar has the Russia update.
02:23They're not playing games with us.
02:24We're not playing games with them either.
02:26President Trump responds to Russia taking a step towards deploying a nuclear-powered cruise missile.
02:34According to Moscow, the weapon compares any current or future anti-missile defense.
02:42Russia's military says a test shows the missile can travel over 8,000 miles, capable of reaching the U.S.
02:49Trump responded on Monday.
02:50They know we have a nuclear submarine, the greatest in the world, right off their shores.
02:55So, I mean, it doesn't have to go 8,000 miles.
02:58Moscow defends its nuclear test.
03:01A spokesman says the action is needed to protect Russia's national interests.
03:05To ensure security is crucial for Russia, especially in the context of the militaristic mood of the Europeans.
03:14He added that the test is no reason to strain relations between Moscow and Washington.
03:27Meanwhile, the fighting in Ukraine continues.
03:29Ukraine is aiming to strengthen its positions in the strategic eastern transport hub of Pokrovsk.
03:35About 200 Russian troops have infiltrated the city in small groups.
03:42Special attention is focused on Pokrovsk and the neighboring areas.
03:46That is where the occupier has concentrated its largest assault forces and where there is significant assault activity.
03:52Ukraine reports armed firefights and the active deployment of drones.
03:56And Ukraine's foreign minister says Kyiv is working closely with U.S. and European allies to accelerate the delivery of air defense systems.
04:07We hope to purchase additional Patriot systems from the American side because it is one of the few systems that can effectively destroy ballistic missiles.
04:17Our request now is at least 10 systems that we need.
04:22He added that the Patriot systems should be supplied by the end of the year.
04:26Arien Pastar, NTD News.
04:29And the U.S. has amassed a significant military presence in the Caribbean Sea as part of the Trump administration's effort to combat narco-terrorist organizations operating in the region.
04:40Our Washington correspondent, Luis Eduardo Martinez, has the latest developments on what we can expect in the days to come.
04:48Thus far, the Trump administration has authorized nine strikes against cartels, both in the Caribbean and the Eastern Pacific.
04:57Some 43 designated narco-terrorists have been killed trying to smuggle over 100,000 lethal doses of illegal drugs.
05:04The people of the United States know it.
05:09They are fabricating a new eternal war.
05:12They promised they would never again get involved in a war, and they are fabricating a war that we will avoid.
05:18How?
05:19By mobilizing the people of South America.
05:22Nicolás Maduro, an indicted narco-terrorist, has a $50 million bounty on his head.
05:27He is accused of leading the cartel of the Suns and aiding and abetting other terrorist organizations infiltrate the United States, like Tren de Aragua and the Lebanese terrorist group Hezbollah.
05:38If I was Maduro, I'd head to Russia or China right now.
05:40Because?
05:41His days are numbered.
05:43Something's going to happen.
05:44Whether it's internal or external, I think something's going to happen.
05:47The U.S. has an amphibious readiness group with 4,000 Marines.
05:51The world's largest and most advanced aircraft carrier group and its entire air wing, a fast attack nuclear submarine, four destroyers, a special forces ship, and a surveillance plane in the region.
06:03President Trump told me yesterday that he plans to brief members of Congress when he gets back from Asia about future potential military operations against Venezuela and Colombia.
06:17So there will be a congressional briefing about a potential expanding from the sea to the land.
06:23Venezuelan opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize winner Maida Corina Machado has backed the U.S. strikes on foreign terrorist organizations and has thanked President Trump for his efforts in dismantling Maduro's narco-terrorist network that helped finance his regime.
06:39The assets are there to do everything up to and including decapitation of government.
06:44Now, has a decision been made?
06:46That I don't know.
06:48But it looks increasingly like some action may take place.
06:52Since Nicolás Maduro took power in Venezuela back in 2013, some 8 million Venezuelans have fled the country, causing the largest refugee crisis in the Americas in history.
07:04Close to 1 million Venezuelans have migrated to the United States.
07:08Reporting from Washington, D.C., Luis Eduardo Martinez, NTD News.
07:12And in Argentina, President Javier Millet's party winning a decisive victory in the midterm elections.
07:21In a victory speech, Millet hailed the win as a historic turning point for the nation.
07:29Today has clearly been a historic day for Argentina.
07:34The Argentine people have decided to leave behind 100 years of decline and persevere on the path to freedom, progress, and growth.
07:42Today, we have passed a turning point.
07:45Today marks the beginning of building a great Argentina.
07:48It's Millet's first major electoral test since taking office in 2023.
07:55Local media reported the party captured more than 40 percent of the national vote.
08:00Observers say the elections were a referendum on Millet's so-called shock therapy reforms aimed at slashing state spending and bureaucracy.
08:09Millet promised to put in place changes that would, quote, make Argentina great again.
