Skip to playerSkip to main content
  • 15 hours ago
Transcript
00:00Erica, it's great to have you with us. Of course, we are surfing the wave of tech earnings that we
00:05got just in the past couple of minutes. Tesla, front of mind here. When you take a look at that
00:09in combination with IBM and some of the other tech names that have come and report just in
00:13the past few minutes, what's your initial read? So thanks so much for having me. I would say
00:19overall the backdrop for technology earnings has been quite positive so far. Clearly the earnings
00:26from Tesla were a little bit lighter than what people thought, but the sales were a little bit
00:30ahead. I think that if you look at LAM Research, for example, this evening, those numbers were quite
00:36strong, really confirming the backdrop for very strong infrastructure build for semiconductors
00:43on a global basis, LAM Research being one of the leaders in that field. So overall, we're seeing
00:47pretty good earnings so far. Pretty good earnings so far. And I do wonder, you know, what you make
00:53of the Tesla story at this juncture. We've been talking about sort of the different factors that
00:58have been driving Tesla stock. You could value it as a car company. If you do, then that valuation
01:03looks pretty crazy. But if you think about the long-term vision that's being sold when it comes
01:09to Tesla as this robotics company, full self-driving, et cetera, maybe things get a little bit more
01:14reasonable. And I wonder which side of the ledger you fall on. So at Science and Technology Partners,
01:20we tend to take a longer-term outlook, looking really out over the next three to five years.
01:25And while Tesla has certainly accomplished an extraordinary amount in terms of really creating
01:30the EV market on a global basis, I do think that market is a little more mature. And so what
01:36interests us is really looking at two aspects of Tesla's business. One is the energy business,
01:42and the other is the robotics business. And I think it's very interesting because Tesla has proven
01:48itself to be an extraordinary manufacturer. And so it can really leverage that expertise into
01:53production of robots. So that will be a key area to listen to when the company has their conference
01:58call later this evening, as well as progress on energy, which continues to, the demand there just
02:05continues unabated.
02:06I am curious, though, when we talk, Erica, about this kind of the mashup of things. I mean, it seemed
02:11like for a while when it came to when we were talking about EVs, it was its own separate thing.
02:15Robotics was its own separate things. AI was its own separate things. Now you talk to some of
02:19these CEOs, and for that matter, a lot of the investors out there. There's so much overlap
02:23now in these spaces. What does that become, Erica? Where do you see that morphing into?
02:29Boy, that's a big question. But I guess taking a giant step back, what I would say is that we know
02:34now that AI is affecting literally every single industry. And there are some key bottlenecks that need
02:41to be addressed. I would say one of the ones that Tesla is uniquely positioned to help solve is that
02:47one of power. We are hearing that the grid is aged, and it will take time to bring on more capacity.
02:54So having more portable power, standalone power next to data centers is a very important product,
03:00which is an area where Tesla exhibits leadership. So that's, I think, a very important piece of the
03:06overall progression of AI where Tesla can contribute significantly. And of course, the advent of AI is
03:14essential for the continued evolution of robotics, too. So they're really all interconnected at this
03:21point, and quite significant on the long term, with regards to how much opportunity there is for
03:27these companies.
03:28Where do you, I guess, want to see this go? I'm kind of asking you the same question,
03:32but in a different way. And I ask because when we talk to investors, and I ask them sort of, you know,
03:38where is the big technology bet? Where is the big AI bet? All there. I mean, you get so many varied
03:43responses. And I guess that's a good thing, the idea that those responses have gotten broader. Because
03:47if you asked that question two years ago, it would have been, you know, NVIDIA, Tesla, and maybe a couple
03:52other names here. Where do you think the money is going to go?
03:55So I do think that there is money to be made on the power side. I still think it's going to take
04:02many years to build out the infrastructure on the power side. I think the power is there. It just
04:08needs to be harnessed. And so there's a very significant investment cycle there. So I would
04:12be looking to power infrastructure plays. I still think there is a lot of work to be done on the compute
04:19side. So you mentioned some of the key players there. I also think there's a lot of work to be done
04:24on the networking side, both within the data center with leaders like Broadcom providing their chips
04:30to the actual networking equipment. And I also think it's worth looking at some of the optics areas
04:35because we are seeing more adoption of optics in favor of copper over time. So I think those are
04:44some key areas that ought to see very good growth. But one other area I would mention are the software
04:49companies that actually can use this technology, use this processing power to produce results. So
04:55I think that's a very important area to be looking at right now and perhaps a little bit overlooked at
05:00the moment. And Erica, just quickly here, you mentioned power, and that's a topic that keeps
05:04coming up when it comes to Tesla, maybe an underappreciated part of their business. The company did say
05:09that its new solar and Powerwall lease will help drive incremental demand for its residential energy
05:14products. I mean, who is Tesla competing with here when it comes specifically to the power business?
05:20Well, the advantage for Tesla is that many of those competitors are coming out of China. And with China
05:27having the home court advantage, I do think that they're uniquely positioned.
Be the first to comment
Add your comment

Recommended