00:00As we take a look into the Atlantic, we do have some noise.
00:03There are four features that we're highlighting,
00:05but just because we're hedging our bets against these two closer to home,
00:09we'll get them out of the way first.
00:11There's a little more interest to the east.
00:13But this disturbance here east of Cape Hatters, it's probably not going to organize.
00:17It's already being scooped up by some mid-level winds and upper-level winds,
00:20and that's going to be carried out to see if it does organize.
00:23It would happen in the next 24 to 36 hours, and we're hedging our bets against that.
00:26There's a big zone of moisture moving into the Gulf, very disorganized.
00:30This is going to be drifting into the Gulf and hanging out there for a few days,
00:33but it looks so disorganized we probably won't see that develop.
00:36It will spend some extra time there bringing some more moisture, though,
00:38into the Florida, Georgia, and southern Alabama area.
00:42This pesky little wave here is going to likely organize,
00:45so will this one moving off the west coast of Africa.
00:48And you'll notice that the first one, farther west,
00:52is going to curve more sharply to the northwest and eventually to the north.
00:56The second one, though, is going to have kind of a different movement here,
00:59a different vector with a little bit less of a sharp curve to the north.
01:02It may be on a northward jog as it gets close to the Leeward Islands.
01:07We need to keep an eye on both of these, though.
01:08And the Bermuda-Azores High is the main driving factor in the steering flow across the Atlantic,
01:14and this is going to be a big concern here.
01:15So initially, the circulation is kind of bottled up closer to the Azores
01:18and less close to Bermuda.
01:20So that will allow the current storm, or at least the first storm to form,
01:25to pull pretty sharply north and probably even stay east of Bermuda.
01:27But as this gets more expansive, gradually over the next week or two,
01:31by the time we hit the middle of the month,
01:33the flow may be more like this farther south, directing things into the Caribbean.
01:38And in the month of August, this is where we often see storms travel.
01:41It is a fairly high-impact risk area here in the Caribbean as we get deeper into August,
01:48one of the three busiest months of the year in the typical hurricane season.
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