08:14President Trump congratulated Millet on his victory, saying on Truth Social, his administration's confidence in him was validated by the people of Argentina.
08:24Trump recently provided Argentina with a hefty financial rescue package, but had threatened to pull it away if Millet did not do well.
08:32And President Trump is in Tokyo, getting a royal welcome by Japan's Emperor Naruhito and saying he's hopeful about a trade deal with China
08:41and what the president has to say about a possible meeting with North Korea's Kim Jong-un.
08:48We now go live to NTD Washington correspondent Mari Otsu, who's in Tokyo.
08:52Good evening, Mari.
08:53What can we expect ahead of the president's high-stakes meeting with CCP leader Xi Jinping?
08:58Paul, good evening.
09:02Just a couple of weeks ago, President Trump said that the U.S. is in a trade war with China,
09:07and he threatened an additional 100 percent tariff on China as China curbed its rare earth exports.
09:13But now things seem to have cooled down on that front as President Trump is projecting optimism about a potential trade deal with China
09:20as he arrives in Tokyo for the second stop on his Asia tour.
09:23This does come amid uncertainty, though, about how the president's talks with Xi Jinping on Thursday will go
09:30and whether China will actually keep its word.
09:33Take a look.
09:35We have China coming, and it's going to be very interesting.
09:38We are going to, I think we're going to come away with a deal.
09:41This is coming as Treasury Secretary Scott Bassand says he's reached a very substantial framework with his Chinese counterpart while in Kuala Lumpur.
09:48The threat of the 100 percent has gone away, as has the threat of the immediate imposition of the Chinese initiating a worldwide export control regime.
10:00The soybean farmers are going to be extremely happy with this deal for this year and for the coming years.
10:07Secretary Besant says the framework also includes a final deal on the sale of TikTok in the U.S.
10:12President Trump on Sunday inked deals with Thailand and Malaysia to diversify the U.S.'s critical mineral supply chain as China, the world's top miner of rare earths, tightens its export controls.
10:24After signing those deals and brokering a peace declaration between Thailand and Cambodia, President Trump left Malaysia for Tokyo, where Emperor Naruhito gave him a royal welcome at the Imperial Palace.
10:35Their last meeting was six years ago during President Trump's first term.
10:38Meanwhile, President Trump says he's open to extending his trip to meet with North Korea's Kim Jong-un.
10:44I'd love to meet with him if he'd like to meet. If he wants to meet, I'll be in South Korea.
10:49It is worth noting that the administration has previously criticized the Chinese regime for violating prior trade deals.
10:56Even just last week, the U.S. opened an investigation into China's failure to comply with a trade agreement that President Trump had brokered during his first term.
11:04Now, looking ahead to President Trump's schedule today, the president is set to meet for the first time with Japan's new prime minister, Senai Takeichi.
11:13This is someone that President Trump has spoken very favorably about as she was close to President Trump's late friend and former prime minister, Shinzo Abe.
11:23President Trump will then visit the U.S. troops aboard the USS George Washington and return for a dinner with business leaders.
11:29Paul, back to you.
11:32Mario Otsu in Tokyo, thank you.
11:34And two U.S. Navy aircraft going down within minutes of each other during routine operations in the South China Sea.
11:43It's just ahead of high-stakes talks between President Trump and CCP leader Xi Jinping.
11:48Anthony's Washington correspondent Jack Bradley has the details.
11:51Two Navy aircraft went down in the South China Sea on Sunday.
11:57One Seahawk helicopter and a Super Hornet fighter jet were flying from a Navy carrier when they went down less than an hour apart.
12:05All five service members were safely recovered and President Trump aboard Air Force One, offering a possible explanation.
12:11They're going to let me know pretty soon.
12:13I think they should be able to find out.
12:15It could be bad fuel.
12:16I mean, it's possible it's bad fuel.
12:18Very unusual that that would happen.
12:20The Navy has not confirmed this theory, only saying that both crashes remain under investigation.
12:25Now, this is all happening as President Trump is meeting with Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping later this week.
12:31Treasury Secretary Scott Besson says the U.S. and China have already agreed to a preliminary framework for negotiations when the two leaders meet in South Korea.
12:40Trump and Xi Jinping will not only be focusing on just trade, but also Chinese fentanyl and other security-related issues.
12:48I think we will be able to discuss them helping us get this terrible fentanyl crisis under control.
12:55I think we are going to be able to discuss substantial soybean and ag purchases for our American farmers.
13:03The U.S. and China are amid a trade war, according to President Trump.
13:07And tensions are high as the U.S. and China earlier this year struck a trade deal to bring down triple-digit tariffs on each other.
13:15That agreement included China guaranteeing rare-earth mineral exports to the U.S.
13:19But over the past few weeks, the CCP has gone back on their word and restricted those exports to the U.S. and other countries around the world.
13:27Analysts tell NTD that even if the CCP strikes a trade deal with the U.S., they'll likely undermine it soon after benefiting from it.
