Dallas Cowboys Analysis: Playoff Predictions & Player Insights

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00:00But no, the Dallas Cowboys, coming back this season,

00:03Dak Prescott I do think is a good quarterback.

00:04He's a great regular season quarterback.

00:06I think the numbers will be there.

00:07Love the Pickens move.

00:08Obviously, you know, CeeDee Lamb healthy this year.

00:10That's the expectations.

00:11You finally get yourself a legitimate running back,

00:14and we'll see what we can do.

00:15But understand this.

00:16The Dallas Cowboys are notorious for not winning much here

00:19once they get to the playoffs.

00:20And I like this angle because I do think the Dallas Cowboys

00:23are on pace for 9.5 to 10.5 wins in that range,

00:27which would put them in the playoffs.

00:28Now, here's the caveat on the bet I'm going to make.

00:31I don't think they're going to be the number one overall seed

00:33in the playoffs, which means, Kevin,

00:35that gets you right through to the divisional round there.

00:37You skip the wild card round.

00:38So if the Dallas Cowboys make the playoffs,

00:40I don't think they win the division.

00:42Therefore, they'll be on the road in the wild card,

00:44and that's where I think they struggle and take a loss.

00:46And how about this price for that?

00:48A plus 470 to make the playoffs,

00:50then lose in your first playoff game in the wild card round.

00:53They're a talented team.

00:54They'll make the playoffs.

00:55But when the pressure really builds, they don't perform.

00:57And if I think they're going to be on the road in the playoffs,

00:59which means they'll be an underdog,

01:01I'll take that price point right now.

01:03Plus 470, the Dallas Cowboys make the playoffs,

01:05get beat in the wild card round.

01:07Stages of elimination.

01:08I mean, it's not a bad bet.

01:09Again, I don't think Dallas is built for a championship run.

01:13So the plus 470 price makes sense

01:15if you believe that they're going to make the playoffs.

01:17If you want to take a shot on over 9.5 wins,

01:20plus 220 as well, that's pretty good value.

01:22I just have concerns, Kev, by their defense.

01:26I don't even know if Micah and that defense can elevate

01:29with Schottenheimer as a first-year head coach

01:32to get them to potentially 8 and 9,

01:34so I'm a little bit hesitant.

01:36But we know Dak, he loves to compile during the regular season.

01:39Let me ask you a quick question on this for both of you.

01:41Michael Parsons, are we worried he's going to show up to training camp?

01:43It's a concern.

01:44Like he's supposed to get the biggest contract

01:46in the history of defensive players.

01:48That could be a big deal.

01:49My expectation is Dallas will wait as long as possible,

01:53making it easy for Parsons to get paid as much as possible,

01:56and then they'll pay him.

01:57Week 1, 1250 Eastern time.

01:59Stay in the highlights every single day.

02:01Questions in.

02:02Jerry loves it.

02:03Boom, they swoop in and give him a big deal.

02:04I really like this bet.

02:06Oh, wow.

02:07I love this bet.

02:08Oh, I was talking about Donnie's bet.

02:10I think it's a really creative way to play Dallas positively,

02:15unless you're like way in on this team, right?

02:18Which I don't know how many people are going to get to that point.

02:21Because with the new playoff format, and Donnie,

02:25unless they are the one seed, you're alive.

02:28And odds are, let's just say they're the two seed.

02:31I know that's not what you're expecting, Donnie, right?

02:33But I don't think the money line on the team they would be facing

02:36in the 2-7 will still be plus 470.

02:38So I think it's a really, really interesting market.

02:42Look, this one is straightforward, and it's interesting.

02:45It's almost chalk, but I think it should be shorter.

02:47Saints have the fewest wins at plus 425.

02:50So we did the starting quarterback thing.

02:52Tyler Shuck is minus 310.

02:54That's crazy.

02:55Tyler Shuck was a round two pick who bounced around college football.

02:59Yeah, but who else would it be on that team?

03:00He should be at minus 30,000 on that football team the week one.

03:03I'm not sure he's that much better than Spencer Rattler.

03:06I don't know.

03:07I mean, I know Rattler didn't show himself well,

03:08but at least he has experience under his belt.

03:10Week one, week one, best bet.

03:12And Arizona minus the four and a half over the Saints.

03:16We're home away?

03:18Where are we at?

03:18They're on the road.

03:19But think about that.

03:20I mean, that right there was – listen, I'm not even messing with your Arizona law.

03:24The Cardinals are comfortably over a field goal favorite at New Orleans.

03:28That team should be shorter than plus 425 to have the fewest wins.

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