00:00Let's take you into the tropics with that theme of, again, some derelict vessels and boats that may not be fully accounted for or properly moored.
00:10Overall, we're going to have some agitated surf and some big coastal hazards on the Pacific side more than the Atlantic in the short term, at least near landmasses.
00:18We have Lorena and Kiko, and earlier I was talking about Kiko approaching Category 3 intensity,
00:25and we had the earlier numbers, but now the new numbers are in.
00:30Again, this is Hawaii Standard Time, 11 a.m. Hawaii Standard Time is 5 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time,
00:37and we saw a 20-mile-per-hour increase in max sustained winds.
00:41So this jumped in a big way from 110 to 130-mile-per-hour max sustained winds,
00:47and you can see this storm is very symmetrical.
00:50It's moving west at 9 miles per hour.
00:52Now, forward motion, it's increased by 3 miles per hour in terms of its forward speed compared to yesterday,
00:57and we're expecting this to be, again, a Category 4 hurricane for a time, and, again, holding on to Category 3 intensity.
01:04Now, when storms approach Hawaii, if they come in from the east, they inevitably cross slightly cooler water,
01:11and that's where we're going to see this go from a Cat 4 to a 3 to a 2 to a 1 to a tropical storm
01:16before any potential landfall over the Hawaiian Islands, and it remains to be seen if we'll see a true landfall.
01:22We're still looking a week out into the future before this will make its way into Hawaii, Tuesday into Wednesday.
01:28Regardless, we're expecting the east-facing sides of the mountains and the islands to face some of the heaviest rain,
01:354 to 8 inches of rain on the northeast side of the Big Island and other parts of the other central islands of Hawaii as well.
01:44Gusts of wind, 40 to 60 miles per hour.
01:46Remember, we're going to be dealing with some cooler water degrading the intensity of the storm,
01:50so the winds will be backing off a bit, but there will still be a lot of dangers out there,
01:55and we're looking at moderate risk here for flash flooding, mudslides, and some power outages as well.
02:01So that is the story with Kiko as we take you to Lorena. Lorena also has a big story ahead of it.
02:06This is a Category 1 hurricane, also the newer numbers, 5 p.m. Eastern, that's 2 Pacific,
02:10and this is making a push northwestward at 15 miles per hour.
02:14Big difference in water temperature if you're inside the Baja California Peninsula,
02:17the Gulf of California versus the outer water, but it's still warm enough to sustain this storm for a time.
02:22There will be some loss of wind energy before a likely landfall at 11 a.m. Friday as a tropical storm.
02:27This is going to bring a storm surge of 1 to 2 feet, 1 to 3 feet for some.
02:31In parts of the Baja California Sur Peninsula, and also heavy rain,
02:36some of that's going to move into southern New Mexico,
02:38and ultimately into parts of the southern plains of the U.S. as well.
02:42Some wind near the point of landfall of 60 to 80 mile per hour gusts.
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