13:35You really can't trust anything that Xi signs or that the CCP signs.
13:41The key thing is to have leverage over them.
13:44If you don't have leverage, they'll break any deal to further their own interests.
13:49Chinese behavior over the last few months is something we've not seen before.
13:53There's a Chinese expression, you die, I live.
13:56And that does not mean much if you're hoping for concessions from the Chinese.
14:01The long game for the CCP is the death of what America represents for the world.
14:05They say this openly.
14:06They write it about in their documents.
14:08They call us their number one enemy in everything they write.
14:10And at the same time, China's state media is reporting that it sent military fighter jets and nuclear-capable bombers to conduct military drills near Taiwan,
14:19calling them confrontation drills, possibly looking to use this threat of invading Taiwan as leverage to pressure Trump to sign a deal.
14:28Now, Taiwan's defense ministry says that these reports are just not true.
14:32They're propaganda as a means to intimidate the self-governing democratic island.
14:36Reporting by Jack Bradley, NTD News.
14:39And a team from Egypt is now assisting the Red Cross to help search for the remaining bodies of hostages in the Gaza Strip.
14:46It comes as the terrorist group Hamas hands over one more body, which they say is that of a deceased hostage.
14:53NTD's Jason Perry has the details.
14:56The Hamas terrorist group continued searching on Monday for the bodies of deceased hostages that remain in the Gaza Strip.
15:04And Israel has now authorized an Egyptian team to work with the Red Cross to help search for the bodies in the territory, Israel's government spokesperson explained.
15:14Now, this is a technical team only, and none of these personnel are in the military.
15:19Now, the Red Cross and the Egyptian team are allowed entry beyond the IDF's yellow line position into Gaza territory to conduct the search for our hostages.
15:30And on the same day, the Hamas terrorist group handed over one more body of a deceased hostage.
15:36And if the identity of a deceased hostage is confirmed, that will leave the bodies of 12 hostages in the territory.
15:43Israel has vowed to return the bodies of all remaining hostages and said they, together with Egypt, will ensure that Hamas upholds their side of the agreement in returning the bodies.
15:55This comes as the Israel Defense Forces deployed a new division to the northern Gaza Strip.
16:01And Israel says that new division is taking over operational responsibility for that area.
16:08While speaking at an award ceremony for the Israel Security Agency, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu compared Israel's power to others in the Middle East.
16:17Today, Israel is considered, and not exaggeratedly, the strongest power in the Middle East.
16:25We have changed the entire balance of deterrence and the balance of power.
16:29Israel has also decided that they will choose which foreign countries will be allowed to provide security in the Gaza Strip,
16:37and that Turkey won't be one of them.
16:40Israel's foreign minister explained.
16:41Turkey, led by Erdogan, not only hostile statements, but also diplomatic and economic measures against Israel.
16:53So it is not reasonable for us to let their armed forces enter to Gaza Strip.
17:01Meanwhile in the Gaza Strip, some residents continue to hold on to their keys after they evacuated from their homes during the war, a local resident explained.
17:11We took the house keys. Here they are, the house keys.
17:16We took them so we would come back and find the house.
17:18But when the truce happened, we returned.
17:21And we didn't find the house. We didn't even find the door.
17:24On the same day, trucks carrying fuel and humanitarian aid were seen entering the Gaza Strip from the Egyptian border.
17:31Jason Perry, NCD News.
17:35And Hurricane Melissa is battering Jamaica with life-threatening winds and flooding, claiming several lives already.
17:41Officials now urging residents to take shelter as the strongest hurricane of the year lashes the island.
17:47Christina Corona has the latest.
17:50Hurricane Melissa has intensified into a powerful Category 5 storm as it bears down on Jamaica,
17:56making it the strongest storm on Earth to hit this year.
18:00The storm is bringing catastrophic flooding, destructive winds, and life-threatening storm surges to the island.
18:06At least six people have been killed.
18:08As of 2 p.m. Eastern Time, Melissa was about 145 miles southwest of Kingston, packing sustained winds of 175 miles per hour.
18:18Jamaica's Prime Minister has issued a mandatory evacuation order for all residents in threatened areas,
18:24including the parishes of Clarendon, St. Catherine, Kingston, and St. Andrew.
18:28We urge persons to stay inside, stay within the precincts of your home, the curtilage of your property.
18:39Don't venture outside unnecessarily, because the winds, as you can see, can pick up at any time.
18:48The rains can come at any time.
18:49You can be caught in a flash flood.
18:52So we urge you to, at this time, stay inside.
18:55The National Hurricane Center warns that Hurricane Melissa could bring up to 40 inches of rain
19:01and storm surges reaching 13 feet, causing extensive damage to infrastructure
19:06and potentially isolating entire communities.
19:09Hundreds of shelters have been opened as officials urge people to seek higher ground.
