Skip to playerSkip to main content
  • 6 weeks ago
Transcript
00:00now how about this one Auburn and Oklahoma this line opened up as a three and a half point favorite
00:04for the home team Oklahoma Joe now we're seeing even sevens listed at DraftKings and a total
00:09only 46 and a half sounds like a lacy special it is this is one of my this is one of my favorite
00:15plays of the day not side but an actual total when you look at it now if you bet this game last year
00:21and I did the total was 44 and a half it went right down to the wire 24 21 Auburn dictated it
00:27right from the get-go but they had a pick six off of Peyton Thorne Oklahoma did change the whole
00:32complexity of the game in the second half and Michael Hawkins the former starter stepped up with
00:37a big play over the top to allow them to pull that victory out it's a much different offense
00:42Jackson Arnold comes back to Oklahoma can he throw the football Donnie over the secondary
00:48that's only given up for Oklahoma 84 passing yards per game they're holding opposing quarterbacks to
00:5446 percent completion percentage no touchdowns allowed and that's going to be the matchup can
01:01Auburn run it and throw it and stay in manageable third downs they're converting 52 percent on third
01:09down conversions it's a tall tall order because Jackson Arnold in big games last year was a deer in the
01:15headlights he got pulled against Tennessee struggled against Ole Miss last year I understand he's more
01:20mature but he's going on the road I like the better defense I like the more mature quarterback I lean
01:27to Oklahoma and mature but I love the over 46 and a half I think mature in the offense push tempo I
01:34think that defense could force turnovers I think we can get in the 50s today so I lean to Oklahoma but
01:39best best bet in this is over 46 and all yeah I take a look at I love mature each and every week I'm
01:44probably going to be in that market to operate where I'm going to score a touchdown with this kid
01:47because he does it every game and why not big games here you're getting close to the goal line he's got
01:51the legs certainly to punch that in but talk to me about this Joe I thought you brought up a good
01:54point you're going on the road sometimes your best friend is a tight end over the middle or how about
01:57just a running game Cobb here for Auburn Joe 314 rushing yards in the season 46 carries and four
02:03touchdowns talk to me how they need to crank up that ground game to take that pressure off Arnold
02:07so it's a different grant ground game this year right last year Pete and Thorne was just a prototypical
02:12drop back passer you didn't utilize his legs in the RPO game Jackson Arnold has shown the ability
02:19to get on the edge sort of like the old quarterbacks for Auburn Nick Marshall Cam Newton when they had
02:25success with Gus Miles on back in the day the problem is is that when you know this defense for Oklahoma
02:31can run sideline to sideline they need to get Cam Coleman and Singleton their top two playmakers
02:37involved they've only combined for 23 receptions Donnie three touchdowns over 290 receiving yards
02:45going up against this defense if they only have pedestrian days it's going to look similar to what
02:51we saw against Michigan they're going to grind out an 11 point win you're going to get an Oklahoma cover
02:56and the under I believe Oklahoma pushes tempo yeah forces turnovers and that's the difference
03:01but Auburn needs to start fast why the line moves too Joe because we take a look and again just using
03:06Fandle here as a backboard minus three and a half and up to three six and a half at Fandle and a
03:10total 48 and a half dropping down to 46 and a half are we expecting this to be more of a ground and
03:14pound because I'm not seeing any weather conditions there will be a hindrance at this point I just think
03:18well one Oklahoma's three and oh all time against Auburn so and they won this game last year on the road
03:24they have the better quarterback so that's the three and a half to the six and a half but the total I just
03:29think when you think about this Oklahoma defense until they get exploited the books are still going to put
03:35a number under 50 it might not happen until we get 50s if the if this game let's say blows through
03:41the total when they face Texas with arch back in October you might see the 50s on an Oklahoma team
03:48then and think about last week they put up 42 against Temple but basically that game trended under as
03:53well yeah I'll tell you what's interesting too is you line these two games up where it's it's usually
03:57the Oklahoma game like you know 55 60 points at this point so it is a little bit less but also when we
04:02talked about there that you know Heisman Trophy race was Carson Beck is right now driving in the
04:07driver's seat knows in the passenger seat yeah John Matera at a nine to one price here big game
04:11today wins like this go a long way with voters here this way to add up 944 passing yards looking to
04:17increase that today
04:18increase that today
Be the first to comment
Add your comment

Recommended