19:14Remember, you need to pack your medication.
19:18Remember, you need to take a little food items with you,
19:21because we don't have that at the shelter just now.
19:23And if you have small children, then you know that you'll have to take feeding
19:27and you'll have to take pampers, because at the shelter we don't have that.
19:32Winds of 74 miles per hour or higher could hit land after midnight,
19:36striking Jamaica's southern coast first before spreading across the island.
19:40Hurricane Melissa's outer bands are already hitting the island
19:44with torrential rain and hurricane-forced winds.
19:46Meteorologists say warmer ocean waters are fueling Melissa, helping it intensify rapidly.
19:53So over 90% of the extra heat that we trap in our Earth's system goes into the oceans.
19:59And what that means is that our oceans are warming up.
20:02It plays out in many different ways,
20:04one of them being more fuel for these storms to intensify more rapidly.
20:09By Monday afternoon, the hurricane was slowly moving west-northwest
20:13at three miles per hour and is forecast to cross southeastern Cuba Tuesday
20:18and the southeastern Bahamas Wednesday.
20:21The storm is not expected to hit the U.S.
20:23Christina Corona, NTD News.
20:27Stay safe, Jamaica.
20:29We turn now to Capitol Hill, where the government shutdown is now in its 27th day.
20:34Pressure now growing on Congress to reach a deal
20:36as the deadlock disrupts air travel and threatens food assistance.
20:41Here are the details.
20:41Airports from Los Angeles to Newark were hit with long delays yesterday
20:47as a shortage of air traffic controllers slowed flights nationwide.
20:51At Los Angeles International Airport, a two-hour ground stop was issued
20:55because of staffing problems in Oakland.
20:58Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy says he expects more disruptions
21:01as the shutdown forces controllers to work without pay.
21:04Duffy told Fox News the pressure is mounting as more controllers call in sick
21:08amid growing financial strain.
21:10Trump administration officials say Democrats in the Senate are to blame for the shutdown
21:14and its economic fallout.
21:16A Republican-backed stopgap failed to make it out of the Senate last week,
21:20with the majority of Democrats voting against the bill.
21:23It was the 12th time a Senate vote on the plan failed.
21:26Treasury Secretary Scott Besson told ABC News it's causing embarrassment on the world stage.
21:30It's a global embarrassment what these Democratic senators are doing,
21:35keeping the government shut down.
21:37Democrats are pushing back.
21:39They say Republicans need to consider their health care proposals,
21:42including addressing Affordable Care Act tax subsidies set to expire at the end of the year.
21:47House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries called on House Speaker Mike Johnson
21:50to get Republicans back to Congress.
21:52Our view as Democrats is that we want to sit down with anyone, anytime, anyplace,
21:57either at the Capitol or back at the White House to reopen the government,
22:02to enact a bipartisan spending agreement that actually meets the needs of the American people,
22:06while at the same time decisively addressing the Republican health care crisis
22:11that is crushing the American people.
22:13The shutdown is now the second longest in U.S. history,
22:17and its effects are spreading far beyond the airports.
22:19The Department of Agriculture says 41 million Americans could lose their food stamps next month
22:24if Congress doesn't act to reopen the government.
22:27The agency says emergency funds can't be used for regular SNAP benefits once federal money runs out.
22:33Democrats have criticized the administration's handling of food assistance funding.
22:37They say officials should release contingency funds that were previously allocated to support low-income families.
22:43With flights grounded and families bracing for lost benefits,
22:46lawmakers remain deadlocked, with no clear path to end the shutdown or its growing fallout.
22:52And President Trump said today he would rule out running for the vice presidency in the 2028 federal election.
23:00And Trump said he would be allowed to do it, but he didn't think the people would like it.
23:05He called it too cute.
23:08The president praised Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President J.D. Vance
23:12as potential future Republican candidates, and according to the 22nd Amendment of the U.S. Constitution,
23:19no one may be elected to the U.S. presidency a third time.
23:23Some have suggested that one way around this prohibition would be for Trump to stand as vice president,
23:28while another candidate stood for president and resigned, letting Trump again assume the presidency.
23:35Opponents, though, have disputed whether this would be legal.
23:38We'll keep you updated.
23:40And meanwhile, former Vice President Kamala Harris is hinting she may run for president again.
23:46Her comments aired in an interview just yesterday.
23:49In an interview with the BBC, Harris said, quote,
23:52I'm not done.
23:53It marked her clearest indication yet that she might still launch another presidential campaign in 2028,
24:00following her defeat to Trump in 2024.
24:03While Harris says she has not made a final decision,
24:06she still views herself as an active player in politics.
24:11And in a CBS News Sunday morning interview that aired yesterday,
24:14California Governor Gavin Newsom confirmed he's considering a 2028 presidential run.
24:20Newsom said he currently has no idea if he will enter the race
24:24and will make a decision after the 2026 midterm elections.
24:29Newsom's term as governor ends in January 2027,
24:32and he's unable to seek re-election due to term limits.
24:36He's already visited several early primary states, including South Carolina,
24:40in an early sign he may be testing the interest of voters.
24:45And still to come this evening,
24:47Thoreen Mamdani leads a three-man race in the polls
24:50to be the New York City's next mayor.
24:53But what if one of the other two drops out?
24:56Dave Martin joins us at the Data Hub when we return.
25:02Welcome back.
25:09I'm Paul Graney.
25:10We're joined at the Data Hub by election data analyst Dave Martin.
25:13Dave, great to see you.
25:14Great to see you, Paul.
25:15Dave, the banner race this year is the New York City May oral race,
25:20a crowded field even after Adams dropped out.
25:23What are polls telling us right now?
25:25Let's take a look at one.
25:26Let's take a look at a recent one just from earlier this month.
25:29This is a Gotham AAR people of likely voters earlier this month.
25:34Here we go.
25:35Choice for mayor of New York City, number one in the lead,
25:37Zoran Mamdani at 43%.
25:40Now, right behind him, former New York governor Andrew Cuomo coming in at 29%.
25:45Now, Cuomo was a Democrat running as an independent after Mamdani beat him in the June Democrat primary.
25:51In third place, Curtis Sliwa, the Republican candidate at 19.5%.
25:56And then we've got 8.5% undecided or other voters.
26:01Now, if we rewind four years to the 2021 race for mayor, here we go.
26:06Wow.
26:06Yeah, here we go.
26:08Current mayor Eric Adams won this, getting 67.5%, two-thirds of the vote here.
26:13Curtis Sliwa came in at second at 28%.
26:16Now, Adams, though, he was running to, as a re-election, he was independent, but he dropped out about a month ago.
26:24He was actually pulling behind Curtis Sliwa in fourth place.
26:27So he dropped out.
26:29So now we just have a three-man race.
26:30But, Dave, this is significant.
26:3168, give or take, to 27.
26:34But Eric Adams is a much different candidate than the frontrunner Zoran Mamdani.
26:38There are many people, he's a Democratic Socialist, there are many people calling for either Sliwa or Cuomo to drop out of the race in order to prevent Mamdani from winning.
26:50What would happen if either Sliwa or Cuomo dropped out?
26:54Well, that's a very good question, Paul.
26:56Let's actually take a look, because clearly they are taking votes from each other in this poll.
26:59This is the same poll here.
27:01This is the Gotham AARP poll of likely voters.
27:06If Enru Cuomo dropped out, all of a sudden you'd see a Zoran Mamdani.
27:11He gets about a three-point bump here, up to about 47%, if Cuomo drops out.
27:16The real winner here is going to be Curtis Sliwa.
27:20He gets up to 32%.
27:21That's a 12-point bump if Cuomo drops out.
27:24And actually, the undecided actually gets the biggest jump here, up to 22%.
27:28This is a 14-point bump right here.
27:30Now, if you look at these numbers, you say, all right, well, it is mathematically possible, then.
27:35For Sliwa, if he gets a majority of these undecides, that he can possibly overtake Mamdani.
27:40But a closer look at this 22% shows that about 74%, about three-fourths of them, are actually Democrats.
27:47So it seems highly unlikely that they would actually vote for a Republican.
27:52Now, if we look at the inverse, what if Sliwa dropped out here?
27:56You're going to say choice for mayor.
27:57Zoran Mamdani will give...
27:58Much closer.
27:59Yeah, much closer.
28:00Man, Mamdani only goes up one point if Sliwa comes out.
28:04Now, Cuomo, though, is the big winner in this case.
28:06And I'm going to point out, that's within the margin of error, Dave.
28:09That's within the margin of error.
28:11You got it exactly right.
28:12Just within.
28:13He goes up, what, 14 points here?
28:16I'm sorry, 12 points.
28:17Just 3.9% behind here.
28:21Undecides is about a six-point jump.
28:23And yes, as you pointed out, he is just within the margin of error right here.
28:28So it's very clear Cuomo and Sliwa are definitely taking votes from each other.
28:33Well, there are calls for this to be the final race.
28:36Sliwa says he's not going to do it.
28:38Looking at him, he's probably not going to do it.
28:39But this is interesting.
28:41Now, does anything from the presidential race last year, any indication on how Trump performed and how the sentiment towards Republicans or more towards conservative values may affect this race coming up next week?
28:56Yeah, I mean, that generally is a good indicator.
28:59If you look, and if you look last year, Kamala Harris took 55, she took New York State winning 55%.
29:05But specifically in New York City, if you look here, these are the five boroughs in New York City added up.
29:11She took 69% of the vote while Trump took 30.
29:14Harris took four of the five boroughs there with Staten Island, the only one voting for Trump.
29:20No surprise, though, largely Democratic City would vote for Kamala Harris there.
29:25So that's one indicator anyway from last year, the presidential results.
29:30It's a blue city, Dave.
29:31It's a blue city.
29:32There's no way around it.
29:33You're going to be here all week, right?
29:34I'm going to be here all week, Paul.
29:35That's great.
29:36And now we're also, stay with us all of this week as we cover the election.
29:41Plus, next week we will have full election results as they come in from 7 p.m. Eastern until 12 p.m. that night.
29:51That is November 4th, next Tuesday.
29:54You can stay with us to get the latest election results with live analysis from our data reporters and on-the-ground teams.
30:01Anthony Steve Lance, Tiffany Meyer, you see them on the screen.
30:03They'll bring you the live coverage of the biggest races, not just New York, but from across New Jersey and Virginia.
30:09That's Tuesday, November 4th, 7 p.m. Eastern, only here on NTD.
30:13Don't miss it.
30:22Welcome back.
30:23I'm Paul Groening.
30:24President Trump is in Japan as part of his Asia tour.
30:28He's already met with the Japanese emperor and will meet with the new prime minister, Sane Takeichi.
30:33Takeichi is known as a China hawk and has consistently criticized the Chinese Communist Party.
30:39In fact, Chinese leader Xi Jinping did not send her her congratulary note when she won.
30:45He usually does.
30:47And joining us now to discuss why Trump is focused on Asia right now and how what's happening there could impact us here
30:54is Andrew Harding, Senior Associate for National Security Coalition at the Heritage Foundation.
30:59Andrew, good evening.
31:00Thanks for having me, Paul.
31:03Andrew, Japan's new prime minister has been labeled as Japan first.
31:07What do you put her success down to?
31:10Well, I think the new prime minister's success comes down to really prioritizing the national interest of Japan.
31:17That's exactly what you'll be looking for in a prime minister and a leader of your country.
31:21And I think that type of foundation is going to resonate very well with President Trump.
31:25We know that the new prime minister, Prime Minister Takeichi, is very much focused on putting Japanese interests first.
31:32She's very interested in providing economic security for the Japanese people.
31:37She's very focused on having an anti-China perspective when it comes to national security.
31:42And that's the right type of position a Japanese prime minister ought to have in today's current security dynamics in the Indo-Pacific.
31:49As you may know, and others may know, the new prime minister worked very closely as an aide and prior minister under Shinzo Abe, the former Japanese prime minister, for multiple years.
31:59And this is the type of legacy that she hopes to continue.
32:02She's also made very clear that she is a supporter of the late former British prime minister, Margaret Thatcher.
32:07So combining this all together, this type of foundation of wanting to advance Japanese national interest and work with leaders such as President Trump that has the same perspective for their own countries,
32:17that to me is a recipe for success and something that I'm looking forward to in seeing the upcoming meeting between the two leaders.
32:24Why do you think Japan was ready to elect Takeichi now?
32:28Well, I think in Japan, they're very much looking at, like with any country, how do you resolve any domestic problems that you need a strong new leader in position that can address the concerns that the people have?
32:43So, of course, in Japanese domestic politics and the current ruling party LDP is having to work through who that next leader may be.
32:51We know, however, that the people are very pleased with these recent leadership decisions.
32:55Specifically, we know that the new prime minister has an approval rating right now of just about 70%.
33:02That is a very high number, especially when, if you're looking at U.S. presidential numbers,
33:07you're commonly seeing a presidential approval rating hovering around 50 or so percent, depending on the poll you look at.
33:14So, for the prime minister, the new prime minister of Japan to come in at an approval rating of around 70%
33:20tells me that the Japanese people have faith in her to address inflationary pressures
33:25that are looking at how to reduce the cost of living in Japan.
33:28These problems are very much actions, action items that the prime minister wants to get moving on immediately.
33:35And I'm sure that President Trump, as he's visiting Asia, will be able to resonate with different,
33:39similar policy ideas of looking to reduce the cost of living, certainly in the United States,
33:44and looking at what types of relationships can the U.S. and Japan improve upon
33:48to help make those realities possible for both countries.
33:51It seems people are facing the same issues worldwide, Andrew.
33:55And I believe her approval ratings are historically high, which, as you mentioned,
34:00is quite incredible to see somebody with that level of support.
34:03Now, Takeichi, she calls communist China a major threat in the region.
34:07How might the United States and Japan work together to counter China?
34:10Well, Paul, that's one of the most critical questions that I really think this meeting with President Trump
34:17and the new prime minister, Takeichi, will really lead to some progress there.
34:21First and foremost, I'm looking at defense.
34:24The new prime minister and Japan are very clear-eyed about the threat that China poses
34:28to not only to Japan, but to the entire Indo-Pacific region.
34:32Prime Minister Takeichi has made very clear that she views Taiwan as a partner,
34:37has openly looked at ways to work more closely with Taiwan,
34:40having previously met with the president of Taiwan herself in a previous role.
34:46What that tells me is that the prime minister is going to look at a defense question,
34:52look at the region and the China relationship in a national security angle,
34:55looking to safeguard Japan from China's economic tools that China has shown it's willing to weaponize,
35:01not only against Japan, but the United States and the entire world,
35:05specifically with recent export controls that has certainly really caused a lot of concern around the world.
35:11So what that tells me is this relationship will be defense-centric,
35:14look at economic security, and as a result, allow the U.S. and Japan to grow more closely.
35:19This is a shared threat, backed by shared values with shared interests.
35:23And that tells me that we can have a good relationship moving forward
35:26with the prime minister and president aligned on these issues that I'm really optimistic about.
35:30Now, President Trump said he will also bring up the Taiwan issue with Chinese leader Xi Jinping
35:36when he meets him later this week or early next week.
35:40What are you expecting to come out of that meeting between Trump and Xi?
35:45Well, what I'm really looking for is following the meeting with President Trump and General Secretary Xi Jinping.
35:53I want to see if there's going to be agreements made, and there may not be.
35:56President Trump has made very clear that he will only agree to things that are in America's interests,
36:01that it makes sense to do on behalf of the American people.
36:04It's the type of leadership that the American people ought to support and welcome
36:08when it comes to advocating for America on the world stage and interacting in one of the most important,
36:14if not the most single most important bilateral relationships that the U.S. has with the People's Republic of China.
36:20So with this in mind, I think the president should really keep pushing for an agreement
36:25or any types of deals or whatnot that may come from these meetings that makes Americans safer,
36:31that makes America stronger, more secure, and makes America more prosperous.
36:35Whether that comes to ensuring that export controls cannot be weaponized against the United States,
36:41ensuring that rare earth minerals can continue to get into the United States
36:44to ensure our military has the resources it needs, but also American consumers have the products they need.
36:50This also looks like pushing back on fentanyl, ensuring that fentanyl precursors from China
36:54stop making their way into the United States and killing tens of thousands of Americans every year.
37:01It also looks at agricultural access, ensuring that American farmers are able to have
37:05fair, competitive access to selling soybeans, is one particular example.
37:10So as the president works on this with General Secretary Xi,
37:14those are the types of things that I think we should be looking for.
37:16Well, Andrew, let's hope the CCP make good on those promises this time.
37:20Andrew Harding at the Heritage Foundation. Thank you, Andrew.
37:24Thanks for having me.
37:26And what does the Trump administration's framework for a trade deal with China mean for the United States?
37:31And has China's recent actions strengthened Trump's position in the negotiations?
37:37For more analysis on this topic, we hear from Dennis Wilder, senior fellow at Georgetown University,
37:42tonight on Capital Report with Steve Lance at 7 p.m. Eastern.
37:47Tune in.
37:47And still to come, a Utah judge today granted Tyler Robinson's request to not wear a prison uniform at his
37:55pre-trial hearings. The judge then placed restrictions on media coverage, and Arlene Richards has the latest.
38:03Police increased their presence outside the ICE facility in Portland while the city awaits a judge's
38:08decision on whether to allow deployment of the National Guard. Jason Blair on the scene with the details
38:14after the break. And a breakthrough in the Louvre Museum jewel heist.
38:19French police have arrested two suspects linked to the crime.
38:22David Vives has more from Paris when we come back.
38:33Welcome back. I'm Paul Graney.
38:36A Utah judge today ruled that Tyler Robinson, the man accused of killing Charlie Kirk,
38:41can wear civilian clothes at all his court appearances.
38:45Entity's Arlene Richards has more from the hearing.
38:49A Utah judge on Monday granted Tyler Robinson's request to wear street clothes at pre-trial hearings.
38:55The case has attracted extraordinary public and media attention.
38:59Images of Mr. Robinson in jail clothing are likely to circulate widely
39:04in and influence prospective jurors.
39:08Given the scale of that publicity, the risk of prejudice is significant.
39:14Robinson is charged with aggravated murder and other felonies in the shooting death of
39:18Turning Point USA co-founder Charlie Kirk.
39:21Robinson, 22, turned himself into authorities in September.
39:26The prosecutor and sheriff's office opposed the civilian attire,
39:29arguing that publicity has already exceeded their concerns.
39:33In granting Robinson's request, Judge Tony Graff said all defendants are presumed innocent
39:38until proven guilty.
39:40Therefore, Robinson should dress as an innocent man.
39:44But he denied Robinson's request to appear without physical restraints.
39:48The charges he faces are extraordinarily serious,
39:52carrying potential penalties of life imprisonment or death.
39:56The safety of Mr. Robinson, the attorneys, court staff,
40:00and the public must remain the court's highest priority.
40:04The court's highest priority.
40:05Graff said he would now prohibit the media from photographing or recording Robinson's physical
40:09restraints or show him entering and exiting the courtroom.
40:13An October 30th hearing was canceled.
40:16The next hearing is scheduled for January 16th.
40:19Robinson is expected to be present and wearing civilian clothing.
40:23Arlene Richards, NTD News.
40:25And Portland is awaiting a judge's decision on whether to allow the Trump administration
40:30to deploy National Guard troops to the city.
40:33Meanwhile, local and state police significantly increased their presence
40:37outside of the Portland ICE facility,
40:39which is at the center of why the White House wants to mobilize the Guard.
40:44NTD correspondent Jason Blair is in Portland now.
40:47Good evening, Jason.
40:48Can you give us the latest on the National Guard situation there?
40:51Yeah, hey, Paul.
40:55So the judge for the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals originally said she's going to make
41:00her decision today.
41:01However, we still have not seen anything from her yet.
41:04The court does technically have until Tuesday evening to make the decision.
41:10So this decision could allow the National Guard to be deployed while a court case plays out.
41:16And it is still only about 3.45 p.m. local time here.
41:20So it's very possible we'll hear something maybe by the end of the day about that decision.
41:26Jason, you've been in the midst of it there.
41:28How have things been on the ground near the ICE facility?
41:35Yeah, so as you said, there has definitely been more police presence.
41:39On Sunday evening, there was a pretty steady stream of police coming in and out of the area,
41:45staying in the area, something that I have not seen before.
41:49And it looks like they are following through on what they said on Saturday when they came
41:53into the area to make protesters take down a long-time encampment that's been up on the
41:58sidewalk there.
41:59They did say that they will be coming by more in the days to come.
42:04But as I pointed out in previous reports, having a steady police presence would actually
42:09be normal protocol for the vast majority of cities when these type of protests are going
42:13on.
42:14But this is the first time I've seen it happen here in Portland.
42:18However, despite the police presence, there was still some physical altercations between
42:23protesters and counter-protesters.
42:26There were two confirmed arrests.
42:28One was made after an altercation took place.
42:31And another was made after police reviewed a video of the altercation and then came back
42:36to arrest another person.
42:37Both were charged with harassment.
42:40And then another interesting thing that I've noticed the past few days is the number of
42:44ICE supporters or counter-protesters that have been on site outside of the facility has grown
42:49quite a bit.
42:51And sometimes they even almost match the number of protesters there outside of the ICE facility.
42:58Back to you.
42:58That's an incredible piece of nugget of information about the counter-protesters.
43:03Jason, thank you so much.
43:06And a breakthrough in the Louvre Museum jewel heist.
43:10French police have arrested two suspects linked to the theft of royal jewels.
43:14Police say they caught them as they were preparing to flee the country.
43:19Entity international correspondent David Vives reports from Paris.
43:22French police have arrested two suspects who allegedly took part in the theft of the royal jewels from
43:28the Louvre Museum.
43:30Paris' prosecutor's office says one was caught at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport as he tried
43:35to board a flight to Algeria.
43:37The others was reportedly preparing to travel to Mali.
43:40Both men were located in the northeastern suburbs of Paris and were already known to authorities
43:45for jewelry store robberies.
43:47Police had identified the two suspects last week and followed them in the hope of finding
43:52the stolen jewels.
43:53When officers realized they were about to flee France, they proceeded with the arrests.
43:58Police are also investigating a possible inside job, as one Louvre employee may have been
44:03an accomplice in the theft.
44:05Officers are now searching for two remaining suspects.
44:08The four thieves used a mechanical lift to reach a first-floor balcony of the Louvre's
44:13gallery of Apollo, where they cut through a window using power tools.
44:17Investigators said they found about 150 DNA samples, including on a helmet and a glove,
44:23which led to the arrests.
44:25The stolen collection, worth over $100 million, includes a diamond tiara and a necklace once
44:30worn by Empress Eugénie, the wife of Napoleon III.
44:33The arrests mark an important first step toward recovering the jewels.
44:40Yes, it's important for our heritage.
44:42A week later, it does feel a bit late.
44:45We wonder how this could even happen.
44:47But it was important that the guys were caught.
44:51I think the main thing now is whether they can recover the jewels.
44:54That's what really matters.
44:56A Senate hearing with the Louvre's president last week highlighted major flaws in the museum's
45:01security, including cameras pointed away from the area during the robbery and thin glass
45:06on the windows.
45:07The Louvre has since transferred its remaining jewels to the Bank of France for safekeeping.
45:12David Vives, NTD News, Paris.
45:15And that's all for today's news.
45:17For around-the-clock coverage, visit us at NTD.com slash live or download our NTD app.
45:23Thanks for tuning in.
45:24I'm Paul Graney.
45:25Good night.
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